6:00 Leicester
This 7f British EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (Bands B, C and D) for two-year-olds at Leicester on good to soft ground looks an open affair with plenty of debutants and lightly raced types. The KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched at the top, with Alfey Moon and Rasananda both on 50, followed closely by Pat's Cash and Hamdani Mokhater on 47 and Akaraka on 46. Several runners are dropping in class while others remain unproven on the surface, and the lack of course form across the field adds an extra layer of uncertainty to the Class 4 contest.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape suggests a steady gallop with no obvious front-runner dominating. Several runners, including Alfey Moon, Rasananda and Akaraka, are expected to track or race prominently from their draws, while others like Hamdani Mokhater from stall 2 may look to get involved early. The key question is whether the race will be decided by those who can handle the good to soft ground best or if one of the more experienced types can capitalise on their placed form in what looks a race that could fall apart late.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Alfey Moon KTB Selection50/100
- 2Rasananda50/100
- 3Pat's Cash47/100
- 4Hamdani Mokhater47/100
- 5Akaraka46/100
- 6Duke Of Burgundy44/100
- 7Bin Waary44/100
- 8Dr Rascal44/100
- 9Eighth Immortal44/100
- 10Turtle Beach42/100
The contenders
Alfey Moon KTB Fit 50/100
Alfey Moon is the KTB Selection having shown enough in two starts to suggest he can make his mark dropping in class. The David Evans-trained colt has a 10% strike rate at Leicester with an A/E of 0.9 from 645 runs, while Pat Cosgrave brings a 14% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.9 from 215 rides. He has had two runs on good to soft without winning or placing, and he has no course form on record. His recent form figures of 04 indicate some promise, and from draw 7 he should be able to get a nice position in a race lacking a strong pace leader.
Rasananda KTB Fit 50/100
Rasananda shares the top KTB Fit Score of 50 and represents a yard with an 18% strike rate at Leicester and an A/E of 1.03 from 346 runs. Daniel Muscutt teams up with a 14% strike rate at the track and an A/E of 0.95 from 148 rides. By Ardad, who has a 9% overall win rate from 3004 runners, the colt has no course win on record and remains unexposed. His market read of 7/1 in a field of 9 suggests some interest, and from draw 9 he is likely to be positioned towards the rear before making his move.
Pat's Cash KTB Fit 47/100
Pat's Cash arrives with placed form having recorded recent figures of 25 and is dropping in class. The Hugo Palmer-trained runner has a 15% strike rate at Leicester with an A/E of 0.83 from 81 runs, though the jockey course record is unavailable. He has had one run on good to soft without winning or placing and has no course form on record. With a non-runner jockey situation the exact partnership remains to be confirmed, yet his experience could prove valuable in a field where many are still finding their way.
Hamdani Mokhater KTB Fit 47/100
Hamdani Mokhater has shown some ability in two starts with recent form figures of 57 and is rated 47 on KTB Fit. James Horton has an 11% strike rate at Leicester with an A/E of 0.95 from 19 runs, but Paddy Bradley has a 0% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0 from 14 rides. The colt is unproven on good to soft having had no runs on the surface, and he has no course form on record. From draw 2 he could be forwardly placed, which may be an advantage if the race develops into a test of stamina late on.
Akaraka KTB Fit 46/100
Akaraka is another with a solid KTB Fit Score of 46 and is by Ghaiyyath, who has a 15% overall win rate from 795 runners. The Michael Bell-trained colt has a trainer and jockey record of 0/5 and the yard has an 11% strike rate at Leicester with an A/E of 0.82 from 529 runs, while Ross Coakley has a 10% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.7 from 50 rides. He has no course win on record and is likely to race prominently from draw 1. His market read of 7/2 in a field of 9 highlights the respect in which he is held on debut.
The rest of the field
Duke Of BurgundyKTB Fit 44/100
Duke Of Burgundy is by Belardo, who has a 10% overall win rate from 3759 runners. Richard Hannon has a 13% strike rate at Leicester with an A/E of 0.88 from 361 runs, while Joe Leavy has a 10% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.67 from 41 rides. The colt has no course win on record.
Bin WaaryKTB Fit 44/100
Bin Waary has recent form figures of 43 and is dropping in class. Charlie Johnston has a 7% strike rate at Leicester with an A/E of 0.44 from 44 runs, but Silvestre De Sousa brings a strong 21% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 1.11 from 312 rides. The colt is unproven on good to soft having had no runs on the surface and has no course form on record.
Dr RascalKTB Fit 44/100
Dr Rascal is by Sottsass, who has an 11% overall win rate from 479 runners. Oliver Cole has a 0% strike rate at Leicester with an A/E of 0 from 5 runs, while Kaiya Fraser has a 14% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.91 from 14 rides. The colt has no course win on record.
Eighth ImmortalKTB Fit 44/100
Eighth Immortal is by Naval Crown, who has a 15% overall win rate from 13 runners. Jack Jones has an 8% strike rate at Leicester with an A/E of 0.63 from 25 runs, while Lewis Edmunds has a 9% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.76 from 101 rides. The colt has no course win on record.
Turtle BeachKTB Fit 42/100
Turtle Beach is by Palace Pier, who has a 13% overall win rate from 313 runners. The Julia & Shelley Birkett yard has a 0% strike rate at Leicester with an A/E of 0 from 13 runs, while Dylan Hogan has a 7% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.7 from 82 rides. The colt has no course win on record.
KTB verdict
Alfey Moon is the KTB Selection and has the right blend of experience, trainer and jockey course stats to take this. The David Evans and Pat Cosgrave combination has proven effective at Leicester, and his two runs have provided a foundation from which to progress dropping in class. Rasananda is the obvious danger with matching top Fit Score and strong yard figures at the track, while Pat's Cash and Akaraka bring placed form and market support respectively. Hamdani Mokhater could figure if the ground is not an issue, but the selection looks best placed to strike first.
KTB Selection Alfey Moon
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:31 UTC, 13 Jun. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Alfey Moon | 10/1 | 7Bet |
| Rasananda | 7/1 | Bet365 |
| Hamdani Mokhater | 22/1 | William Hill |
| Akaraka | 7/2 | 7Bet |
| Duke Of Burgundy | 11/4 | Bet365 |
| Bin Waary | 9/2 | Bet365 |
| Dr Rascal | 5/1 | Bet365 |
| Eighth Immortal | 14/1 | 7Bet |
| Turtle Beach | 22/1 | William Hill |
This is the narrative read of the 6:00 Leicester. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Leicester racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the joint-highest KTB Fit Score?
Alfey Moon and Rasananda both have a KTB Fit Score of 50.
How many runs has Alfey Moon had on good to soft ground?
Alfey Moon has had 2 runs on good to soft, with no win or place.
What is Silvestre De Sousa's strike rate at Leicester?
Silvestre De Sousa has a 21% strike rate at Leicester with an A/E of 1.11 from 312 rides.
Which sire has the highest overall win rate among the principals?
Ghaiyyath has a 15% overall win rate from 795 runners, the joint-highest alongside Naval Crown.
How many of the field have recorded placed form in recent starts?
Three runners have recent placed form: Alfey Moon (04), Pat's Cash (25) and Bin Waary (43).
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