7:42 Uttoxeter
This Class 4 handicap chase at Uttoxeter, a qualifier for the Arc Summer Chase Series, brings together a compact field of seven over 2m4f on good ground. The KTB Fit ratings identify a clear top four, headed by Snowy Evening on 71, with Mighty Fleur not far behind on 64, while Order Of The Dance and Imperial Bede complete the principals on 58 and 55 respectively. The remainder of the field sit between 52 and 44, suggesting the race may revolve around the top-weighted performers who bring the strongest combination of recent form, trip suitability and trainer course statistics.
How the race shapes up
With a mixed pace shape in a field of this size, the early tempo is unlikely to be extreme though several runners prefer to race prominently or in midfield. Snowy Evening and Ridin Solo have shown a preference for tracking the pace, while Mighty Fleur and Order Of The Dance can be ridden forward. The key question is whether the race develops into a test of stamina up the straight or if the prominent runners can dictate matters and keep enough in reserve on this good surface.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Snowy Evening KTB Selection71/100Smart performer who has won at this trip in the past and is suited by good ground with two wins from four starts on it.
- 2Mighty Fleur64/100Smart performer who arrives in excellent order after two recent wins.
- 3Order Of The Dance58/100Smart performer who has already won over this trip and shown placed form on good ground from seven starts.
- 4Imperial Bede55/100Imperial Bede is a smart performer on his day with a win at today's trip from 15 attempts and solid placed efforts on good ground.
- 5A Dublin Job52/100Smart performer who has won three times at this trip.
- 6Mary49/100Smart performer who arrives in solid nick after a recent second and has already won over today's trip.
- 7Ridin Solo44/100Useful performer who has shown enough on his two runs back from a long absence to suggest he can go well again.
The contenders
Snowy Evening KTB Fit 71/100
Snowy Evening is a smart performer who has won at this trip in the past and is suited by good ground with two wins from four starts on it. He drops back from 2m7f today having shown little spark on his two most recent completed starts. The Oliver Greenall and Josh Guerriero yard holds a solid 15% strike rate from 146 runs at Uttoxeter with an A/E of 1.22. His recent form reads 3/P4-5 and he carries the KTB Selection tag with a Fit score of 71.
Mighty Fleur KTB Fit 64/100
Mighty Fleur is a smart performer who arrives in excellent order after two recent wins from his form figures of 572-11. He has posted solid placed efforts on all three previous visits to this track and steps up in trip today for the first time in a while having already won over this distance. The Mickey Bowen yard posts a 21% strike rate at Uttoxeter with an A/E of 1.01 from 28 runs, while Sean Bowen operates at 21% here with an A/E of 0.99 from 557 rides. He has a going record of two wins from seven on good with six placed and a KTB Fit of 64.
Order Of The Dance KTB Fit 58/100
Order Of The Dance is a smart performer who has already won over this trip and shown placed form on good ground from seven starts. His recent form of 2021P raises some questions though he arrives with strong overall ratings and race history behind him. The trainer has a 0% strike rate at Uttoxeter from a small sample of one run with an A/E of 0, while Jack Tudor posts a 7% strike rate here from 126 rides with an A/E of 0.71. He is stepping up in class with a KTB Fit score of 58.
Imperial Bede KTB Fit 55/100
Imperial Bede is a smart performer on his day with a win at today's trip from 15 attempts and solid placed efforts on good ground. He has been consistent in stronger company but showed only modest form when sixth on his sole visit to Uttoxeter. The Jonjo and A J O'Neill yard has a 10% strike rate here from 69 runs with an A/E of 0.83, while Harry Cobden operates at 13% from 107 rides with an A/E of 0.71. His recent form is 4152-5 and he holds a KTB Fit of 55.
The rest of the field
A Dublin JobKTB Fit 52/100
A Dublin Job is a smart performer who has won three times at this trip. He has shown some spark on good ground but was well held on his only previous run here and his recent form has been patchy. The trainer's modest 3% strike rate at the track from 123 runs with an A/E of 0.49 adds further caution and he holds a KTB Fit of 52.
MaryKTB Fit 49/100
Mary is a smart performer who arrives in solid nick after a recent second and has already won over today's trip. She holds a clear edge on ratings and race history yet her record on good ground is only modest with just one win from 16 starts. The Ian Williams yard and Charlie Todd both operate at below-par strike rates here and she has a KTB Fit of 49.
Ridin SoloKTB Fit 44/100
Ridin Solo is a useful performer who has shown enough on his two runs back from a long absence to suggest he can go well again. He has a solid win at today's trip on his record and was a fair third over course and distance on good ground last time. The Donald McCain yard and Theo Gillard both have established but below-average records at Uttoxeter and he holds a KTB Fit of 44.
KTB verdict
Snowy Evening is the KTB Selection. He brings the highest Fit rating of 71 and is a smart performer who has won at this trip in the past while being suited by good ground. The yard's solid record at Uttoxeter further strengthens his claims as he drops back in distance. Mighty Fleur looks the main danger after two recent wins and placed efforts on all three previous course visits, while Order Of The Dance and Imperial Bede cannot be entirely dismissed on their overall ratings despite questions over recent form and course history.
KTB Selection Snowy Evening
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:02 UTC, 13 Jun. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Mighty Fleur | 11/10 | 7Bet |
| Order Of The Dance | 13/2 | Bet365 |
| Imperial Bede | 4/1 | Bet365 |
| A Dublin Job | 25/1 | 7Bet |
| Mary | 11/2 | Bet365 |
| Ridin Solo | 13/2 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 7:42 Uttoxeter. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Uttoxeter racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has won at today's trip more than once?
Snowy Evening and A Dublin Job have both won at this trip, with A Dublin Job successful three times.
How many previous runs has Mighty Fleur had at Uttoxeter?
Mighty Fleur has run three times here, finishing fifth, third and second.
What is the trainer strike rate at Uttoxeter for the yard of the KTB Selection?
Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero have a 15% strike rate at Uttoxeter from 146 runs with an A/E of 1.22.
Which runner is stepping up in class from a lower grade?
Both Order Of The Dance and Ridin Solo are stepping up in class.
Which horse has the strongest recent winning form in the field?
Mighty Fleur arrives in excellent order after two recent wins.
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