6:50 Leopardstown
The 6:50 Leopardstown is a 1m1f handicap division split into 18 runners on good ground. It features a collection of largely limited performers, many of whom have been out of form or shown only modest ability to date. The KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched at the top, underlining a race where few stand out on pure ability and where trainer and jockey records at the track, along with draw and trip questions, will play a significant part.
How the race shapes up
With a field of this size and a spread of run-styles, the pace shape looks likely to be on the steady side early, with several hold-up types in the mix. The race could be won or lost from mid-pack or off the pace, as those drawn lower and with more forward-run styles may contest the lead. The key question is whether any of the higher-drawn principals can overcome wide berths or if the race will fall to one of the few with placed course form and a favourable position.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Rampage56/100Rampage is a limited performer who has been on the go for a long time and showed no spark in his last five starts.
- 2Lohengrin KTB Selection56/100Limited performer who has been out of form for some time with five poor runs since his last placed effort.
- 3Curious Jane55/100Curious Jane has shown very little in three starts to date and is rated a limited performer on that evidence.
- 4Smooth52/100Limited performer who has struggled since last year and finished well beaten on both starts here.
- 5Max Meridius50/100Limited performer who has struggled to make an impact in 11 starts and arrives here off the back of four modest efforts last season.
- 6Ella's Gold46/100Ella's Gold has placed on four of her seven starts and showed her best effort when second over this trip at Leopardstown last time.
- 7William F Browne45/100Limited performer who has struggled for form in recent starts and finished well beaten on his last two runs here.
- 8Chipsrdown44/100Limited performer who has shown nothing better than modest placed form in recent starts.
- 9Lust43/100Lust is a limited performer who has shown little for a long time and was well beaten on his only previous run here.
- 10Genuine Jim43/100Genuine Jim is a limited performer who has been well beaten on his last three starts and looks up against it from stall 14.
- 11Shanlieve43/100Modest performer who has failed to land a blow in five starts and was well beaten on reappearance last time.
- 12Nephin Mountain41/100Limited sort who has failed to place in six starts since his debut and looks up against it from stall 13.
- 13Pinball Wizard39/100Limited performer who has been largely out of form for some time and showed little spark when seventh on his most recent start.
- 14Akashaa37/100Akashaa has shown only limited ability in six starts to date and was well held when last seen in a maiden at this track.
- 15Jewels Legacy37/100Limited horse who has struggled to make an impact in five starts to date and was well beaten on reappearance.
- 16Limestone Red35/100Limited performer who has shown little at this track in two runs and has no win or place from six starts on good ground.
- 17Hieloray33/100Limited horse who has been on the go for a while now and looks exposed after 13 runs.
- 18Half Nutz30/100Half Nutz is a limited performer who has shown occasional spark at this track, finishing second on his last two visits to Leopardstown.
The contenders
Rampage KTB Fit 56/100
Rampage is a limited performer who has been on the go for a long time and showed no spark in his last five starts. He has won over this trip in the past and also has a Leopardstown success on his record, though his record at the track now reads just 1-13. The trainer's modest 5% strike rate here is offset by the jockey's strong 17% from a small sample of rides. His recent form figures of -70867 underline a lack of current spark, and from draw 9 he will need to find something to figure. Overall this looks a stiff task on balance for a horse with modest ability.
Lohengrin KTB Fit 56/100
Lohengrin is the KTB selection and arrives as a limited performer who has been out of form for some time with five poor runs since his last placed effort. He steps up in trip today having been beaten in five previous attempts at this distance while his record on good ground shows three places from 11 starts without a win. Trainer and jockey both have modest strike rates at Leopardstown, with the yard at 9% and the rider at 7%. Recent form figures of 0-B000 reflect his current struggles, yet the selection is made on the basis that he can find a bit more than some of these in a race short on standouts. From draw 10 he is not ideally berthed but his placed efforts on good ground keep him in the mix.
Curious Jane KTB Fit 55/100
Curious Jane has shown very little in three starts to date and is rated a limited performer on that evidence. The yard has a solid 10% strike rate at Leopardstown from 63 runs while Powell sits on an 8% record from 101 rides here. Stepping up to 1m1f is a fresh question and with only three runs on the board the going remains unknown. Recent form figures of 0-00 give little to go on, and from a wide draw in 15 she faces a stiff introduction to handicapping. The trainer-jockey combination offers some encouragement but this looks a tough assignment.
Smooth KTB Fit 52/100
Smooth is a limited performer who has struggled since last year and finished well beaten on both starts here. Drops back from 1m4f to 1m1f having shown little at either trip so far. Trainer and jockey both have modest records at Leopardstown, the yard at 7% and the rider at 10%. Recent form figures of 007-98 reflect his modest level, and from draw 6 he at least has a more favourable berth than some. His two runs at the track have produced no win or place, and this looks another stiff task.
Max Meridius KTB Fit 50/100
Max Meridius is a limited performer who has struggled to make an impact in 11 starts and arrives here off the back of four modest efforts last season. Drops back from 2m to 1m1f having shown no spark on good ground in his only previous run at this trip. Trainer and jockey both have solid Leopardstown records, the yard at 8% and Shane Foley at 11%. Recent form figures of 0965- give little encouragement, and from a low draw in 2 he may be able to secure a decent early position. On balance this looks a stiff task.
The rest of the field
Ella's GoldKTB Fit 46/100
Ella's Gold has placed on four of her seven starts and showed her best effort when second over this trip at Leopardstown last time. The limited class read matches a career best that still leaves her short of top honours here while the trainer's modest 5% strike rate at the track adds little encouragement. First-time headgear is an unknown on what is effectively a limited profile.
William F BrowneKTB Fit 45/100
William F Browne is a limited performer who has struggled for form in recent starts and finished well beaten on his last two runs here. Dropping back from 2m should suit on the balance of his placed effort at this trip but the yard and rider both have poor records at Leopardstown and the wide draw is another negative. Overall he looks up against it.
ChipsrdownKTB Fit 44/100
Chipsrdown is a limited performer who has shown nothing better than modest placed form in recent starts. Has run twice here without placing and the yard’s modest strike rate at the track offers no encouragement. Steps up in trip for the first time today which asks a fresh question of a horse with only seven career runs.
LustKTB Fit 43/100
Lust is a limited performer who has shown little for a long time and was well beaten on his only previous run here. He drops back in trip today having failed to make the frame in three previous attempts at this distance while his trainer remains winless from seven runs at Leopardstown. The jockey has a modest 5% strike rate from 130 rides at the track.
Genuine JimKTB Fit 43/100
Genuine Jim is a limited performer who has been well beaten on his last three starts and looks up against it from stall 14. He has placed once from two runs at Leopardstown and shown some competitiveness on good ground, but the trainer and jockey both operate at a 3% strike rate here. He steps up in trip today having failed to trouble the judge in two previous attempts at this distance.
ShanlieveKTB Fit 43/100
Shanlieve is a modest performer who has failed to land a blow in five starts and was well beaten on reappearance last time. Trainer and jockey both operate at a 4% strike rate here from big sample sizes. Dropping back in trip poses a fresh question while the wide draw adds another negative.
Nephin MountainKTB Fit 41/100
Nephin Mountain is a limited sort who has failed to place in six starts since his debut and looks up against it from stall 13. Three runs at Leopardstown have produced no better than sixth, while the trainer's 6% strike rate and the jockey's 5% record at the track offer little encouragement. Trip is still a question mark after one unplaced effort at this distance.
Pinball WizardKTB Fit 39/100
Pinball Wizard is a limited performer who has been largely out of form for some time and showed little spark when seventh on his most recent start. He steps up in trip today having been placed without winning at this distance in the past, though his record on good ground is modest with just two wins from 16 starts. The trainer has a 4% strike rate from 338 runs here while the jockey is 2% from 95 rides, and this horse was well held on his only previous visit to Leopardstown.
AkashaaKTB Fit 37/100
Akashaa has shown only limited ability in six starts to date and was well held when last seen in a maiden at this track. The step up to 1m1f poses a fresh question while the wide draw in stall 18 adds to the difficulties. Trainer Natalia Lupini has a 4% strike rate from 55 runs here and jockey Chris Hayes operates at 8% from 1197 rides at Leopardstown.
Jewels LegacyKTB Fit 37/100
Jewels Legacy is a limited horse who has struggled to make an impact in five starts to date and was well beaten on reappearance. Drops back in trip with first-time headgear applied while drawn wide. Trainer has only had two runners at the track and the 5lb claimer has a modest 5% strike rate here from 40 rides.
Limestone RedKTB Fit 35/100
Limestone Red is a limited performer who has shown little at this track in two runs and has no win or place from six starts on good ground. Dropping back to 1m1f is at least a neutral move as he has placed once at the trip from three attempts though he was beaten a long way on his most recent outing. Trainer is operating at a 3% strike rate here from 151 runs while the jockey has an 8% record from 575 rides at Leopardstown.
HielorayKTB Fit 33/100
Hieloray is a limited horse who has been on the go for a while now and looks exposed after 13 runs. Steps up in trip having been placed once at this distance without winning and has no experience on good ground. First time at Leopardstown for both horse and trainer while the jockey has a modest 6% strike rate here from a large sample.
Half NutzKTB Fit 30/100
Half Nutz is a limited performer who has shown occasional spark at this track, finishing second on his last two visits to Leopardstown. He has been consistent enough on good ground without winning and steps up in trip today having last run over 7f, which asks a fresh question. The trainer has a 0% strike rate from 26 runs at the course while the jockey has only one ride here so far.
KTB verdict
Lohengrin is the KTB selection in a race where the majority of runners are limited and recent form is generally modest. His placed efforts on good ground and the fact that few others bring stronger claims at this level give him the call. The main dangers are Ella's Gold, who showed her best when second over this trip at the track last time, and Chipsrdown, who has shown modest placed form of late. Rampage and Lust cannot be entirely dismissed on their past course knowledge but both look out of form.
KTB Selection Lohengrin
This is the narrative read of the 6:50 Leopardstown. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Leopardstown racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the strongest jockey record at Leopardstown among the principals?
Sadhbh Tormey has a 17% strike rate at Leopardstown from a small sample of six rides when riding for T G McCourt.
How many placed efforts has Ella's Gold achieved from her seven career starts?
Ella's Gold has placed on four of her seven starts.
Which runners are making their first start at Leopardstown?
Lohengrin, Curious Jane, Max Meridius, Shanlieve, Akashaa, Jewels Legacy and Hieloray have no course form on record.
What is the trainer strike rate at Leopardstown for the yard of the KTB selection?
E D Delany has a 9% strike rate at Leopardstown from 57 runs.
Which horse has course placed form without winning and is stepping up in trip?
Half Nutz has finished second on his last two visits to Leopardstown and steps up in trip today.
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