6:40 Killarney
The 6:40 at Killarney is a 15-runner handicap over 1m0f30y at the Plaza Hotel & Spa meeting. The KTB Fit scores point to a fairly modest contest overall, with the top-rated runner San Aer on just 59 and a cluster of similar types below him. Most of the field arrive with questions to answer regarding the ground, the trip, or their recent form, while several make their first visit to the track.
How the race shapes up
The race-level pace shape suggests a fairly even tempo with no dominant front-runner. San Aer and Majestic King are both likely to race prominently from draws of 10 and 1 respectively, while several others including Galley Point and Little Miss P can be handy. The key question is whether the first-time headgear on half the field will sharpen anyone sufficiently to overcome modest recent form and the unproven ground for so many.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1San Aer KTB Selection59/100Modest performer who has run well at this track before, finishing second on his only previous attempt over this distance.
- 2Usuario Amigo55/100Modest performer with a string of poor recent efforts including six defeats this year.
- 3Majestic King51/100Modest performer who has won once over today's trip from four attempts and arrives in reasonable form having shown a placed effort on his penultimate start.
- 4No More Porter49/100Modest performer who has been placed on his last two starts including a second over this trip at the course.
- 5Galley Point48/100Modest performer who showed his best effort when fourth over C&D on his penultimate start.
- 6Red Hugh O'Donnell46/100Modest gelding who has shown very little in two completed starts on the Flat in Britain.
- 7Tofino44/100Modest performer who has won once over today's trip from seven attempts.
- 8Spent All Me Money44/100Modest performer who has shown a bit of ability on his day but was well below form on return last time.
- 9Elusive Duke43/100Modest performer who has been consistent enough of late with three placed efforts from his last four starts.
- 10Little Miss P43/100Modest performer who has struggled since her early promise and arrives on the back of three poor runs.
- 11Marambo43/100Modest performer who has shown steady rather than sparkling form in three runs, finishing fourth on both starts at this trip.
- 12Hexagonal41/100Modest performer who has shown bits of ability on his better days, including two placed efforts at this trip from five attempts.
- 13Amemri40/100Modest performer who has won twice at this trip but has been largely out of form this year and was well held both previous runs here.
- 14Mags40/100Mags is a limited performer with a poor recent record of four straight defeats and no wins in the last year.
- 15Mythical Rock37/100Modest performer with a solid recent record that includes two wins and several placed efforts.
The contenders
San Aer KTB Fit 59/100
San Aer is a modest performer who has run well at this track before, finishing second on his only previous attempt over this distance. He steps up in trip today having been well beaten on his last three starts and now tries headgear for the first time. The trainer has a 15% strike rate at Killarney with an A/E of 1.12 from 67 runs, while the jockey has a 10% strike rate with an A/E of 1.18 from 62 rides. Trainer and jockey both have solid records here though the horse remains unproven on this ground. From draw 10 he can race prominently in a race where the pace shape looks even.
Usuario Amigo KTB Fit 55/100
Usuario Amigo is a modest performer with a string of poor recent efforts including six defeats this year. He steps up markedly in trip having last run over 6½f and is unproven on the ground having never raced on it. The trainer has an 18% strike rate at Killarney with an A/E of 1.28 from 38 runs, and the jockey has a 19% strike rate with an A/E of 1.28 from 295 rides. Both trainer and jockey have solid records here though the horse itself makes its first appearance at Killarney. From draw 7 he could be involved in the early pace.
Majestic King KTB Fit 51/100
Majestic King is a modest performer who has won once over today's trip from four attempts and arrives in reasonable form having shown a placed effort on his penultimate start. This is his first time at Killarney and he is unproven on this ground, both of which add uncertainty. The yard has a modest 7% strike rate from 231 runs here, while the jockey has a similar 6% record from 155 rides at the track. Drawn in stall 1 he is likely to be prominent early in a race that should have an even pace overall.
No More Porter KTB Fit 49/100
No More Porter is a modest performer who has been placed on his last two starts including a second over this trip at the course. He is unproven on the ground having never raced on it and now tries headgear for the first time. The trainer has a 9% strike rate at Killarney with an A/E of 0.83 from 113 runs, while the jockey has a 10% strike rate with an A/E of 0.71 from 21 rides. Both trainer and jockey have modest records here. From draw 13 he will need to overcome a wide berth.
Galley Point KTB Fit 48/100
Galley Point is a modest performer who showed his best effort when fourth over C&D on his penultimate start. Dropping back from 1m2½f today asks a fresh question while the yard has a 5% strike rate from 348 runs at Killarney and the jockey has a 5% record from 81 rides here, both of which offer little encouragement. Only one previous run at the trip brought no success. Drawn in stall 2 he should be able to race prominently.
The rest of the field
Red Hugh O'DonnellKTB Fit 46/100
Red Hugh O'Donnell is a modest gelding who has shown very little in two completed starts on the Flat in Britain. First-time headgear is now fitted and the yard has a modest 4% strike rate at Killarney with an A/E of 0.64 from 27 runs, while the jockey has a 5% strike rate with an A/E of 0.64 from 42 rides.
TofinoKTB Fit 44/100
Tofino is a modest performer who has won once over today's trip from seven attempts. He has shown little spark in recent runs though and makes his first visit to Killarney from a wide draw. The trainer has a 7% strike rate at Killarney with an A/E of 0.47 from 197 runs, and the jockey has an 8% strike rate with an A/E of 0.67 from 193 rides.
Spent All Me MoneyKTB Fit 44/100
Spent All Me Money is a modest performer who has shown a bit of ability on his day but was well below form on return last time. This is his first run at Killarney and he is unproven on the ground, while the trainer has a 0% strike rate from 11 attempts here and stall 15 is far from ideal.
Elusive DukeKTB Fit 43/100
Elusive Duke is a modest performer who has been consistent enough of late with three placed efforts from his last four starts. He drops back in trip today having looked as though he would stay further last time and remains unproven on this ground. The trainer has a 0% strike rate here from 11 runs while the jockey has no prior rides at the track.
Little Miss PKTB Fit 43/100
Little Miss P is a modest performer who has struggled since her early promise and arrives on the back of three poor runs. She has placed once at this trip but steps up in distance today for the first time in a while while wearing headgear for the first time. The yard has a solid 12% strike rate at Killarney with an A/E of 0.88 from 102 runs and the jockey has an 11% strike rate with an A/E of 0.83 from 379 rides though she remains unproven on the ground.
MaramboKTB Fit 43/100
Marambo is a modest performer who has shown steady rather than sparkling form in three runs, finishing fourth on both starts at this trip. First-time headgear is now fitted which may sharpen him up, though the yard has a solid 13% strike rate at Killarney with an A/E of 1.11 from 8 runs while the jockey has a 4% strike rate with an A/E of 0.46 from 24 rides.
HexagonalKTB Fit 41/100
Hexagonal is a modest performer who has shown bits of ability on his better days, including two placed efforts at this trip from five attempts. First-time headgear is now applied after a string of ordinary efforts and he remains unproven on this ground. The trainer has a 7% strike rate at Killarney with an A/E of 0.71 from 231 runs, and the jockey has a 10% strike rate with an A/E of 0.84 from 320 rides.
AmemriKTB Fit 40/100
Amemri is a modest performer who has won twice at this trip but has been largely out of form this year and was well held both previous runs here. First-time headgear is a possible plus but the yard has a modest 8% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.78 from 154 runs and the jockey has a very poor 2% strike rate with an A/E of 0.19 from 49 rides. He remains unproven on the ground.
MagsKTB Fit 40/100
Mags is a limited performer with a poor recent record of four straight defeats and no wins in the last year. She has won over today's trip but is unproven on this ground and makes her first start at Killarney. The trainer has a 0% strike rate from 25 runs here while the jockey has a solid 13% strike rate with an A/E of 1.02 from 91 rides.
Mythical RockKTB Fit 37/100
Mythical Rock is a modest performer with a solid recent record that includes two wins and several placed efforts. He has placed without winning at this trip from 18 attempts and makes his first start here today. The trainer has a 13% strike rate at Killarney with an A/E of 0.85 from 167 runs while the jockey has a 4% strike rate with an A/E of 0.32 from 81 rides.
KTB verdict
San Aer is the KTB Selection. He is a modest performer who has run well at this track before, finishing second on his only previous attempt over this distance, and the first-time headgear may help him bounce back from recent poor runs. Trainer and jockey both have solid records at Killarney which adds to the appeal. His main dangers are No More Porter, who has been placed on his last two starts including a second over this trip at the course, and Majestic King, who arrives in reasonable form having shown a placed effort on his penultimate start.
KTB Selection San Aer
This is the narrative read of the 6:40 Killarney. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Killarney racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horses are wearing first-time headgear?
San Aer, No More Porter, Red Hugh O'Donnell, Little Miss P, Marambo, Hexagonal and Amemri are all fitted with first-time headgear.
Which horses have previous placed form at Killarney?
San Aer has been second here, No More Porter has been second here, Galley Point has been fourth here, Little Miss P has been fifth here and Amemri has been fifth and tenth here.
Who has the strongest trainer and jockey combination at the track?
The trainer and jockey record for San Aer shows 12/86 (14%) with an A/E of 1.67 and +£123.04 LSP, while Usuario Amigo's trainer and jockey have 0/19 (0%) with an A/E of 0.00 and -£19.00 LSP.
Which horses are stepping up or down markedly in trip?
Usuario Amigo steps up markedly in trip from 6½f, while Elusive Duke drops back in trip having looked as though he would stay further last time.
How many runners are unproven on the ground?
All 15 runners are unproven on the ground with no runs on the surface recorded.
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