7:50 Windsor
This Class 4 handicap over 1m31y at Windsor on good to firm ground brings together eight runners, several of whom sport first-time headgear in what looks an open affair. The KTB Fit ratings are tightly bunched at the top, with Cristo heading the list on 57, followed by Newfangled and Knowledge both on 51, and Candonomore on 49. Recent form is mixed across the board, with several runners dropping in class or stepping up, and the application of headgear to four of the principals adds an element of unknown.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape suggests a fairly even test, with a mix of run-styles that should see a genuine gallop. Cristo from stall 1 is likely to be prominent or on the pace, while Newfangled and Bold Impact can also go forward. Knowledge and Kalokalo are more hold-up types who will look to come from off the pace. The key question is whether the prominent runners can dictate matters or if the race will be decided by those delivered late in a sprint to the line.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Cristo KTB Selection57/100Fair performer who has won over this trip but has been a bit in and out lately with form figures of 832U71.
- 2Newfangled51/100Newfangled is a fair performer who has won once from five starts at Windsor and also has a solid record at today's trip with four wins from 19 attempts.
- 3Knowledge51/100Fair performer who won nicely over this trip on debut before struggling in stronger company.
- 4Candonomore49/100Candonomore is a fair performer who has been in and out of form this year and steps up from 6f with first-time headgear.
- 5Kalokalo48/100Modest performer who has won three of his last five starts including over this trip and at this track.
- 6Mollie Foster46/100Mollie Foster is a fair performer who has dropped to a workable mark but has looked out of sorts on her last three starts.
- 7Bold Impact44/100Modest performer who has shown his best at this track with a second and a fourth from three runs.
- 8Tribal Rhythm42/100Modest performer who showed a bit more spark when second at Kempton on his penultimate start but failed to build on it last time.
The contenders
Cristo KTB Fit 57/100
Cristo is a fair performer who has won over this trip but has been a bit in and out lately with form figures of 832U71. He has placed once from two runs on good to firm and now tries first-time headgear while drawn in stall 1. The yard has a 15% strike rate at Windsor from 785 runs. Sean Levey takes the ride with a 13% strike rate at the track from 441 rides. The combination of the yard's local record, the first-time headgear and a low draw could prove significant as he looks to bounce back to his best.
Newfangled KTB Fit 51/100
Newfangled is a fair performer who has won once from five starts at Windsor and also has a solid record at today's trip with four wins from 19 attempts. He has shown enough on good to firm ground with one win and five places from seven starts though his recent form has been a bit patchy. The trainer's modest 7 percent strike rate at the track from a large sample is a negative while first-time headgear is an unknown. Rob Hornby is in the saddle with a 9% strike rate at Windsor from 431 rides. A repeat of his best efforts would see him go close if the headgear has the desired effect.
Knowledge KTB Fit 51/100
Knowledge is a fair performer who won nicely over this trip on debut before struggling in stronger company. He drops back from 1m2f with first-time headgear now applied and holds solid course connections through the yard. Lightly raced with too few runs to judge the ground. The Simon & Ed Crisford stable has a 22% strike rate at Windsor from 95 runs, which is a positive. Harry Davies rides with an 8% strike rate at the track from 64 rides. If the headgear helps him to rediscover his debut spark he could be a danger.
Candonomore KTB Fit 49/100
Candonomore is a fair performer who has been in and out of form this year and steps up from 6f with first-time headgear. He has won at this trip before but showed little when sixth on his only previous run here and the yard has failed to land a winner from 17 attempts at Windsor. Good-to-firm ground is fine as he has two wins from nine on it. Lewis Edmunds takes the mount with a 3% strike rate at the track from 97 rides. Dropping in class is a plus but the trainer's poor record at the venue tempers enthusiasm.
The rest of the field
KalokaloKTB Fit 48/100
Kalokalo is a modest performer who has won three of his last five starts including over this trip and at this track. He acts on good to firm and his yard has a solid record here. Stall six looks fine and he arrives in form.
Mollie FosterKTB Fit 46/100
Mollie Foster is a fair performer who has dropped to a workable mark but has looked out of sorts on her last three starts. She has won over today's trip though that success came on softer ground and she is yet to place in four runs on good to firm. The yard's poor 2% strike rate at Windsor adds a further negative.
Bold ImpactKTB Fit 44/100
Bold Impact is a modest performer who has shown his best at this track with a second and a fourth from three runs. Placed twice on good to firm but is still winless after 12 starts and has failed to land a blow at this trip in two attempts. Millman has a 10 percent strike rate here from a big sample while Murphy rides.
Tribal RhythmKTB Fit 42/100
Tribal Rhythm is a modest performer who showed a bit more spark when second at Kempton on his penultimate start but failed to build on it last time. He has a win over today's trip on his record yet has looked limited on good to firm ground and was only sixth on his sole visit to Windsor. The trainer's modest strike rate here adds little encouragement.
KTB verdict
Cristo is the KTB Selection and looks to have plenty in his favour. A fair performer with a win over the trip to his name, he has shown he can be competitive on good to firm and now gets the first-time headgear along with a handy draw in stall 1. The yard's respectable record at Windsor adds further appeal. Newfangled and Knowledge are the most obvious dangers, the former with his course record and the latter with the potential to improve for headgear and the drop back in trip. Kalokalo cannot be ruled out either given his recent winning run and course success.
KTB Selection Cristo
This is the narrative read of the 7:50 Windsor. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Windsor racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is making its first appearance in headgear?
Cristo, Newfangled, Knowledge and Candonomore are all wearing first-time headgear.
How many wins has Kalokalo recorded in his last five starts?
Kalokalo has won three of his last five starts.
What is the trainer's strike rate at Windsor for the yard of the selection Cristo?
Richard Hannon has a 15% strike rate at Windsor from 785 runs.
Which runner is dropping back from 1m2f in this race?
Knowledge is dropping back from 1m2f.
How many runs has Candonomore had at Windsor previously?
Candonomore has had one previous run at Windsor, finishing sixth.
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