6:03 Worcester
This Class 4 mares' maiden hurdle at Worcester over 2m on good ground features a field of 15 with several lightly raced types and recent winners in the mix. The KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched at the top, with Elated heading the numbers on 60, followed by a cluster around the low- to mid-50s. First-time headgear is a recurring theme among the principals, and the overall picture suggests a race that will ask fresh questions of several runners stepping up in class or returning to an optimum trip.
How the race shapes up
With two or more habitual front-runners declared the pace shape is strong and confidence in that assessment is high. Elated and Sparkling Water both tend to make the running or race prominently, which should ensure an honest gallop that has the potential to collapse late. That in turn would favour the hold-up performers such as Nala The Lioness, Lady Bee Great and Take The Boat, who can be produced with a late run. The key question is whether the pace holds or whether the race falls apart in the final furlong.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Elated KTB Selection60/100Useful performer who has been placed on his last four starts and drops back to a trip where he has already shown his best form.
- 2Matilda Maid53/100Matilda Maid showed very little on her sole start here over this trip when finishing tenth.
- 3Nala The Lioness50/100Nala The Lioness arrives in good heart with three consecutive seconds and steps up in trip to a distance at which she has been placed every time she has tried i…
- 4Sparkling Water50/100Sparkling Water showed fair form when winning a similar race here on good ground last time and has already won at this trip.
- 5Dreaming Of The Dr50/100Lightly raced with only three career runs and recent form of 7-46 that offers little to go on.
- 6Datstheholyallofit49/100Datstheholyallofit showed progressive form when landing a hat-trick on his third start last time, having won at today's trip on good ground.
- 7Adba48/100Adba has shown only modest form in six runs as a juvenile hurdler and was well held on her most recent start.
- 8Sweet Honey B47/100Sweet Honey B is a useful performer on the balance of her ratings and race history.
- 9Lady Bee Great47/100Useful mare who has won her last two starts and arrives in decent form.
- 10Blue Topaz43/100Blue Topaz showed fair ability when winning a bumper on good ground and has placed once over hurdles.
- 11Do Wah Diddy42/100Lightly raced with only three career starts and recent form of 29/8 that offers little encouragement.
- 12Evenly42/100Evenly showed only modest form when sixth on debut here over this trip on good ground.
- 13Take The Boat40/100Useful performer who arrives in decent nick with three straight placed efforts.
- 14Pearl Knot40/100Pearl Knot has shown very little in three runs since unseating on debut, finishing well beaten on both subsequent starts.
- 15Whinny Houston39/100Whinny Houston has shown very little in two starts so far, pulling up or finishing well beaten both times including over this trip.
The contenders
Elated KTB Fit 60/100
Elated is a useful performer who has been placed on his last four starts and now drops back to a trip where he has already shown his best form. First-time headgear is added after a string of consistent but not quite winning efforts, and this looks a sensible move. The yard posts an 18% strike rate at Worcester with an A/E of 0.98 from 187 runs, while Ben Jones has a 12% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.89 from 139 rides. He has been placed twice from three runs on good ground without winning, and he tends to make the running or race on the pace. Trainer and jockey both hold solid records at Worcester, and he is the KTB Selection.
Matilda Maid KTB Fit 53/100
Matilda Maid showed very little on her sole start here over this trip when finishing tenth. The yard and jockey both have tiny samples at Worcester so their local form is impossible to read with any confidence. She is stepping up in class and everything else about her is based on a single run so she remains very hard to assess. The trainer has a 50% strike rate at Worcester from just two runs while the jockey is yet to score from a single ride. She has had one run on good ground without placing.
Nala The Lioness KTB Fit 50/100
Nala The Lioness arrives in good heart with three consecutive seconds and steps up in trip to a distance at which she has been placed every time she has tried it. The first-time headgear is an interesting addition while the yard's respectable record at Worcester offers some encouragement. She remains unproven on good ground though and this is her first run here. The stable has a 13% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.93 from 40 runs, and the jockey has a 10% strike rate with an A/E of 0.79 from 40 rides. She is usually held up and produces her effort late.
Sparkling Water KTB Fit 50/100
Sparkling Water showed fair form when winning a similar race here on good ground last time and has already won at this trip. The first-time headgear is an unknown on a horse with only three career runs. Trainer and jockey both hold solid records at Worcester, with Dan Skelton on 18% strike rate and an A/E of 0.79 from 388 runs, and Harry Skelton posting a 20% strike rate with an A/E of 0.89 from 379 rides. She has one win from one run on good ground. She tends to make the running or race on the pace.
Dreaming Of The Dr KTB Fit 50/100
Dreaming Of The Dr is lightly raced with only three career runs and recent form of 7-46 that offers little to go on. She has been tried twice at this trip without success and first-time headgear is now applied. The trainer has a solid 15% strike rate at Worcester from 34 runs while the jockey posts an 11% strike rate from 27 rides here. She has had two runs on good ground without placing. She is usually held up and produces her effort late, though the evidence is limited.
The rest of the field
DatstheholyallofitKTB Fit 49/100
Datstheholyallofit showed progressive form when landing a hat-trick on his third start last time, having won at today's trip on good ground. The yard's record here is too small a sample to judge while Brian Hughes has a solid 17% strike-rate from 153 rides at Worcester. With only three career runs overall the form must be treated with caution.
AdbaKTB Fit 48/100
Adba has shown only modest form in six runs as a juvenile hurdler and was well held on her most recent start. She is now asked a fresh question over this trip having failed to make an impact in her sole attempt at the distance. The trainer has had too few runners at Worcester to form any reliable view while the jockey operates at a modest 8% strike rate here.
Sweet Honey BKTB Fit 47/100
Sweet Honey B is a useful performer on the balance of her ratings and race history. She has been consistent enough in her limited starts but now drops back in trip to 2m having failed to win in her only previous try at the distance. The trainer has a 0% strike rate from seven runs at Worcester while the jockey operates at an 8% strike rate from 286 rides here.
Lady Bee GreatKTB Fit 47/100
Lady Bee Great is a useful mare who has won her last two starts and arrives in decent form. She drops back to 2m today having been well held over longer trips on her last three runs at this distance, and she has never placed on good ground from three attempts. The yard and jockey both have modest strike rates at Worcester.
Blue TopazKTB Fit 43/100
Blue Topaz showed fair ability when winning a bumper on good ground and has placed once over hurdles. Dropping back to 2m today after a poor effort at 2m4f looks a sensible move though the small overall sample means the form has to be treated with caution. First-time headgear is now fitted while the yard has a solid 15% strike rate at Worcester but the jockey is still seeking his first winner from 24 rides here.
Do Wah DiddyKTB Fit 42/100
Do Wah Diddy is lightly raced with only three career starts and recent form of 29/8 that offers little encouragement. She drops back to 2m where she has placed once without winning, though the small sample makes that hard to weigh up. The trainer holds a solid 18% strike rate at Worcester from 28 runs while the jockey is still seeking her first winner from five rides here.
EvenlyKTB Fit 42/100
Evenly showed only modest form when sixth on debut here over this trip on good ground. The yard has a solid 13% strike-rate at Worcester from a big sample but the jockey is operating at a 5% rate from 57 rides. With just one run on the board overall the picture remains very limited.
Take The BoatKTB Fit 40/100
Take The Boat is a useful performer who arrives in decent nick with three straight placed efforts. She drops back to an untried 2m trip which asks a fresh question while the yard's modest 3% strike rate at Worcester offers little encouragement. The jockey's 8% record at the track is similarly limited.
Pearl KnotKTB Fit 40/100
Pearl Knot has shown very little in three runs since unseating on debut, finishing well beaten on both subsequent starts. The yard and jockey both have modest records at Worcester and the horse remains lightly raced with too few runs to judge either the ground or his true level. He is being asked the same trip distance again today where he has already failed to make an impact.
Whinny HoustonKTB Fit 39/100
Whinny Houston has shown very little in two starts so far, pulling up or finishing well beaten both times including over this trip. The horse has already been tried twice at Worcester without placing. Trainer and jockey records at the track are both modest.
KTB verdict
Elated is the KTB Selection. He is a useful performer who has been placed on his last four starts and drops back to a trip where he has already shown his best form, with first-time headgear now added after consistent efforts. The combination of his prominent run-style and the yard's solid Worcester record gives him every chance in a race where the strong pace could collapse late. Main dangers include Sparkling Water, who won a similar event here last time on good ground, and Nala The Lioness, who arrives in good heart with three seconds and steps up in trip. Lady Bee Great and the progressive Datstheholyallofit are others who cannot be ruled out on the balance of their form.
KTB Selection Elated
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:02 UTC, 19 Aug. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Elated | 11/2 | Bet365 |
| Matilda Maid | 40/1 | 7Bet |
| Nala The Lioness | 16/1 | Bet365 |
| Sparkling Water | 11/8 | Bet365 |
| Dreaming Of The Dr | 18/1 | Bet365 |
| Datstheholyallofit | 7/1 | William Hill |
| Adba | 50/1 | 7Bet |
| Sweet Honey B | 16/1 | Bet365 |
| Lady Bee Great | 14/1 | 7Bet |
| Blue Topaz | 10/1 | William Hill |
| Do Wah Diddy | 40/1 | 7Bet |
| Evenly | 28/1 | William Hill |
| Take The Boat | 6/1 | William Hill |
| Pearl Knot | 50/1 | 7Bet |
| Whinny Houston | 150/1 | 7Bet |
This is the narrative read of the 6:03 Worcester. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Worcester racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is unproven on good ground among the leading contenders?
Nala The Lioness remains unproven on good ground.
How many career runs does Sparkling Water have?
Sparkling Water has only three career runs.
Which runner has the strongest recent winning sequence in the field?
Lady Bee Great has won her last two starts.
Who has the best Worcester strike rate among the trainers of the top five?
Mrs Sara V Bradstock has a 50% strike rate at Worcester from two runs.
Which horse tends to be held up with high-confidence run-style data?
Nala The Lioness and Take The Boat are usually held up with high-confidence run-style assessments.
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