4:43 Roscommon
The 4:43 at Roscommon is a 2m maiden hurdle on soft ground featuring a field of 14, with several lightly raced four-year-olds prominent in the KTB Fit ratings. The top two principals, Cinating and Ritz Plan, stand out on ability with RPRs of 120 and 107 respectively, while the remainder of the field largely comprises horses with limited exposure or modest recent form. KTB's numbers point to a competitive heat in which experience, trainer form at the track and adaptation to conditions will be key factors.
How the race shapes up
With a genuinely-run pace shape expected, a front-runner should be pressed by several handy types including Ritz Plan, God The Highness and Mike Des Mottes from the front or prominent positions. Cinating is likely to settle in mid-division along with the likes of Take The Free and Tribal, while Betterluckthistime may be held up off the main action. The key question is whether the leaders can sustain their effort on this soft surface or if the race will be won from midfield as the stamina test unfolds.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Cinating KTB Selection66/100RPR 120 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 2Ritz Plan59/100RPR 107 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 3Take The Free53/100RPR 111 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 4Tribal53/100RPR 91 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 5God The Highness46/100RPR 95 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 6Dont Break My Word45/100RPR 101 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 7Jacks Bridge44/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 8Who's Da Goose43/100RPR 92 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 9Mytommy43/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 10Mike Des Mottes42/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 11Tex Amare42/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 12Neat As A Pin42/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 13Teffian Warrior39/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 14Betterluckthistime37/100RPR 68 — field comparison calculated at page load
The contenders
Cinating KTB Fit 66/100
Cinating has shown high-class ability for a 4-year-old with an RPR of 120 from just four runs and was in the process of running a big race when falling two out on her hurdles debut. She is placed at this trip without winning and the yard has a solid 16% strike rate at Roscommon from 285 runs while the jockey posts a 10% record from 71 rides here. First-time headgear is now applied but the going remains unknown with such a light career. Typically settling in midfield, she should be well positioned to make her move as the genuine pace unfolds. The recent form figures of 34-4F underline her promise despite the fall, and the RPR comparison places her clearly ahead of the field on pure ability.
Ritz Plan KTB Fit 59/100
Ritz Plan is a smart performer who showed promise in all three runs for Joseph O'Brien, finishing second at Naas over this trip on soft-heavy ground in December. Trainer at Roscommon has a modest 5% strike rate from 20 runs while jockey records a solid 12% from 43 rides. Trip suitability looks fine having placed once in two starts at 2m though the going remains an unknown with only three career runs behind him. Racing prominently, he is sure to be involved in the early battle as the front-runner is pressed in this genuinely-run affair. With an RPR of 107 and TS of 82 he holds solid figures in this company, and his recent form of 242- speaks of consistent placed efforts.
Take The Free KTB Fit 53/100
Take The Free is a smart performer who showed promise when sixth of 14 in a Cork maiden last time having been well held on debut. He drops back in trip to 2m today where he has failed to trouble the judge in two previous attempts. Trainer holds a 10% strike rate from 84 runs at Roscommon while jockey is still seeking a first winner from 17 rides here. Settling typically in midfield, he will look to improve as the race develops off what is expected to be a strong pace. His RPR of 111 marks him down as having ability, though the recent form of 8-6 suggests he has more to prove at this distance.
Tribal KTB Fit 53/100
Tribal is a useful performer on his figures who has twice failed to land a blow in maiden hurdles. He drops back from 2m6f to 2m today which poses a fresh question. Trainer strikes at a 9% rate from 33 runs here while the claiming jockey is operating at an 18% strike rate from 17 rides at the track. Usually racing in mid-division, he will need to find improvement to feature as the genuine pace asks its questions. The RPR of 91 and recent form of 00 indicate he has plenty to do on balance, though the drop in trip may help unlock more from him.
God The Highness KTB Fit 46/100
God The Highness is a useful performer on his best days with an RPR of 95 but has been out of form lately with five straight defeats and modest recent ratings. He steps up in trip to 2m for the first time in a while having failed to make an impact at this distance before and his sole run on yielding to soft ground brought no joy. The trainer has a solid 13% strike rate at Roscommon from a big sample while the jockey is operating at a 5% rate here. Racing prominently, he should be to the fore early in what is set to be a truly-run race. Recent form of 0-5 tempers expectations, yet the yard's local record offers some hope.
The rest of the field
Dont Break My WordKTB Fit 45/100
Dont Break My Word is a useful performer on the balance of RPR and Topspeed figures after just two runs. He showed little on debut then finished 25 lengths fourth at Ballinrobe last time, so plenty of improvement is needed to be competitive here. The trainer has a modest 2% strike rate from 47 runs at Roscommon while the 7 lb claimer has had too few rides at the track to judge.
Jacks BridgeKTB Fit 44/100
Jacks Bridge showed very little on his sole start in a Punchestown maiden hurdle last month where he trailed the field. The yard has a 0% strike rate from seven runs at Roscommon while the 7lb claimer has no recorded rides here. First-time headgear is fitted but with just one run on the board this remains guesswork.
Who's Da GooseKTB Fit 43/100
Who's Da Goose is useful on the figures but has only run once and was poor on debut when beaten 37 lengths at Killarney over this trip. The small sample means the RPR of 92 and Topspeed of 44 have to be treated with real caution. Trainer has a modest 4% strike rate from 28 runs at Roscommon while the jockey has had too few rides here to judge.
MytommyKTB Fit 43/100
Mytommy is a Castle Du Berlais gelding making his debut for a yard that has a 5% strike rate from 21 runs at Roscommon. He is a half-brother to several winners including Enrichissant over 2m4f hurdles and chases and Don't Hesitate over 2m hurdles. The jockey has a 0% strike rate from five rides here and with no racecourse form to go on this is very much a watching brief.
Mike Des MottesKTB Fit 42/100
Mike Des Mottes showed promise when fourth in a Leopardstown bumper on debut in March but was then tailed off at Kilbeggan. He is a half-brother to a hurdles winner and a return to softer ground should suit. Trainer and jockey both operate at a 4% strike rate at Roscommon from similar-sized samples.
Tex AmareKTB Fit 42/100
Tex Amare is a newcomer to hurdling with a first-time hood applied after showing some ability on her sole Flat start in Germany. The yard holds a modest 9% strike rate at Roscommon from a decent-sized sample while the claiming jockey has had too few rides here to judge. With no RPR or Topspeed ratings and low data confidence this debut effort is best viewed through the lens of market support.
Neat As A PinKTB Fit 42/100
Neat As A Pin is a homebred Getaway filly out of a point winner and closely related to high-class jumpers Follow The Plan and Ballychorus. She is a sister to a point winner herself so the pedigree suggests she should have a future under rules. Trainer Enda Bolger has a 10% strike rate from 84 runs at Roscommon while this is only the jockey's second ride at the track.
Teffian WarriorKTB Fit 39/100
Teffian Warrior has shown only modest form in seven Flat runs and was well held when fourth on hurdling debut here over a shorter trip. Stepping up to 2m poses a fresh question while first-time headgear is now applied. The trainer’s 2% strike rate from 47 runs at Roscommon offers little encouragement.
BetterluckthistimeKTB Fit 37/100
Betterluckthistime is a modest performer who showed little on his sole start over this trip at Kilbeggan in April. The yard's modest record at Roscommon offers no encouragement while the small sample of his career makes any firm conclusions risky. Jockey has a solid 10% strike rate here from 20 rides.
KTB verdict
Cinating is the KTB Selection and looks to hold all the aces on the figures with her RPR of 120 from just four starts underlining high-class ability for her age. The fall on hurdles debut came when she was going well, and first-time headgear may help her to put that behind her while the yard's 16% strike rate at Roscommon adds further confidence. She should settle nicely in mid-division in a race that looks set to be run at a genuine pace. The main dangers are Ritz Plan, who brings solid placed form and prominent running style, and Take The Free, who showed promise last time despite dropping back in trip. Tribal and God The Highness add depth but look held on the ratings.
KTB Selection Cinating
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 09:25 UTC, 8 Jun. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Cinating | 11/4 | 7Bet |
| Ritz Plan | 10/3 | 7Bet |
| Take The Free | 9/2 | William Hill |
| Tribal | 200/1 | Bet365 |
| God The Highness | 9/2 | Bet365 |
| Dont Break My Word | 40/1 | Bet365 |
| Jacks Bridge | 150/1 | William Hill |
| Who's Da Goose | 66/1 | Bet365 |
| Mytommy | 33/1 | Bet365 |
| Mike Des Mottes | 11/1 | William Hill |
| Tex Amare | 14/1 | Bet365 |
| Neat As A Pin | 40/1 | 10Bet |
| Teffian Warrior | 16/1 | 10Bet |
| Betterluckthistime | 100/1 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 4:43 Roscommon. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Roscommon racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the highest RPR in the field?
Cinating with an RPR of 120.
What is the expected pace shape of the race?
Genuinely run (confidence: medium) — A front-runner likely to be pressed by several handy types — a genuinely-run, fair test.
Which trainer has the best strike rate at Roscommon in this race?
Gordon Elliott with a 16% strike rate at Roscommon from 285 runs.
How many runners are wearing first-time headgear?
Cinating, Jacks Bridge, Tex Amare and Teffian Warrior are all wearing first-time headgear.
Which horse is the KTB Selection?
Cinating.
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