4:53 Salisbury
This Class 4 fillies’ handicap at Salisbury over 1m1f201y on soft ground brings together eight runners, most of them rated in the low-to-mid 80s. The KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched at the top, with Rossa Raheen heading the list on 61, just ahead of Regal Charm on 58, while Albus Anne and Typical Woman share 54. The race is framed by steady recent form from several principals and a genuinely-run pace shape that should provide a fair test.
How the race shapes up
A front-runner is expected to be pressed by several prominent racers in what is rated a genuinely-run contest with high confidence. Morven is likely to take them along from draw two, with Regal Charm, Jazzy Baby and Royal Poetry all inclined to race handily. This sets a strong gallop that will test stamina up the straight and poses the key question of which of the held-up types can time their effort best off the strong pace.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Rossa Raheen KTB Selection61/100Rossa Raheen is a fair 3-year-old who has shown steady progress, finishing second in a Newbury handicap over 1m2f on her latest start despite traffic problems.
- 2Regal Charm58/100Regal Charm is a fair performer who has shown enough in her five starts to suggest she can be competitive here.
- 3Albus Anne54/100Albus Anne is a fair handicapper who has been placed twice from three runs at Salisbury without winning.
- 4Typical Woman54/100Typical Woman is a fair handicapper who arrives in reasonable form having landed a 1m2f handicap last year before three respectable runs this season.
- 5Morven50/100Fair performer who showed useful promise when finishing a head second at Wolverhampton on her reappearance.
- 6Affection50/100Affection is a French import who has won four of her ten starts including a recent claimer over 1m4f.
- 7Jazzy Baby47/100Jazzy Baby arrives in fair form having shown useful placed efforts earlier this season but has weakened on her last two starts.
- 8Royal Poetry40/100Royal Poetry is a fair 3-year-old who showed her best form when winning on AW in April and finishing a solid second over this trip and track on handicap debut.
The contenders
Rossa Raheen KTB Fit 61/100
Rossa Raheen is a fair 3-year-old who has shown steady progress, finishing second in a Newbury handicap over 1m2f on her latest start despite traffic problems. She has placed once at today's trip from one attempt and the yard records a 15% strike rate at Salisbury from 34 runs. The jockey also has a solid 13% strike rate here from 397 rides, though the small going sample leaves her effectiveness on soft ground unconfirmed. Usually held up, she produces her effort late and should be suited by the genuinely-run pace. Stepping up in class, her RPR of 85 and recent form figures of 64-02 mark her out as the one to beat.
Regal Charm KTB Fit 58/100
Regal Charm is a fair performer who has shown enough in her five starts to suggest she can be competitive here. She has placed once at today's trip from two attempts and ran well on soft ground at Newbury over 1m2f when last seen 228 days ago. The yard and jockey both have solid records at Salisbury though the small sample on this ground leaves her exact requirements unconfirmed. Usually racing prominently, she is likely to be on the pace in a genuinely-run race. With an RPR of 84 and recent form figures of /1302-, she is a clear danger from draw eight.
Albus Anne KTB Fit 54/100
Albus Anne is a fair handicapper who has been placed twice from three runs at Salisbury without winning. She has won on soft ground and at today's trip though her recent form has been mixed and she drops back in distance from 1m3f. The trainer's modest 3% strike-rate here and the jockey's 5% record add little encouragement. Usually held up, she will be produced late off what should be a strong pace. Her RPR of 84 and form figures of 21167- mean she cannot be entirely dismissed despite the step up in class.
Typical Woman KTB Fit 54/100
Typical Woman is a fair handicapper who arrives in reasonable form having landed a 1m2f handicap last year before three respectable runs this season. She drops back from 1m4f to a trip she has won over twice from 12 attempts while the yard’s solid 13 percent strike rate at Salisbury offers some encouragement. Unproven on soft ground remains the main question mark. Usually held up, she will look to come from off the pace in a race that should be run at a genuine clip. Her RPR of 83 and form figures of 61-866 keep her in the mix as she drops in class.
The rest of the field
MorvenKTB Fit 50/100
Morven is a fair performer who showed useful promise when finishing a head second at Wolverhampton on her reappearance. She has already placed over course and distance at Salisbury and steps up in trip today which asks a fresh question. Trainer holds a solid 15 percent strike rate here from a big sample while Rossa Ryan is on board.
AffectionKTB Fit 50/100
Affection is a French import who has won four of her ten starts including a recent claimer over 1m4f. She now drops back in trip on her British debut for David Pipe who has an 11% strike rate at Salisbury from 27 runs. The booking of a 5lb claimer who is yet to score in six rides here adds a note of caution on a soft surface.
Jazzy BabyKTB Fit 47/100
Jazzy Baby arrives in fair form having shown useful placed efforts earlier this season but has weakened on her last two starts. The trip is a fresh question today and she has no experience of soft ground which adds uncertainty. Trainer Burke has yet to strike at Salisbury from ten attempts while Gordon has a modest 7% strike rate here from a big sample.
Royal PoetryKTB Fit 40/100
Royal Poetry is a fair 3-year-old who showed her best form when winning on AW in April and finishing a solid second over this trip and track on handicap debut. She failed to build on that when seventh at Newmarket last time and has twice been beaten at this distance. The Hannon yard posts a 12% strike rate here from a large sample while Levey is on 11%.
KTB verdict
Rossa Raheen is the KTB Selection. A fair 3-year-old who has shown steady progress, she was second at Newbury last time despite traffic issues and is well suited by the way this race is likely to be run from off the pace. The yard and jockey both have good records at Salisbury and her placed effort at the trip adds to the appeal. Regal Charm looks the main danger on the back of a good run on soft ground, while Albus Anne and Typical Woman are the other principals who can feature if the ground and pace play to their strengths.
KTB Selection Rossa Raheen
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 07:05 UTC, 9 Jun. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Rossa Raheen | 11/8 | 7Bet |
| Regal Charm | 15/2 | Bet365 |
| Albus Anne | 33/1 | Midnite |
| Typical Woman | 16/1 | Bet365 |
| Morven | 2/1 | BetTom |
| Affection | 25/1 | Bet365 |
| Jazzy Baby | 66/1 | Bet365 |
| Royal Poetry | 7/1 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 4:53 Salisbury. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Salisbury racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is proven at course and distance on soft ground?
Affection is a course and distance winner and proven on this going at this track.
How many placed efforts has Albus Anne recorded at Salisbury?
Albus Anne has been placed twice from three runs at Salisbury.
Which runners are unproven on soft ground?
Typical Woman, Jazzy Baby and Royal Poetry have no runs on soft ground.
Who is likely to make the running?
Morven tends to make the running or race on the pace and is drawn to do so in a genuinely-run race.
What is the trainer strike rate at Salisbury for the yard of the selection?
Ollie Sangster has a 15% strike rate at Salisbury from 34 runs.
18+. Analysis and entertainment only — no guarantee of profit. KTB race previews are published for interest and are not betting advice. Only ever stake what you can comfortably afford to lose, and set your own limits. Free, confidential help: the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133 (GamCare.org.uk); in Ireland, the GamblingCare.ie helpline on 1800 936 725. Self-exclude at any time via GAMSTOP.
More from Kickthebookies