6:00 Lingfield
A Class 6 classified stakes over 1m2f at Lingfield on good ground brings together a field of 12 where the KTB numbers suggest a fairly modest standard overall. The top five in the Fit rankings are tightly bunched between 53 and 56, indicating little to choose between the principals on pure figures. Lady Aiyana heads the KTB order and is the selection, though several others bring recent placed form or course experience that keeps the race competitive.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape points to a fairly even tempo with no obvious front-runner dominating. Lady Aiyana from stall 2 and Pam's Sonnet from stall 1 are likely to be prominent or handy early, while several others including Pablo Prince and Hawaiian King tend to race in mid-division. The key question is whether the race will be decided by those coming from off the pace on this turning track or whether the prominent runners can dictate matters and hold on up the straight.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Lady Aiyana KTB Selection56/100
- 2Pablo Prince54/100
- 3Eager Puccini54/100
- 4Moonlit Cloud53/100
- 5Pam's Sonnet53/100
- 6Monks Mead52/100
- 7Raise The Stakes47/100
- 8Sir Patchy42/100
- 9Amalfi Bluebell42/100
- 10Reel Power40/100
- 11Hawaiian King39/100
- 12Rockafeller Skank38/100
The contenders
Lady Aiyana KTB Fit 56/100
Lady Aiyana tops the KTB Fit ratings at 56 and is the selection. The four-year-old has form figures of 346-68 and is yet to win, but her recent efforts suggest she is competitive at this level. Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque's runner has an 8% strike rate at Lingfield with an A/E of 1.27 from 12 runs, while Rhys Clutterbuck brings a 15% strike rate here with an A/E of 1.17 from 52 rides. She has had only one run on good ground without placing and finished ninth on her sole previous visit to the track. From a low draw of two she should be able to take a handy position early.
Pablo Prince KTB Fit 54/100
Pablo Prince is rated just behind on a KTB Fit of 54. The eight-year-old has recent form of -62467 and has shown enough to be considered in this company. Karen Jewell trains him with a 10% strike rate at Lingfield and an A/E of 2.14 from 29 runs, though the trainer and jockey combination is currently 0 from 6. William Carson has a 6% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.57 from 249 rides. He has had two runs on good ground without placing and was sixth on his only previous start here. Likely to race in mid-division from draw four.
Eager Puccini KTB Fit 54/100
Eager Puccini matches Pablo Prince on a KTB Fit of 54. The four-year-old arrives with form figures of 700-68 and is fitted with first-time headgear in a bid to spark improvement. Julia & Shelley Birkett have a 17% strike rate at Lingfield with an A/E of 1.65 from just six runs, while Dylan Hogan has a 10% strike rate here with an A/E of 0.69 from 30 rides. He has had one run on good ground without placing and has no previous course form. Drawn wide in stall 11, he will need to overcome that disadvantage.
Moonlit Cloud KTB Fit 53/100
Moonlit Cloud is next on KTB Fit at 53. The eight-year-old has recent form of 87-459 and brings some placed form into the race, having finished second on his only previous visit to Lingfield. Dean Ivory has a modest 3% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.34 from 147 runs, but Josephine Gordon is more positive with a 15% strike rate and A/E of 1.26 from 96 rides. He has won once from nine starts on good ground with three placed efforts, which could be relevant here. Likely to be towards the rear from his wide draw of ten.
Pam's Sonnet KTB Fit 53/100
Pam's Sonnet completes the principals with a KTB Fit of 53. The three-year-old has form figures of 56886 and is the youngest in the field, which may count in her favour at this level. Tim Vaughan and Callum Hutchinson have combined for a 13% strike rate with an A/E of 2.19 and a healthy +£28.50 LSP. The trainer has a 15% strike rate at Lingfield with an A/E of 0.95 from 88 runs, while the jockey has a 10% strike rate here with an A/E of 0.9 from 31 rides. She has had one run on good ground without placing and has no previous course form. Drawn in stall one, she should be able to race prominently.
The rest of the field
Monks MeadKTB Fit 52/100
Monks Mead has a KTB Fit of 52 and recent form of 124328. He has won once from two starts at Lingfield and has been placed six times from eight runs on good ground, making him competitive on the forecast conditions. The trainer and jockey combination is 8 from 110 with an A/E of 0.73.
Raise The StakesKTB Fit 47/100
Raise The Stakes is rated 47 on KTB Fit with form of 960-09. He tries first-time headgear having had no previous runs on good ground, which leaves him with a question to answer. The trainer and jockey are currently 0 from 16 together.
Sir PatchyKTB Fit 42/100
Sir Patchy has a KTB Fit of 42 and recent form of 2385-8. He is a non-runner so takes no part.
Amalfi BluebellKTB Fit 42/100
Amalfi Bluebell is rated 42 on KTB Fit with form of 0577-. The three-year-old has had two runs on good ground without placing and was seventh on his only previous start at Lingfield. The jockey has a 0% strike rate at the track from one ride.
Reel PowerKTB Fit 40/100
Reel Power has a KTB Fit of 40 and form of 498-80. He has been placed once from four starts on good ground and has two previous runs at Lingfield, finishing fourth on one of them. The trainer has a 2% strike rate at the course.
Hawaiian KingKTB Fit 39/100
Hawaiian King is rated 39 on KTB Fit with form of 448607. He has had one run on good ground without placing and has no previous course form. The trainer has a 3% strike rate at Lingfield.
Rockafeller SkankKTB Fit 38/100
Rockafeller Skank has the lowest KTB Fit at 38 but arrives with recent form of 00-111, showing progressive signs. The three-year-old has had two runs on good ground without placing and the trainer has an 18% strike rate at Lingfield.
KTB verdict
Lady Aiyana is the KTB Selection at the head of a tight Fit ranking and brings the right blend of trainer and jockey course stats into a race that looks within her compass. Her low draw should allow her to take up a good early position in a contest where the pace is not expected to be overly strong. The main dangers are likely to come from Moonlit Cloud, who has course placings and good-ground experience, Monks Mead with his course win, and the progressive Rockafeller Skank, though several others cannot be ruled out in what remains an open-looking classified stakes.
KTB Selection Lady Aiyana
This is the narrative read of the 6:00 Lingfield. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Lingfield racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has course placing form at Lingfield?
Moonlit Cloud has finished second on his only previous start here, while Monks Mead has won one of his two starts at the track.
Who is the youngest horse in the field and what is its draw?
Pam's Sonnet is the only three-year-old among the principals and is drawn in stall 1, while Raise The Stakes, Amalfi Bluebell and Rockafeller Skank are the other three-year-olds.
Which runner is trying headgear for the first time?
Eager Puccini and Raise The Stakes are both fitted with first-time headgear.
Which horse has the best trainer strike rate at Lingfield among the principals?
Eager Puccini, with the trainer recording a 17% strike rate at the track and an A/E of 1.65 from six runs.
How many horses have no previous course form?
Eager Puccini, Pam's Sonnet, Raise The Stakes, Sir Patchy, Hawaiian King and Rockafeller Skank have no course form on record.
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