5:55 Nottingham
This Class 5 apprentice handicap over 1m0f75y at Nottingham brings together six modest performers on good to firm ground. The KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched between 51 and 40, underlining the even nature of the contest and the limited ability on show. With the pace shape unclear due to insufficient run-style evidence, the race lacks a clear blueprint and first-time headgear is sported by every runner.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is unclear with low confidence, as there is not enough run-style data across the field to form a reliable picture. One horse is noted as usually held up and producing its effort late, but with limited evidence. This leaves the key question of how the race will unfold tactically, with the possibility that the leaders could get an easy time or that the race could develop into a more even affair depending on how the riders commit early.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Perfidia KTB Selection51/100Perfidia is a limited performer who has been busy and shown bits of form this year including a win here from three runs at Nottingham.
- 2Sceptic50/100Sceptic is a limited performer who has been in and out this season and arrives off the back of a modest ninth last time.
- 3No Knee Never47/100Modest performer who has been a regular in this grade and drops back to his winning trip today having last run over 1m2½f.
- 4Tees George46/100Modest performer who has been consistent enough this year without winning often.
- 5Popeye Doyle41/100Modest performer who has shown bits of form this year but finished seventh of eight last time.
- 6Bay Dream Believer40/100Modest performer who has dropped to a winnable mark but arrives out of form and with a patchy record here.
The contenders
Perfidia KTB Fit 51/100
Perfidia is a limited performer who has been busy and shown bits of form this year including a win here from three runs at Nottingham. She drops back in trip today having won three times over this distance in the past though her record on good to firm is modest with just one success from 11 starts. The first-time headgear is an interesting addition while the yard's modest strike-rate at the track is offset by the jockey's strong 43% record from a small sample. Tim Easterby and Jake Dickson combine with a 12/87 (14%) record and an A/E of 0.98. She has an official rating of 65, a recent RPR of 68 and a Topspeed of 57. Her recent form figures read 135912 and she races from draw 5 as a 4-year-old.
Sceptic KTB Fit 50/100
Sceptic is a limited performer who has been in and out this season and arrives off the back of a modest ninth last time. He has placed here once from a single run at Nottingham and has won twice at today's trip though he is 0-4 on good to firm ground. First-time headgear is now tried while the trainer maintains a solid 10% strike rate at the track. Ian Williams and Donagh Murphy have a 100% strike rate at Nottingham from a small sample with an A/E of 4.33. His official rating is 67, recent RPR 64 and Topspeed 55. Recent form figures are 945219 and he races from draw 2 as a 6-year-old.
No Knee Never KTB Fit 47/100
No Knee Never is a modest performer who has been a regular in this grade and drops back to his winning trip today having last run over 1m2½f. He has placed once from a single run at Nottingham and is tried in first-time headgear. Trainer has a 9% strike rate here from 23 runs while the jockey is still seeking a first winner from 12 rides at the track. James Owen and Joe Bradnam combine with a 0% strike rate at Nottingham from the jockey's 12 rides and an A/E of 0. His official rating stands at 63, recent RPR 67 and Topspeed 52. Recent form reads 144350 and he is a 5-year-old from draw 6.
Tees George KTB Fit 46/100
Tees George is a modest performer who has been consistent enough this year without winning often. He drops back to his winning trip today having just run over 1m2f and the first-time headgear could sharpen him up. Trainer strikes at 11% here from 37 runs while the jockey has a strong 17% strike rate from only six rides. Adrian Nicholls and Shay Farmer have an 11/37 (30%) record at the course with an A/E of 0.69 for the yard. Official figures are 64, recent RPR 70 and Topspeed 58. Form figures read 341843 and he is a 6-year-old drawn in stall 1.
The rest of the field
Popeye DoyleKTB Fit 41/100
Popeye Doyle is a modest performer who has shown bits of form this year but finished seventh of eight last time. He has won twice at today's trip and has been competitive on good to firm ground, though the first-time headgear suggests connections are looking for a spark. Trainer and jockey both have too few runs at Nottingham to judge while this is the horse's first visit to the track.
Bay Dream BelieverKTB Fit 40/100
Bay Dream Believer is a modest performer who has dropped to a winnable mark but arrives out of form and with a patchy record here. Three runs at Nottingham have produced no win or place while the yard's 9% strike-rate at the track is modest. First-time headgear is tried as he drops back to a trip he has won at before and he handles good to firm ground.
KTB verdict
Perfidia is named the KTB Selection. She has already shown her liking for this venue with a win from three runs at Nottingham and the drop back to a trip she has won three times before adds to her appeal. The first-time headgear is an interesting addition for a limited but busy performer who can be competitive at this level. Sceptic, No Knee Never and Tees George are the main dangers, each arriving with first-time headgear and their own course or trip claims in a race where the unclear pace leaves scope for plenty to be involved.
KTB Selection Perfidia
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:00 UTC, 18 Jul. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Perfidia | 1.15/1 | CopyBet |
| Sceptic | 13/2 | Bet365 |
| No Knee Never | 7/1 | Bet365 |
| Tees George | 7/2 | Bet365 |
| Popeye Doyle | 18/1 | 7Bet |
| Bay Dream Believer | 10/1 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 5:55 Nottingham. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Nottingham racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the strongest course record at Nottingham?
Perfidia has won here from three runs at Nottingham.
How many of the six runners are wearing first-time headgear?
All six runners are wearing first-time headgear.
Which jockey has the best strike rate at Nottingham in this field?
Donagh Murphy has a 100% strike rate at Nottingham from one ride.
Which horse is dropping back to its winning trip after a run over further?
No Knee Never and Tees George are both dropping back to their winning trip after running over further.
What is the pace shape for this race?
Pace shape is unclear with low confidence due to not enough run-style evidence across the field.
18+. Analysis and entertainment only — no guarantee of profit. KTB race previews are published for interest and are not betting advice. Only ever stake what you can comfortably afford to lose, and set your own limits. Free, confidential help: the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133 (GamCare.org.uk); in Ireland, the GamblingCare.ie helpline on 1800 936 725. Self-exclude at any time via GAMSTOP.
More from Kickthebookies