7:30 Kempton (AW)
This Class 5 fillies’ handicap over six furlongs at Kempton forms part of the London Sprint Series qualifier on standard to slow ground. A field of seven three- and four-year-olds lines up, with KTB’s Fit ratings separating a cluster of modest performers who have shown varying degrees of consistency. The numbers point to a race where course experience, trip suitability and the ability to handle an uncontested lead could prove decisive.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is described as a lone leader with high confidence, suggesting one clear front-runner will be allowed an uncontested lead. Got The Booty is the most likely to take that role from draw six, given her front-running tendencies. The remainder of the field is dominated by hold-up types, which sets up a key question of whether any of the closers can quicken effectively enough on this surface to reel in a horse given an easy time up front.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Got The Booty KTB Selection61/100
Got The Booty is a modest performer who has shown consistent placed form, including a second-place finish over course and distance on her only visit here. She has been keeping respectable company without winning in five starts at this trip and the yard's solid 13% strike-rate at Kempton adds some confidence. Going suitability remains unknown on the basis of just six career runs. Clive Cox and Rossa Ryan team up with a combined record around here that offers no particular edge, though both are established at the venue. Dropping in class looks a positive and her front-running style is ideally suited to the projected uncontested lead. With a KTB Fit score of 61 she tops the ratings and is taken to capitalise.
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2Egotistical57/100
Egotistical is a modest performer who has shown a fair level of consistency, winning once and placing three times from seven starts. Stall two looks ideal on the sharp Kempton bend and the return to this trip is a positive after she has won at it before. Trainer Roger Varian holds a solid 21% strike rate here from a big sample while Ray Dawson is less established at the track. She is yet to race on standard to slow ground, which adds an element of uncertainty. Usually held up, she will need to produce her effort late against what is likely to be an uncontested leader. Her KTB Fit of 57 places her right in the mix among the principals.
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3Startled Lady56/100
Startled Lady is a modest performer with a solid recent record that includes a win at this trip. She has shown enough consistency to place in three of her last six starts and the yard’s 11% strike rate at Kempton from a large sample offers some encouragement. Remains unproven on standard to slow going and this is her first run here. Neil Callan rides with a slightly above-par record at the track, which may help. Usually held up, she will be another looking to come from off the pace in a race where the leader could get an easy time. Her KTB Fit score of 56 keeps her firmly among the main players.
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4Amelia's Joy54/100
Amelia's Joy is a modest performer with a solid recent record that includes a win and two placed efforts from her last six starts. She drops back to 6f having won at the trip before, though she was only placed once in one run on standard to slow ground. Trainer has an 11% strike rate from 91 runs at Kempton while this is the horse's first run here. David Probert takes the mount with an ordinary record at the venue. Usually held up with high confidence, she will need to time her run perfectly if the leader is allowed to dictate. Rated 54 on KTB’s Fit scale, she completes the quartet of principals.
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5Zoustar Dreams52/100
Zoustar Dreams is a modest performer who has been busy this year and mixes wins with lesser efforts. Stalls well from one but showed little when fifth on his only previous visit here and has failed to place on his sole start on this type of surface. Steps back up to a trip he has won over before but the yard's modest strike-rate at the track offers no encouragement.
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6Just Queen High49/100
Just Queen High is a modest performer who won twice over this trip earlier in her career but has been well below that level in four starts this season. Drops back from 7f with a first run at Kempton on standard to slow going that she has yet to show any real liking for. Ian Williams has a 10% strike rate here from 625 runs while Cieren Fallon is aboard.
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7Remi Mae43/100
Remi Mae is a modest performer who has shown consistent placed form at this trip without winning. First-time headgear is now applied after a string of minor efforts including a close third here last time. Trainer has a solid 15% strike rate at Kempton from a huge sample while the jockey is equally effective at the track.
KTB verdict
Got The Booty is the KTB Selection. She has the right run style to take advantage of the projected lone-leader pace shape, brings course-and-distance placings and is dropping in class at a venue where her trainer has a respectable record. While going questions remain after just six starts, her consistent placed form sets a solid standard. The main dangers are Egotistical, who returns to a winning trip from a good draw, and Startled Lady, who brings a recent win at the distance, with Amelia's Joy also capable of figuring if she can overcome her hold-up style.
KTB Selection Got The Booty
This is the narrative read of the 7:30 Kempton (AW). For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Kempton (AW) racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Kempton (AW) results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is expected to take the uncontested lead?
Got The Booty, whose front-running tendencies and draw six make her the most likely to set the pace in a race shaped as a lone leader.
How many of the field have previous form at Kempton?
Three runners have run at the track: Got The Booty (second on her only visit), Zoustar Dreams (fifth on his only visit) and Remi Mae (close third last time).
Which horse is wearing first-time headgear?
Remi Mae is fitted with first-time headgear.
Who has the strongest trainer strike rate at Kempton among the principals?
Roger Varian has a 21% strike rate at Kempton from 761 runs, the highest among the trainers of the top four.
Which runners are unproven on standard to slow going?
Egotistical, Startled Lady and Remi Mae have no runs on standard to slow ground.
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