7:33 Fontwell
This Class 5 handicap hurdle at Fontwell over 2m1f162y brings together nine runners, most of whom arrive with plenty of unknowns regarding the ground and exact trip. The KTB Fit ratings point to a competitive but not particularly deep event, headed by God Of Fire on 68, with Brave Guest, Aggagio and Double Power completing the principals. Overall the numbers suggest a race that could be dictated by the one horse with a clear run-style advantage.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is a lone leader with high confidence, and that profile matches God Of Fire who tends to make the running or race prominently. With little to pressure him from the front, he is likely to secure an uncontested lead that could prove difficult for the held-up types to reel in late. The key question is whether any of the closers, several of whom are stepping up or down in trip, can produce the necessary finishing effort once the leader kicks on from the front.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1God Of Fire KTB Selection68/100Useful performer who has shown solid form this season with two wins from his last four starts.
- 2Brave Guest63/100Useful performer who has run to a solid level on several occasions and finished a clear second on his only visit to Fontwell.
- 3Aggagio60/100Useful performer who has won once from five runs at Fontwell and arrives with solid recent placed efforts.
- 4Double Power54/100Useful performer who has shown very little in four starts this year and now drops back in trip having looked stretched at 2m4f last time.
- 5Graffiti53/100Graffiti is a useful performer with a solid career record and has already won once from three starts at Fontwell.
- 6Raffles Nobu51/100Raffles Nobu is a useful performer on his best days and brings solid recent form having won and placed several times this year.
- 7Best Night51/100Useful performer who arrives in solid form after finishing third and fourth in his last two starts.
- 8Charlie My Boy49/100Useful performer who has placed on both starts this year and showed he handles this track when second here in May.
- 9Harry Gulliver41/100Harry Gulliver is a fair performer on his best days but arrives with patchy recent form that includes a fall and a modest fifth last time.
The contenders
God Of Fire KTB Fit 68/100
God Of Fire arrives in solid form having recorded two wins from his last four starts and looks a useful performer on that evidence. He drops back in trip today having not tried this exact distance before and this will be his first visit to Fontwell. The Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill yard posts a 24% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 1.35 from 29 runs while Jonjo O'Neill Jr. is 25% at Fontwell with an A/E of 1.04 from 55 rides. As a confirmed front-runner with high confidence in that role, he is ideally placed to take advantage of the uncontested lead the pace shape suggests. He remains unproven on the ground, yet the overall profile fits the race well.
Brave Guest KTB Fit 63/100
Brave Guest is a useful performer who has run to a solid level on several occasions and finished a clear second on his only visit to Fontwell. He steps up markedly in trip today having last run over 1m4f, though he has placed at this distance in the past. Sheena West has an 11% strike rate from 245 runs at the track while Marc Goldstein is yet to record a winner from his rides here. Usually held up and producing his effort late with high confidence in that style, he will need the leader to come back to him given the projected uncontested pace. He remains unproven on the ground and steps up in class.
Aggagio KTB Fit 60/100
Aggagio is a useful performer who has won once from five runs at Fontwell and arrives with solid recent placed efforts. Dropping back in trip today raises a question as he has failed to place in two previous attempts at this distance, while the ground is also an unknown. First-time headgear is another new factor for a horse that has been reasonably consistent without winning lately. The Gary & Josh Moore yard has an 18% strike rate at Fontwell with an A/E of 0.93 from 155 runs and Caoilin Quinn is 14% from 160 rides here. Usually held up with medium confidence in that style, he will be hoping the leader does not get too far clear.
Double Power KTB Fit 54/100
Double Power is a useful performer who has shown very little in four starts this year and now drops back in trip having looked stretched at 2m4f last time. The yard has no recorded runners at Fontwell while Harry Skelton also has no previous winners here despite a 24% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 1.08 from 164 rides. He remains unproven on the ground so this looks like a horse with plenty to prove today. Usually held up and producing his effort late with medium confidence in that role, he will need to find considerable improvement to trouble the sharper types at the front end.
The rest of the field
GraffitiKTB Fit 53/100
Graffiti is a useful performer with a solid career record and has already won once from three starts at Fontwell. The yard holds a respectable 13% strike rate here from 77 runs. He steps up markedly in trip today having last run over 1m2f yet has won at this distance in the past, though he remains unproven on the current ground. Usually held up with medium confidence, he steps up in class.
Raffles NobuKTB Fit 51/100
Raffles Nobu is a useful performer on his best days and brings solid recent form having won and placed several times this year. He has been below par on his only visit to Fontwell and is unproven on this ground while stepping up in trip today having failed to place in four previous attempts at the distance. The trainer holds a 17% strike rate here from 12 runs. Typically settles in midfield with high confidence in that style.
Best NightKTB Fit 51/100
Best Night is a useful performer who arrives in solid form after finishing third and fourth in his last two starts. Steps up in trip today which asks a fresh question, while the ground is also unknown so there are two uncertainties to weigh up. Trainer has a respectable 17% strike rate at Fontwell from a big sample. Usually held up with medium confidence and steps up in class.
Charlie My BoyKTB Fit 49/100
Charlie My Boy is a useful performer who has placed on both starts this year and showed he handles this track when second here in May. Drops back in trip today having been placed without winning at the distance last time. Trainer's 13% strike-rate at Fontwell from a big sample is fair but nothing special, while the jockey has limited experience here. Usually held up with high confidence in that style.
Harry GulliverKTB Fit 41/100
Harry Gulliver is a fair performer on his best days but arrives with patchy recent form that includes a fall and a modest fifth last time. He steps up in trip today having never tried beyond 2m, which asks a fresh question of him. The yard has an 11% strike rate at Fontwell from 76 runs while this is his first visit to the track and he remains unproven on the current ground. Usually held up with medium confidence.
KTB verdict
God Of Fire is the KTB Selection. He has shown solid form this season with two wins from his last four starts and his front-running style with high confidence looks perfectly suited to a race with a lone-leader pace shape that should hand him an uncontested lead. The strong trainer and jockey figures at Fontwell add further layers to his appeal even though he remains unproven on the ground and at the exact trip. Brave Guest and Aggagio are the most obvious dangers, the former boasting a good effort on his sole visit here and the latter boasting a win at the track, though both must overcome trip and ground questions from off the pace.
KTB Selection God Of Fire
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:01 UTC, 28 Aug. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| God Of Fire | 3/1 | Bet365 |
| Brave Guest | 11/1 | 7Bet |
| Aggagio | 11/2 | Bet365 |
| Double Power | 7/1 | 7Bet |
| Graffiti | 9/1 | 7Bet |
| Raffles Nobu | 10/3 | Bet365 |
| Best Night | 15/2 | 7Bet |
| Charlie My Boy | 25/1 | Bet365 |
| Harry Gulliver | 10/1 | 7Bet |
This is the narrative read of the 7:33 Fontwell. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Fontwell racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is best placed to take advantage of the uncontested lead?
God Of Fire, a confirmed front-runner with high confidence in that role who matches the lone-leader pace shape.
How many wins has Aggagio recorded at Fontwell?
One win from five runs at the track.
What is the trainer strike rate at Fontwell for the yard of the selection?
24% strike rate at Fontwell with an A/E of 1.35 from 29 runs.
Which principals are wearing first-time headgear?
Aggagio.
What recent form has the selection brought into the race?
24/14, showing two wins from his last four starts.
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