4:50 York
A competitive Class 4 handicap over 1m177y at York on good ground features a field of 17. The KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched at the top, with Point Of Contact heading the list on 62, closely followed by Billyb on 61 and Frankies Dream on 59. Several runners are dropping in class while others step up, and the York course form of the principals will be key on a track where both trainer Andrew Balding and jockey Ryan Moore have solid records.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape suggests a fairly even tempo with a mix of front-runners and prominent racers likely to contest the early fractions. Billyb, who has won over the course, and others with forward run-styles should ensure a genuine gallop. The key question is whether the prominent runners can dictate matters or if the race will be decided by those coming from off the pace in the straight, with the draw potentially influencing how the field settles.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Point Of Contact KTB Selection62/100
- 2Billyb61/100
- 3Frankies Dream59/100
- 4Fantastic Fox57/100
- 5Cristo57/100
- 6Hale End55/100
- 7Empire Of Light54/100
- 8Grizedale54/100
- 9They All Know Me53/100
- 10Capital Guarantee51/100
- 11Break The Bank49/100
- 12Leadenhall46/100
- 13Kaleido46/100
- 14Financer44/100
- 15Freddie Steady Go44/100
- 16Pearl Eye42/100
- 17Harswell Ruby36/100
The contenders
Point Of Contact KTB Fit 62/100
Point Of Contact tops the KTB Fit ratings on 62 and is the clear selection. The 4-year-old is dropping in class and brings solid York course form, having finished second, fifth and sixth from three starts here. Andrew Balding has a 13% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 1.03 from 482 runs, while Ryan Moore is even stronger with a 16% strike rate and A/E of 0.9 from 643 rides. He has one win and two places from five starts on good ground. Recent form of 4656-6 is modest but the combination of class drop, course experience and top jockey-trainer pairing makes him the one to beat.
Billyb KTB Fit 61/100
Billyb is rated just behind on a KTB Fit of 61 and has shown he handles this track. The 7-year-old has won once from six starts at York and has two wins and four places from 15 runs on good ground. Craig Lidster’s record at the venue stands at 7% strike rate with an A/E of 1.25 from 57 runs, though Rhys Elliott is yet to score from ten rides here. Recent form reads 351-87 and he is likely to be prominent in a race where his course-winning ability could prove useful from draw 8.
Frankies Dream KTB Fit 59/100
Frankies Dream arrives with a KTB Fit of 59 and has already won at this track from just two starts. The 4-year-old has recent form of 87-033 and has one win and two places from seven starts on good ground. Jennie Candlish has a 9% strike rate at York with an A/E of 1.39 from 23 runs, while Paul Mulrennan’s figures read 6% with an A/E of 0.75 from 606 rides. Their combined record together is 4/41 with an A/E of 0.76. Drawn in stall 15, he will need to overcome a wide berth but his course success cannot be ignored.
Fantastic Fox KTB Fit 57/100
Fantastic Fox is next on 57 and is dropping in class as an 8-year-old. He has been competitive on good ground with two places from five starts but is yet to win on it. Roger Varian’s York record is 12% strike rate with an A/E of 0.7 from 264 runs, and Cieren Fallon has a 12% strike rate with an A/E of 0.89 from 74 rides at the track; their partnership shows 2/8. There is no course form on record. Recent form of 40570- suggests he needs to bounce back but the class drop may help.
Cristo KTB Fit 57/100
Cristo also sits on a KTB Fit of 57 and is a 4-year-old with placed form on good ground, recording one place from two starts. Richard Hannon has an 11% strike rate at York with an A/E of 0.98 from 340 runs. Alec Voikhansky has been notably strong here with a 20% strike rate and A/E of 2.14 from just 15 rides. Recent form of 47832U includes an unlucky unseated and he has no course form on record. From draw 11 he could be involved if the race sets up for those coming from midfield.
The rest of the field
Hale EndKTB Fit 55/100
Hale End has a KTB Fit of 55 and recent form of -44122 showing consistent placed efforts. Michael Dods has a 10% strike rate at York with an A/E of 1.02, and Connor Beasley is 10% with an A/E of 1.06. He has two wins and five places from nine starts on good ground but no course form on record.
Empire Of LightKTB Fit 54/100
Empire Of Light carries a KTB Fit of 54 and is in good heart with recent form 541-11. Dropping in class, Grant Tuer has an 8% strike rate at York with an A/E of 1.05. Oliver Stammers is 3% here with an A/E of 0.36. He has one win and three places from nine on good but could only manage ninth on his sole York start.
GrizedaleKTB Fit 54/100
Grizedale is rated 54 on KTB Fit and is dropping in class with recent form 21237-. Daniel & Claire Kubler have an 8% strike rate at York with an A/E of 1.01. He is unproven on good ground with no runs on it and has no course form on record.
They All Know MeKTB Fit 53/100
They All Know Me has a KTB Fit of 53 and steps up in class after recent form 3-2881. Richard & Peter Fahey are 11% at York with an A/E of 1.79. Oisin Orr is 6% here with an A/E of 0.63. He has one place from three on good but no course form on record.
Capital GuaranteeKTB Fit 51/100
Capital Guarantee is on 51 KTB Fit with recent form 8-0209. David O'Meara has a 7% strike rate at York with an A/E of 0.77. Ben Robinson is 7% with an A/E of 1.22. He has three wins from twelve on good and has placed over course and distance but is yet to win here from four runs.
Break The BankKTB Fit 49/100
Break The Bank has a KTB Fit of 49 and recent form 5473U/. Tim Easterby is 6% at York with an A/E of 0.76. Sean Kirrane is 9% with an A/E of 1.33. He has four runs on good without placing and has no course form on record.
LeadenhallKTB Fit 46/100
Leadenhall sits on 46 KTB Fit and steps up in class with recent form 00-571. Tim Easterby is again 6% at York with an A/E of 0.76. James Sullivan is 6% with an A/E of 0.97. He has two wins and three places from nine on good and has been placed twice from five York starts without winning.
KaleidoKTB Fit 46/100
Kaleido has a KTB Fit of 46 and recent form 319-60. David O'Meara is 7% at York with an A/E of 0.77. David Nolan is 4% with an A/E of 0.54. He has one win and two places from three on good but no course form on record.
FinancerKTB Fit 44/100
Financer is rated 44 on KTB Fit and is dropping in class with recent form 50-404. Tim Easterby is 6% at York with an A/E of 0.76. David Allan is 7% with an A/E of 0.81. He has two wins and four places from eight on good and has been placed twice from nine York runs without winning.
Freddie Steady GoKTB Fit 44/100
Freddie Steady Go has a KTB Fit of 44 and recent form 771. Susan Corbett has a 0% strike rate at York from three runs. Cam Hardie is 3% with an A/E of 0.52. He has one win and one place from four on good but no course form on record.
Pearl EyeKTB Fit 42/100
Pearl Eye carries a KTB Fit of 42 with recent form 00-341. Jim Goldie has a 5% strike rate at York with an A/E of 0.74. Lauren Young is yet to score from 14 rides here. He has two wins and three places from thirteen on good but no course form on record.
Harswell RubyKTB Fit 36/100
Harswell Ruby is bottom on KTB Fit with 36 and steps up in class after recent form -71546. Roger Fell is 4% at York with an A/E of 0.57. Joanna Mason is 5% with an A/E of 0.57. She has one win and three places from seven on good and has failed to place from three York starts.
KTB verdict
Point Of Contact is the KTB Selection and looks to hold all the aces with his drop in class, proven York form that includes a second, and the powerful combination of Andrew Balding and Ryan Moore. His good-ground record is respectable and the Fit rating of 62 tops the field. Main dangers are Billyb, who knows his way around York and should go forward, and Frankies Dream, who has already won over the track and arrives in decent form. Fantastic Fox and Cristo are next in the KTB order and could figure if the race develops in their favour, but the selection has the strongest overall profile.
KTB Selection Point Of Contact
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:02 UTC, 13 Jun. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Point Of Contact | 5/2 | 7Bet |
| Billyb | 22/1 | Bet365 |
| Frankies Dream | 8/1 | Bet365 |
| Fantastic Fox | 12/1 | 7Bet |
| Cristo | 14/1 | Bet365 |
| Hale End | 10/1 | Bet365 |
| Empire Of Light | 15/2 | Bet365 |
| Grizedale | 12/1 | Bet365 |
| They All Know Me | 16/1 | Midnite |
| Capital Guarantee | 40/1 | Bet365 |
| Break The Bank | 40/1 | Bet365 |
| Leadenhall | 14/1 | 7Bet |
| Kaleido | 33/1 | Bet365 |
| Financer | 12/1 | Bet365 |
| Freddie Steady Go | 14/1 | 7Bet |
| Pearl Eye | 15/2 | Bet365 |
| Harswell Ruby | 22/1 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 4:50 York. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the York racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the best recent course form at York?
Point Of Contact has the best recent course form at York, with placings of sixth, fifth and second from three starts.
Who has the strongest trainer-jockey combination at York among the principals?
Point Of Contact, with Andrew Balding’s 13% strike rate and A/E 1.03 at York allied to Ryan Moore’s 16% strike rate and A/E 0.9.
Which runners are dropping in class?
Point Of Contact, Fantastic Fox, Empire Of Light, Grizedale and Financer are all dropping in class.
Which horse is unproven on good ground?
Grizedale has no runs on good ground and is therefore unproven on the going.
Which jockey has the highest strike rate at York among those riding in this race?
Alec Voikhansky has a 20% strike rate at York with an A/E of 2.14 from 15 rides.
18+. Analysis and entertainment only — no guarantee of profit. KTB race previews are published for interest and are not betting advice. Only ever stake what you can comfortably afford to lose, and set your own limits. Free, confidential help: the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133 (GamCare.org.uk); in Ireland, the GamblingCare.ie helpline on 1800 936 725. Self-exclude at any time via GAMSTOP.
About the A/E figures in this preview. They are the data supplier’s: the winners a trainer or jockey had, divided by the winners the starting prices implied, over the runs in that record. Above 1.0 means more wins than the prices suggested. It is not KTB’s fair A/E, which allows for the bookmakers’ margin and the favourite–longshot bias, and the two are not comparable.
More from Kickthebookies