6:15 Windsor
This Class 4 Fitzdares Nursery Handicap over 6f12y at Windsor on good to firm ground brings together five juveniles where the KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched at the top. Harry Knows tops the rankings on 62 with Keep Kicking On just a point behind on 61, while Everatease sits on 54. The race lacks an obvious leader and is set to be a steadily-run, tactical affair in which being handy could prove advantageous.
How the race shapes up
With no horse wanting to take the race by the scruff from the front, the pace is likely to be modest and the runners could bunch up early. All five are usually held up and produce their effort late, so the race should develop into a sprint for the line in the final two furlongs. The key question is which horse can quicken best off a steady gallop while negotiating the straight at Windsor effectively from their respective draws.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Harry Knows KTB Selection62/100Harry Knows has shown consistent form as a fair 2yo with two placed efforts and two wins from five starts, including a victory over this trip and on this ground…
- 2Keep Kicking On61/100Has shown steady improvement and got the job done here last time over this trip on good to firm ground.
- 3Everatease54/100Fair performer who has won two of her six starts including both previous runs at this trip.
- 4This Moment50/100This Moment has shown fair form in three starts and has been placed twice at this trip.
- 5El Lambo43/100Modest performer who has shown mixed form across five runs, including a win at a lower level but two modest efforts since.
The contenders
Harry Knows KTB Fit 62/100
Harry Knows arrives in excellent heart with form figures of 24221 and has already shown himself a fair 2yo, recording two placed efforts alongside two wins from five starts. The most recent success came over this trip on good to firm ground and he also won on his only previous visit to Windsor, making the course-and-distance factor a strong positive. First-time headgear is now applied in the hope it will sharpen him up further. Richard Hughes has a 10% strike rate at the track from 286 runs while Oisin Murphy, who boasts a 20% strike rate at Windsor from 694 rides, takes the mount. The yard's modest record here from a large sample is the only slight negative against an otherwise appealing profile.
Keep Kicking On KTB Fit 61/100
Keep Kicking On has shown steady improvement and got the job done over this trip on good to firm ground here last time out, taking his record to one win from four starts. The form of that success looks fair for the level and his 1-from-1 course record stands out as a clear plus. Clive Cox brings a solid 14% strike rate at Windsor from 623 runs while Hector Crouch, who has a 14% strike rate at the track from 262 rides, is in the saddle. Like the selection he is a hold-up performer and will be looking to come from off the pace in what is expected to be a steadily-run race.
Everatease KTB Fit 54/100
Everatease is a fair performer with two wins from six starts, including both her previous runs at this trip. Dropping back from 7f should suit her and the draw in stall one looks ideal at this track. She has recorded three runs on good to firm without placing, however, which is a slight concern on the forecasted surface. Eve Johnson Houghton has a 10% strike rate at Windsor from 449 runs and Callum Hutchinson, with a 12% strike rate at the venue from 76 rides, takes the ride. The trainer and jockey combination shows a positive A/E of 1.64 on the card.
The rest of the field
This MomentKTB Fit 50/100
This Moment has shown fair form in three starts and has been placed twice at this trip. The yard has a solid 17% strike rate at Windsor from 131 runs and, being lightly raced with only three runs on the clock, there is still scope for improvement, although the horse remains unproven on good to firm ground.
El LamboKTB Fit 43/100
El Lambo is a modest performer who has shown mixed form across five runs, including a win at a lower level but two modest efforts since. He has already tried this trip three times without success and was well held when sixth on his only visit to Windsor. Charles Hills has a solid 14% strike rate here from 352 runs while Rob Hornby is less established at the track.
KTB verdict
Harry Knows looks the one to beat. He has shown consistent form as a fair 2yo, boasts a win over this trip and on this ground, and won on his only previous visit to Windsor, with the first-time headgear potentially able to sharpen him up further. Keep Kicking On is the obvious danger after getting the job done here last time with the form looking fair for the level and a 1-from-1 course record to his name. Everatease cannot be entirely dismissed as a fair performer dropping in class and trip with a good draw, while This Moment and El Lambo make up the remainder of a compact field.
KTB Selection Harry Knows
This is the narrative read of the 6:15 Windsor. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Windsor racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has course-and-distance winning form?
Harry Knows won here on his only previous visit to Windsor.
What headgear is being tried on Harry Knows?
First-time headgear.
How many wins has Everatease recorded at this trip?
Two wins from her previous runs at this trip.
Which horse is dropping in class?
Everatease.
Who has the strongest trainer/jockey A/E on the card?
Eve Johnson Houghton and Callum Hutchinson with an A/E of 1.64.
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