8:00 Leopardstown
This Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap over 1m1f at Leopardstown on soft ground brings together a field of 14 where the KTB numbers point to a competitive but open-looking contest. The principals are headed by Speckled Meadow on a Fit rating of 66, with Finsceal Annie and Rocket Robyn both on 61, while several others sit in the low-to-mid 50s and below. Recent form is mixed across the board, with a number of runners stepping up or dropping in trip, and the soft conditions will test unproven types.
How the race shapes up
A genuinely-run race is expected with a front-runner likely to be pressed by several handy types, creating a fair test. Electric Beauty is the clear front-running type and should take them along, with Great Mover and Justenzia among those racing prominently or in midfield. The key question is whether the pace will suit the cluster of held-up runners, including the selection Speckled Meadow, as they look to deliver their efforts late off what should be a strong gallop.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Speckled Meadow KTB Selection66/100Speckled Meadow is a fair handicapper who has won once from eight runs at Leopardstown and holds a solid 1-4 record on soft ground.
- 2Finsceal Annie61/100Finsceal Annie is a fair mare who has won twice at this track from five runs and also has a win and a place from three starts on soft ground.
- 3Rocket Robyn61/100Rocket Robyn has a fair level of ability on his best efforts with an RPR of 87 but has been well below that form in two starts this year including on his handic…
- 4Tachos55/100Tachos is a fair handicapper who has won once from six runs at Leopardstown and also has two wins from four starts at today's 1m1f trip.
- 5Codice54/100Codice is a fair performer on his best days with an RPR of 84 but has been well below that level in three runs for this yard.
- 6Spanish Temptress52/100Spanish Temptress has a solid record on soft ground with two wins and a place from three starts while her recent form figures show consistent placed efforts wit…
- 7Marmeladova52/100Marmeladova looks a useful performer on the back of an easy Ballinrobe win and an RPR of 90.
- 8Anvika50/100Anvika is a fair performer on her best days but has been well below form in three starts this year and looks exposed after 28 runs.
- 9Great Mover49/100Fair performer who has run three times at Leopardstown without winning but has managed a placing.
- 10Lady Chartwell47/100Fair performer who has not won in 14 starts and looks held by her recent form figures.
- 11Electric Beauty45/100Electric Beauty is a fair performer who won over this trip earlier in her career and has won once from three starts at Leopardstown.
- 12Lamberella45/100Lamberella is a fair maiden who has shown some promise but remains winless after four starts.
- 13She's Ideal43/100She's Ideal is a fair handicapper who has been consistent without winning, finishing in the frame on four of her last five starts.
- 14Justenzia41/100Justenzia is a fair performer who arrives in solid nick after two placed efforts this year and holds a career-high RPR of 79.
The contenders
Speckled Meadow KTB Fit 66/100
Speckled Meadow is a fair handicapper who has won once from eight runs at Leopardstown and holds a solid 1-4 record on soft ground. He steps up in trip today having been placed without winning at this distance in the past, and his recent form of 140-86 leaves him looking vulnerable off an RPR of 83. The trainer and jockey both show a 14% strike rate from seven rides at the track with positive A/E figures. Usually held up and producing his effort late, the draw in stall one could be an advantage if he can weave a path through. At nine years of age he brings plenty of experience to the race and his course record adds to his claims.
Finsceal Annie KTB Fit 61/100
Finsceal Annie is a fair mare who has won twice at this track from five runs and also has a win and a place from three starts on soft ground. She steps up in trip today having last run over 7.5f yet she has placed once in three starts at this distance. The trainer has a solid 10% strike rate here from 60 runs while the jockey is operating at 7% from a large sample of rides at Leopardstown. Usually held up and producing her effort late from draw 10, her course record is a definite plus. Recent form of 926-00 suggests she needs to bounce back but her Leopardstown record cannot be ignored.
Rocket Robyn KTB Fit 61/100
Rocket Robyn has a fair level of ability on his best efforts with an RPR of 87 but has been well below that form in two starts this year including on his handicap debut. He steps up in trip to 1m1f today having been placed at the distance without winning and first-time headgear is now fitted. The trainer has a 10% strike rate from 31 runs at Leopardstown while the jockey matches that figure from 52 rides here. Typically settling in midfield from draw six, he has no course form on record. The headgear is an interesting addition as he attempts to rediscover his best.
Tachos KTB Fit 55/100
Tachos is a fair handicapper who has won once from six runs at Leopardstown and also has two wins from four starts at today's 1m1f trip. He has run well enough on soft ground in the past though his only attempt on it brought no reward and the wide draw in 14 is far from ideal. The Weld yard continue to fire at a solid 17% strike rate here. Usually held up and producing his effort late, recent form of 3560-6 shows he needs to improve. His trip record remains a strong positive if he can overcome the draw.
Codice KTB Fit 54/100
Codice is a fair performer on his best days with an RPR of 84 but has been well below that level in three runs for this yard. He drops back from 2m1f to 1m1f having failed to trouble the judge in three previous attempts at today's trip. The trainer has a strong 33% strike rate at Leopardstown from six runs while the jockey operates at just 2% from 83 rides here. Usually held up and producing his effort late from a wide draw in 12, he has no course form on record. His recent form of 43000- leaves him with questions to answer.
The rest of the field
Spanish TemptressKTB Fit 52/100
Spanish Temptress has a solid record on soft ground with two wins and a place from three starts while her recent form figures show consistent placed efforts without quite getting her head in front. She drops back in trip to 1m1f where she has been placed once from two attempts though the wide draw in stall 13 will not help. The trainer holds a modest 7% strike rate at Leopardstown from 67 runs while the jockey fares better with 13% from 267 rides here.
MarmeladovaKTB Fit 52/100
Marmeladova looks a useful performer on the back of an easy Ballinrobe win and an RPR of 90. She has already won at this trip though she was well held on her only previous run here and drops back in distance after her latest effort. The yard's modest 6% strike rate at Leopardstown and the jockey's 8% record at the track add little encouragement.
AnvikaKTB Fit 50/100
Anvika is a fair performer on her best days but has been well below form in three starts this year and looks exposed after 28 runs. She has placed once from five visits to Leopardstown without winning and the trainer’s modest 7% strike-rate here from a big sample offers little encouragement. Unproven on soft ground and now stepping up in trip for the first time she faces several unknowns.
Great MoverKTB Fit 49/100
Great Mover is a fair performer who has run three times at Leopardstown without winning but has managed a placing. Steps up from 7f to 1m1f today where he is 1-2 in his career and that looks a more suitable distance on his best efforts. Trainer and jockey both have modest strike rates at the track while the soft ground should be fine based on a previous placing.
Lady ChartwellKTB Fit 47/100
Lady Chartwell is a fair performer who has not won in 14 starts and looks held by her recent form figures. Drops back in trip to 1m1f having been out of her depth last time and that is an unknown at this stage. Trainer and jockey both have modest records at Leopardstown while she is unproven on soft ground.
Electric BeautyKTB Fit 45/100
Electric Beauty is a fair performer who won over this trip earlier in her career and has won once from three starts at Leopardstown. She has been consistent of late with form figures of 120432 and acts on soft ground having won once and placed once from five runs. The trainer has a modest 5% strike rate here from 177 runs while the jockey is 4% from 57 rides.
LamberellaKTB Fit 45/100
Lamberella is a fair maiden who has shown some promise but remains winless after four starts. She made late headway when ninth at Limerick on her third outing before running no sort of race on handicap debut at the Curragh last time. Trainer and jockey both have modest records at Leopardstown while she steps up in trip as an unknown on this ground.
She's IdealKTB Fit 43/100
She's Ideal is a fair handicapper who has been consistent without winning, finishing in the frame on four of her last five starts. She has placed once from two runs on soft ground and now tries first-time headgear having been dropped back to 1m1f, a trip she has never raced over. The trainer has a modest 6% strike rate at Leopardstown from 159 runs while the jockey is 5% from 436 rides here.
JustenziaKTB Fit 41/100
Justenzia is a fair performer who arrives in solid nick after two placed efforts this year and holds a career-high RPR of 79. He acts on soft ground with a win and two places from three runs and has scored over today's 1m1f trip, though he is dropping back from 1m4f last time. The yard's modest 5% strike rate at Leopardstown from a large sample is a negative while this is the horse's first run at the track.
KTB verdict
Speckled Meadow is the KTB Selection. A fair handicapper with a win at this track and a solid record on soft ground, he brings course experience and a positive trainer-jockey combination at Leopardstown despite looking vulnerable on recent form. His ability to produce a late effort in what should be a genuinely-run race plays to his strengths from the inside draw. The main dangers include Finsceal Annie with her strong course record and Tachos who has won over the trip, while Rocket Robyn in first-time headgear and several of the unexposed types cannot be ruled out in an open handicap.
KTB Selection Speckled Meadow
This is the narrative read of the 8:00 Leopardstown. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Leopardstown racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the strongest course record among the principals?
Finsceal Annie has won twice at Leopardstown from five runs.
How does the pace shape affect held-up runners like Speckled Meadow?
In a genuinely-run race with a front-runner pressed by handy types, held-up runners should get a strong gallop to close into.
Which runners are unproven on soft ground?
Marmeladova, Anvika, Lady Chartwell and Lamberella have no runs on soft ground.
Who is the only confirmed front-runner in the field?
Electric Beauty tends to make the running or race on the pace.
What is the trip history for the selection Speckled Meadow?
He steps up in trip today having been placed without winning at this distance in the past.
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