7:00 Ffos Las
This Class 6 classified stakes over a mile at Ffos Las on good ground brings together eight limited performers in a race where the KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched at the top end. King Of The Dance heads the KTB numbers on 56, just ahead of Knightmare on 50, with Lhebayeb and Create completing the principals on 46 and 42 respectively. The pace shape is tentative with medium confidence, suggesting the race may lack a strong early lead on limited evidence.
How the race shapes up
With the pace shape read as tentative, the race is likely to be run at no more than a modest gallop. Lhebayeb and Keeper Of Secrets both tend to race on the pace or make the running, though the evidence for both is limited and confidence is low. This could leave the race open for the held-up runners such as King Of The Dance and Create to time their efforts late, posing the key question of whether any horse can seize control early or if the race will be decided by those coming from off the pace.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1King Of The Dance KTB Selection56/100Limited performer who has been placed twice from five runs at this track without winning.
- 2Knightmare50/100Knightmare is a limited performer who has been knocking on the door of late with a string of placed efforts including a second here over this trip.
- 3Lhebayeb46/100Limited performer who has been placed once in five runs at this track without winning.
- 4Create42/100Limited performer who has been out of form for some time with recent efforts offering little.
- 5Mooretown Lad39/100Limited class performer who has been around long enough to show his level.
- 6Keeper Of Secrets39/100Limited performer who has failed to trouble the judge in six starts this year and looks no better than modest on recent form.
- 7Cezarro38/100Limited performer who has been struggling to find the frame of late and looks vulnerable from stall 2.
- 8Prophet Squeeze37/100Prophet Squeeze is a limited performer on his record with a string of poor efforts including a recent refusal.
The contenders
King Of The Dance KTB Fit 56/100
King Of The Dance is a limited performer who has been placed twice from five runs at this track without winning. He steps up in trip today having won twice at 1m in the past yet his recent form is modest and the first-time headgear is an unknown. The trainer has a 9% strike rate at Ffos Las backed by a big sample of 494 runs while the jockey has a 33% strike rate from just three rides at the course. He has been placed three times from six starts on good ground without winning and his course form reads 2nd, 4th, 2nd, 4th and 6th. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he is the KTB selection.
Knightmare KTB Fit 50/100
Knightmare is a limited performer who has been knocking on the door of late with a string of placed efforts including a second here over this trip. He has won at the distance and handles good ground, though he remains winless in this grade. The first-time headgear is an unknown and the 3 lb claimer has yet to score from his seven rides at the track. The trainer and jockey combination shows 3/19 with an A/E of 1.13 and the yard itself has an 11% strike rate at Ffos Las. His course record stands at one run which produced a placing.
Lhebayeb KTB Fit 46/100
Lhebayeb is a limited performer who has been placed once in five runs at this track without winning. He drops back to his winning trip today and has a solid record on good ground with one win and three placed efforts from six starts, but recent form is patchy and the first-time headgear is an unknown. The trainer has an 8% strike rate at Ffos Las while the jockey brings a stronger 22% record from 77 rides at the course. His course form reads 6th, 4th, 2nd, 7th and 8th. He tends to make the running or race on the pace.
Create KTB Fit 42/100
Create is a limited performer who has been out of form for some time with recent efforts offering little. He does have a win on good ground and three placed efforts at today's trip from 18 attempts though the first-time headgear is now reached for. The trainer has a modest 5% strike rate here from 19 runs while the jockey is still seeking a first winner from 26 rides at the track. Their combined record stands at 1/34 with an A/E of 0.44. He has no previous course form on record and is usually held up, producing his effort late.
The rest of the field
Mooretown LadKTB Fit 39/100
Mooretown Lad is a limited class performer who has been around long enough to show his level. He has a modest course record with one run producing a seventh-place finish, and both yard and jockey sit on a 9% strike rate at Ffos Las. He has one win from six runs on good ground and has been placed once at this trip from 13 attempts.
Keeper Of SecretsKTB Fit 39/100
Keeper Of Secrets is a limited performer who has failed to trouble the judge in six starts this year and looks no better than modest on recent form. First-time headgear is tried today while the trip looks on the short side judged on his runs so far. The trainer has a solid 20% strike rate at the track but this one has no previous experience here and remains unproven on good ground. He tends to make the running or race on the pace.
CezarroKTB Fit 38/100
Cezarro is a limited performer who has been struggling to find the frame of late and looks vulnerable from stall 2. He drops back to a trip where he has placed twice before though that was some time ago now. The trainer is still seeking a first winner here from nine attempts while the jockey has a solid record at the track.
Prophet SqueezeKTB Fit 37/100
Prophet Squeeze is a limited performer on his record with a string of poor efforts including a recent refusal. He has shown nothing at this track in four runs and is 0-6 on good ground. First-time headgear is reached for as he drops back to 1m having achieved little at longer trips.
KTB verdict
King Of The Dance is the KTB selection. He has shown enough at this track to suggest he can be competitive, with two placings from five runs here, and the step back up to a mile where he has won before looks suitable despite modest recent form. The first-time headgear adds an unknown element but the jockey's record at the course offers some encouragement. His main dangers are Knightmare, who has been knocking on the door with a string of placed efforts including a second here, and Lhebayeb, who drops back to a winning trip with a solid record on good ground. Create cannot be entirely ruled out if the first-time headgear sparks improvement.
KTB Selection King Of The Dance
This is the narrative read of the 7:00 Ffos Las. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Ffos Las racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse steps up in trip having won twice at 1m in the past?
King Of The Dance steps up in trip today having won twice at 1m in the past.
How many times has Knightmare been placed at this track?
Knightmare has been placed once at this track from one run.
What is Lhebayeb's record on good ground?
Lhebayeb has one win from six runs on good ground with three placed efforts.
Which trainer has a 20% strike rate at Ffos Las in this field?
Ian Williams has a 20% strike rate at Ffos Las.
Has Prophet Squeeze ever won on good ground?
Prophet Squeeze is 0-6 on good ground.
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