5:50 Fontwell
This Class 5 handicap chase over 2m5f135y at Fontwell features a field of seven where the KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched between 53 and 41. Youdecide heads the ratings on 53 after a recent win, closely followed by Edgewell, Pawpaw and King Of The Story, all rated in the low fifties. With every runner unproven on the ground and several stepping up or down in trip, the race carries plenty of unknowns despite the strong recent form of the top few.
How the race shapes up
A strong pace is anticipated with high confidence, driven by multiple habitual front-runners including Youdecide, Edgewell and Of Corse I Can. The early gallop is likely to be genuine and could cause the race to collapse late on, playing into the hands of hold-up performers. Pawpaw and King Of The Story, both confirmed hold-up types, are therefore well positioned to capitalise if the leaders come back to them. The key question is whether the prominent runners can dictate matters or if the race will be won from off the pace.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Youdecide KTB Selection53/100Youdecide is a useful performer who arrives in good order after a recent win and has solid recent form figures overall.
- 2Edgewell52/100Useful performer who has shown plenty of ability on this track, finishing third and fourth in two runs here.
- 3Pawpaw51/100Pawpaw is a fair performer who knows his way around Fontwell, having won two of his four starts here.
- 4King Of The Story50/100King Of The Story is a fair handicapper who has won over this trip and at Fontwell.
- 5Ballinoulart50/100Modest performer with a solid recent sequence of placed efforts including a string of seconds and thirds.
- 6Of Corse I Can46/100Modest performer who has won once from four runs at Fontwell and arrives in reasonable form after two placed efforts this year.
- 7Helios Allen41/100Modest performer on the balance of his ratings and 16-run history.
The contenders
Youdecide KTB Fit 53/100
Youdecide is a useful performer who arrives in good order after a recent win and has solid recent form figures overall. The step up in trip poses a fresh question while the trainer holds an 18% strike rate at Fontwell from 153 runs. The horse remains unproven on this ground. A habitual front-runner who tends to make the running or race prominently, he should be well placed to take advantage of the expected strong pace. Ben Pauling and Ben Jones team up with a combined trainer-jockey record of 139 wins from 692 rides at a 20% strike rate.
Edgewell KTB Fit 52/100
Edgewell is a useful performer who has shown plenty of ability on this track, finishing third and fourth in two runs here. He drops back in trip today having last run over three miles, which asks a fresh question. The trainer has a solid 17% strike rate at Fontwell from 12 runs. Like the selection, he is a front-runner who tends to make the running or race on the pace and should be involved in the expected strong gallop. He remains unproven on the ground.
Pawpaw KTB Fit 51/100
Pawpaw is a fair performer who knows his way around Fontwell, having won two of his four starts here. He has a solid recent record and drops back to a trip he has won over before. The unknown ground is the main question mark today, while the trainer's modest 6% strike-rate at the track adds a note of caution. A hold-up performer who usually produces his effort late, he is ideally suited to the likely strong pace that could collapse in the straight. Caoilin Quinn takes the ride with a 14% strike rate at Fontwell.
King Of The Story KTB Fit 50/100
King Of The Story is a fair handicapper who has won over this trip and at Fontwell. He has been out of form recently with a string of poor efforts but the return to this track is a plus. The longer trip is an unknown and he remains unproven on the ground. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he should be suited by the strong pace that is forecast. The trainer's 11% strike rate at Fontwell from 64 runs offers some encouragement despite the jockey's 0% record at the track from the same number of rides.
The rest of the field
BallinoulartKTB Fit 50/100
Ballinoulart is a modest performer with a solid recent sequence of placed efforts including a string of seconds and thirds. He steps up in trip today having already placed once at this distance though he remains unproven on the ground. A hold-up type, he drops in class with trainer David Bridgwater recording a steady 16% strike rate at Fontwell from 173 runs.
Of Corse I CanKTB Fit 46/100
Of Corse I Can is a modest performer who has won once from four runs at Fontwell and arrives in reasonable form after two placed efforts this year. He drops back from three miles to a trip he has tried twice without success, while the going remains an unknown. Another front-runner who should be prominent in the expected strong pace, the trainer has a solid 17% strike rate here from a large sample.
Helios AllenKTB Fit 41/100
Helios Allen is a modest performer on the balance of his ratings and 16-run history. He drops back in trip to a distance at which he has been placed once in two attempts, though he is unproven on the ground and makes his first appearance at Fontwell. Trainer Ben Case has an 11% strike rate from 76 runs here.
KTB verdict
Youdecide is the KTB Selection. He arrives in good order after a recent win, has solid recent form figures and should be ideally placed to set or share the strong pace that is forecast. His ability edges him ahead of the others on balance. The main dangers are Edgewell, who has shown plenty of ability on this track, and Pawpaw, who knows the course well and is suited to a race that could collapse late. King Of The Story cannot be entirely dismissed on his return to a track where he has won.
KTB Selection Youdecide
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:10 UTC, 28 Aug. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Youdecide | 8/13 | William Hill |
| Edgewell | 12/1 | Bet365 |
| Pawpaw | 12/1 | Bet365 |
| King Of The Story | 40/1 | Bet365 |
| Ballinoulart | 40/1 | Bet365 |
| Of Corse I Can | 11/4 | 7Bet |
| Helios Allen | 11/1 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 5:50 Fontwell. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Fontwell racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which runners are likely to set the strong pace?
Youdecide, Edgewell and Of Corse I Can are all habitual front-runners who tend to make the running or race on the pace.
Who stands to benefit most if the pace collapses late?
Pawpaw and King Of The Story, both confirmed hold-up types who usually produce their effort late.
Which horse has the best course record at Fontwell?
Pawpaw has won two of his four starts here.
What is the trainer strike rate at Fontwell for the handler of the selection?
Ben Pauling has an 18% strike rate at Fontwell from 153 runs.
Which principal is dropping back in trip having last run over three miles?
Edgewell.
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