7:15 York
The 7:15 at York is a competitive Class 4 handicap over six furlongs on good to firm ground, featuring a maximum field of 22 runners in a race that lacks an obvious leader. The KTB Fit ratings are tightly bunched across the principals, with Ingleby Archie heading the list on 62, followed closely by Rajaking on 60 and Beattie Is Back and Fiscal Policy both on 59. This steadily-run, tactical affair places emphasis on being handy and well positioned early, with course form and draw likely to play significant roles given the pace shape.
How the race shapes up
With no one obviously wanting the lead, the race is set to be a steadily-run, tactical contest where being handy should pay dividends. Several runners are noted as usually held up and producing their effort late, which could leave them with plenty to do if the pace remains modest. The key question is whether the principals drawn lower can take advantage of their positions or if those with strong course records, despite wider stalls, can overcome the shape to prevail.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Ingleby Archie KTB Selection62/100Modest performer who has run well at York in the past, winning once from four starts here.
- 2Rajaking60/100Rajaking is a fair performer who has shown consistent placed form this season but has been beaten a long way on his last two starts.
- 3Beattie Is Back59/100Modest performer who has been around a bit and rarely finds the frame these days.
- 4Fiscal Policy59/100Fiscal Policy is a fair handicapper who has been consistent without being flashy this year.
- 5Dicko The Legend57/100Modest performer who has won both starts at this track yet has been out of form for some time with a string of placed efforts at best this year.
- 6HK Fourteen57/100Fair performer who has shown mixed form this year and arrives off the back of two poor runs.
- 7Bonnie's Boy55/100Modest performer who has been placed on both his visits to York without winning.
- 8Magic Boy55/100Magic Boy is a fair performer who won on his only previous visit to York and has also scored over this trip.
- 9Aberama Gold53/100Aberama Gold is a fair sort who has won over this trip and on this ground, with a solid recent record of five placed efforts from his last six starts.
- 10Tolstoy53/100Tolstoy is a modest performer who has won three times from six runs at York and looks well placed from stall 2.
- 11Almarada Prince53/100Almarada Prince is a fair handicapper who has run five times at York without winning but has been placed twice, including a second on his latest visit.
- 12Glory Hyde53/100Glory Hyde is a fair sort who has been in excellent heart this year with five wins from his last eight starts.
- 13Tiva52/100Fair performer who has been consistent without winning lately and now tries first-time headgear.
- 14Grant Wood49/100Grant Wood is a fair performer who has won five times at this trip but has been out of form for most of this year with a string of modest efforts.
- 15Raatea48/100Raatea is a fair nine-year-old with a solid record at today's trip and has won twice on good to firm.
- 16Dorney Lake48/100Modest performer who has run creditably on this track before but is drawn wide in stall 21.
- 17Sugar Baby47/100Modest performer who has been in and out this season but showed he retains ability when scoring at Musselburgh last time.
- 18Alpha Magic46/100Modest performer who has struggled since early promise and arrives on the back of four poor runs.
- 19Spirit Of Applause42/100Modest performer who has run eight times at York without winning and has been well held on his last four starts here.
- 20Who Wants Me40/100Modest performer who has been in decent form of late with two wins in his last three starts over 5f.
- 21Tough Enough36/100Modest performer who has been out of form for most of this year and finished 19th when he tried this track once before.
- 22Educating Rita35/100Modest performer who has failed to land a blow in two runs at York and looks up against it from stall 6 today.
The contenders
Ingleby Archie KTB Fit 62/100
Ingleby Archie is the KTB selection, a modest performer who has run well at York in the past, winning once from four starts here. His recent form is solid, with a win and two placed efforts in his last three outings, and he has shown he can handle good to firm ground with two wins from ten attempts. The yard has a strong 15% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 2.02 from 33 runs, while the jockey's 9% strike rate at York carries an A/E of 0.96 from 135 rides. Stepping up in class from a favourable draw of five, he arrives in good order with figures of -43213 and looks set to play a prominent role in this steadily-run affair.
Rajaking KTB Fit 60/100
Rajaking is a fair performer who has shown consistent placed form this season but has been beaten a long way on his last two starts. He has won on good to firm and at today's trip, though first-time headgear is now applied after a string of ordinary efforts. The trainer has a solid 11% strike rate at York with an A/E of 1.14 from 19 runs, while the jockey's 7% record here carries an A/E of 0.63 from 89 rides. Drawn in stall eight with recent form of 97-643, he possesses the ability to figure prominently if the headgear sparks improvement in this tactical six-furlong contest.
Beattie Is Back KTB Fit 59/100
Beattie Is Back is a modest performer who has been around a bit and rarely finds the frame these days. He has shown some spark at this trip in the past but his two runs here have produced no win or place and the wide draw in stall 22 is no help on good to firm. Trainer and jockey both hold a 9% strike rate at the track, the former with an A/E of 1.42 from 43 runs and the latter an A/E of 1.26 from 47 rides. Stepping up in class with form figures of 642065, his experience at the trip may keep him involved but the draw and overall profile make this a stiff task.
Fiscal Policy KTB Fit 59/100
Fiscal Policy is a fair handicapper who has been consistent without being flashy this year. He has placed on three of his last six starts and has won eight times at this trip, though his record on good to firm is modest with only one success from ten attempts. York form reads 17th and 4th, while both trainer and jockey have modest strike rates at the track, the former 7% with an A/E of 1.03 from 140 runs and the latter 6% with an A/E of 0.96 from 298 rides. From a handy draw of four with figures of 251320, he should be thereabouts if the race shape allows him to utilise his tactical speed.
Dicko The Legend KTB Fit 57/100
Dicko The Legend is a modest performer who has won both starts at this track yet has been out of form for some time with a string of placed efforts at best this year. First-time headgear is now reached for while the yard continue in decent form here with a 15% strike rate and A/E of 2.22 from 26 runs. Billy Garritty has a modest 8% strike-rate at York with an A/E of 1.09 from 121 rides, and the wide draw adds another negative. Usually held up and producing his effort late, his course record of two wins from two starts offers hope despite the recent modest form of 296345 and step up in class.
The rest of the field
HK FourteenKTB Fit 57/100
HK Fourteen is a fair performer who has shown mixed form this year and arrives off the back of two poor runs. He steps up from 5f to a trip he has won over before and acts on good to firm ground, though both trainer and jockey have modest records at York.
Bonnie's BoyKTB Fit 55/100
Bonnie's Boy is a modest performer who has been placed on both his visits to York without winning. He has shown he can be competitive on good to firm ground and has placed twice at today's trip, though his recent form of 149-40 suggests he is vulnerable to sharper types from stall nine.
Magic BoyKTB Fit 55/100
Magic Boy is a fair performer who won on his only previous visit to York and has also scored over this trip. He has shown useful recent form with a second and a win from his last three starts, though he is drawn wide in stall 12 today.
Aberama GoldKTB Fit 53/100
Aberama Gold is a fair sort who has won over this trip and on this ground, with a solid recent record of five placed efforts from his last six starts. He has course experience here at York too, including a win from four runs, though he is drawn widest in stall 18 today and tries first-time headgear.
TolstoyKTB Fit 53/100
Tolstoy is a modest performer who has won three times from six runs at York and looks well placed from stall 2. He drops back to 6f today having last run over 7f, though his recent form of 07-540 is ordinary.
Almarada PrinceKTB Fit 53/100
Almarada Prince is a fair handicapper who has run five times at York without winning but has been placed twice, including a second on his latest visit. He acts on good to firm ground and has won at this trip, though his recent form of 866634 suggests he is vulnerable to sharper rivals from stall 14 while usually held up.
Glory HydeKTB Fit 53/100
Glory Hyde is a fair sort who has been in excellent heart this year with five wins from his last eight starts. He has solid placed form at this track and has won five times over today's trip though his record on good to firm is only modest from stall 13.
TivaKTB Fit 52/100
Tiva is a fair performer who has been consistent without winning lately and now tries first-time headgear. She has run just once at York and finished ninth while stepping up from 5f to 6f for the first time in a while with a wide draw to contend with.
Grant WoodKTB Fit 49/100
Grant Wood is a fair performer who has won five times at this trip but has been out of form for most of this year with a string of modest efforts. He has never shown much at York itself, finishing well beaten on both previous visits from stall 17.
RaateaKTB Fit 48/100
Raatea is a fair nine-year-old with a solid record at today's trip and has won twice on good to firm. He has been out of form on his last three starts and his three runs here have produced no better than seventh, though first-time headgear is now tried from stall seven.
Dorney LakeKTB Fit 48/100
Dorney Lake is a modest performer who has run creditably on this track before but is drawn wide in stall 21. He has won five times at this trip and handles good to firm ground, yet his recent form has been patchy and he now tries headgear for the first time while usually held up.
Sugar BabyKTB Fit 47/100
Sugar Baby is a modest performer who has been in and out this season but showed he retains ability when scoring at Musselburgh last time. He has placed twice from three runs at York and holds a solid record on good to firm, winning three times at today's trip from the inside draw of one.
Alpha MagicKTB Fit 46/100
Alpha Magic is a modest performer who has struggled since early promise and arrives on the back of four poor runs. He has won at this trip but only placed once from four starts on good to firm and was well beaten on his sole visit to York from stall 19 while usually held up.
Spirit Of ApplauseKTB Fit 42/100
Spirit Of Applause is a modest performer who has run eight times at York without winning and has been well held on his last four starts here. He steps up to 6f for the first time in a while having won at the trip earlier in his career, though recent form suggests he is vulnerable in this company and now tries first-time headgear from stall three.
Who Wants MeKTB Fit 40/100
Who Wants Me is a modest performer who has been in decent form of late with two wins in his last three starts over 5f. He steps up to 6f for the first time today having been placed but not won at the trip before while first-time headgear is now tried from stall 15.
Tough EnoughKTB Fit 36/100
Tough Enough is a modest performer who has been out of form for most of this year and finished 19th when he tried this track once before. He drops back to 6f having won twice at the trip in the past, and he has shown he handles good to firm ground from stall 10.
Educating RitaKTB Fit 35/100
Educating Rita is a modest performer who has failed to land a blow in two runs at York and looks up against it from stall 6 today. He has won over today’s trip but recent form of 4530-0 and overall profile suggest he will struggle to be competitive.
KTB verdict
Ingleby Archie is the KTB selection and arrives with the strongest recent form among the principals, bolstered by a prior York win and a solid record on good to firm. His yard's excellent track record adds further layers of confidence, and a favourable low draw should allow him to be handy in a race where that trait is likely to be rewarded. The main dangers are Rajaking, who brings fair form and the possible boost of first-time headgear, and Dicko The Legend, whose two-from-two course record cannot be ignored despite the wide stall. Fiscal Policy and Magic Boy also have the ability to feature if the steadily-run pace shape plays into their hands.
KTB Selection Ingleby Archie
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:00 UTC, 24 Jul. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Ingleby Archie | 11/1 | Bet365 |
| Rajaking | 7/2 | 7Bet |
| Beattie Is Back | 25/1 | 7Bet |
| Fiscal Policy | 35/1 | 7Bet |
| Dicko The Legend | 12/1 | 7Bet |
| HK Fourteen | 18/1 | Bet365 |
| Bonnie's Boy | 35/1 | 7Bet |
| Magic Boy | 6/1 | Bet365 |
| Aberama Gold | 7/1 | Midnite |
| Tolstoy | 11/1 | Bet365 |
| Almarada Prince | 15/2 | 7Bet |
| Glory Hyde | 28/1 | Bet365 |
| Tiva | 14/1 | 7Bet |
| Grant Wood | 33/1 | Bet365 |
| Raatea | 18/1 | 7Bet |
| Dorney Lake | 30/1 | 7Bet |
| Sugar Baby | 12/1 | 7Bet |
| Alpha Magic | 40/1 | Bet365 |
| Spirit Of Applause | 18/1 | Bet365 |
| Who Wants Me | 12/1 | Midnite |
| Tough Enough | 50/1 | Bet365 |
| Educating Rita | 35/1 | 7Bet |
This is the narrative read of the 7:15 York. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the York racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the best course record at York in this field?
Dicko The Legend has won both of his two starts at the track.
How many runners in the race are trying first-time headgear?
Six runners are trying first-time headgear: Rajaking, Dicko The Legend, Aberama Gold, Tiva, Raatea and Dorney Lake, plus additional first-time headgear on Spirit Of Applause, Who Wants Me and Alpha Magic is also noted in the field.
Which runners are noted as usually held up?
Dicko The Legend, Aberama Gold, Almarada Prince, Dorney Lake and Alpha Magic are all described as usually held up and producing their effort late.
What is the trainer strike rate at York for the yard of the KTB selection?
Adrian Nicholls has a 15% strike rate at York with an A/E of 2.02 from 33 runs.
Which horse has won the most times at this six-furlong trip?
Fiscal Policy has won eight times at this trip.
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