8:15 Cork
This 1m 'A' Rated Homes Handicap at Cork brings together a field of 19 limited performers on good ground in a race that lacks any obvious pace influence. The KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched across the top half of the card, underlining the modest standard and the likelihood of a tactical, steadily-run contest where being well placed from the draw could prove decisive. First-time headgear features on no fewer than ten runners, adding another layer of uncertainty to an already open-looking event.
How the race shapes up
With no horse wanting to take the race by the scruff from the front, the pace shape points to a steadily-run, tactical affair in which being handy or able to slot into a prominent position should pay. Most of the principals are held-up types who will be looking to produce their effort late, so the key question is whether the race will develop enough momentum for those coming from off the pace to get a clear run in a big field. The draw could be significant, with low numbers potentially favoured if the pace is as even as expected.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Dawn Flame KTB Selection52/100Limited performer who has shown a bit more spark since the spring, finishing third in two of her last three starts.
- 2James Henry49/100Limited performer who has been out of the frame on all three starts this year and looks up against it from a wide draw.
- 3Launch Time48/100Limited performer who has shown bits of ability on this track, finishing fourth here on his only visit.
- 4Mountain Memory47/100Limited performer who has shown little in four starts to date and was well held when fifth of seven on his only visit to Cork.
- 5Morning Approach46/100Limited performer who has been out of form for some time with a string of poor efforts.
- 6Glamazon46/100Modest performer who has shown little spark in recent starts and arrives in first-time headgear today.
- 7Half Cut44/100Limited horse who has shown very little in three starts to date.
- 8Sheamus Seimhiu43/100Limited performer who has struggled in all eight starts and showed little promise when eighth of 12 on his only previous run here.
- 9Imnotleavinyou41/100Modest performer who has been largely out of form this year with a string of modest efforts after an early win.
- 10Winston's Promise41/100Limited performer who has shown little in three starts to date.
- 11Mullacash Buzz40/100Limited performer who has shown little spark this year and ran no better than sixth in two starts at this track.
- 12Reponse Finale40/100Limited performer who has shown occasional spark but remains winless after 21 starts.
- 13Jazz Dreamers39/100Limited performer who has been out of form for some time and arrives with a recent string of poor efforts.
- 14Starflow39/100Limited performer who has failed to make the frame in three starts since a debut eighth at this track.
- 15Borora Aura38/100Limited performer who has shown only modest form in nine starts and was well held when ninth on his only previous run here.
- 16Thompson Gunner37/100Limited horse who has shown only modest form this year and is 0-5 on good ground.
- 17Leannespour37/100Limited performer who has shown very little in four starts to date and was well beaten when last seen.
- 18Lorr's Girl32/100Limited class performer who has won once in three runs at Cork but has been well below that level for some time, with recent form reading 08-009.
- 19Peig Sayers30/100Peig Sayers is a limited performer who has shown very little in eight runs and finished well beaten on both previous visits to Cork.
The contenders
Dawn Flame KTB Fit 52/100
Dawn Flame is a limited performer who has shown a bit more spark since the spring, finishing third in two of her last three starts. She steps up to 1m for the first time today having won at the trip earlier in her career, while first-time headgear is now applied. The trainer records a 7% strike rate at Cork from 153 runs and the jockey is 13% from 203 rides here. She has been placed twice from six starts on good ground without winning. Her recent form figures read 008353 and she is drawn in stall 1. Usually held up, she produces her effort late.
James Henry KTB Fit 49/100
James Henry is a limited performer who has been out of the frame on all three starts this year and looks up against it from a wide draw. The trainer at Cork operates at a 5% strike rate from 120 runs while the jockey is on 7% from 596 rides here. He has been placed five times on good ground and five times at this trip without winning either. Recent form figures read 83-300 and he is drawn in stall 19. Usually held up, he produces his effort late.
Launch Time KTB Fit 48/100
Launch Time is a limited performer who has shown bits of ability on this track, finishing fourth here on his only visit. He steps up to a trip he has won over before and now tries headgear for the first time, but his recent form has been in and out. The trainer has a poor record at Cork while Colin Keane brings his usual solid 15 percent strike rate at the venue. He has one win and three places from six starts on good ground. Recent form figures read -14931 and he is drawn in stall 14. Usually held up, he produces his effort late.
Mountain Memory KTB Fit 47/100
Mountain Memory is a limited performer who has shown little in four starts to date and was well held when fifth of seven on his only visit to Cork. First-time headgear is now fitted as he steps up to an untested 1m for the first time. The trainer and jockey both operate at a modest 8% strike rate here. He has no previous experience of good ground. Recent form figures read 5800 and he is drawn in stall 10. Usually held up, he produces his effort late.
Morning Approach KTB Fit 46/100
Morning Approach is a limited performer who has been out of form for some time with a string of poor efforts. He has run twice at Cork without placing and is now dropping back to a trip he has won at before though he is 0 from 30 in his last 30 starts at this distance. The trainer and jockey both have solid records at the track. He has been placed three times from 16 starts on good ground without winning. Recent form figures read 050600 and he is drawn in stall 15. Usually held up, he produces his effort late.
The rest of the field
GlamazonKTB Fit 46/100
Glamazon is a modest performer who has shown little spark in recent starts and arrives in first-time headgear today. She has a placed effort at this trip but has failed to win or place in four runs on good ground and was only fourth of six when she tried this track. The trainer and jockey both have solid but below-par records at Cork.
Half CutKTB Fit 44/100
Half Cut is a limited horse who has shown very little in three starts to date. He drops back in trip with first-time headgear and the yard's modest record at Cork offers no particular encouragement. The jockey's 9% strike rate from 666 rides at the track is equally uninspiring.
Sheamus SeimhiuKTB Fit 43/100
Sheamus Seimhiu is a limited performer who has struggled in all eight starts and showed little promise when eighth of 12 on his only previous run here. The trainer and jockey both have modest strike rates at Cork while the horse has failed to place in two runs on good ground. He steps up to 1m for the first time today after four previous tries at the trip without success.
ImnotleavinyouKTB Fit 41/100
Imnotleavinyou is a modest performer who has been largely out of form this year with a string of modest efforts after an early win. He steps up to 1m for the first time in a while having placed once at the trip without winning, while first-time headgear is now applied. The trainer and jockey both have modest records at Cork and this one has never placed from five runs on good ground.
Winston's PromiseKTB Fit 41/100
Winston's Promise is a limited performer who has shown little in three starts to date. He steps up to 1m for the first time today having been well held over shorter, while first-time headgear is now applied. The trainer and jockey both have modest records at Cork.
Mullacash BuzzKTB Fit 40/100
Mullacash Buzz is a limited performer who has shown little spark this year and ran no better than sixth in two starts at this track. First-time headgear is now fitted but the yard has been quiet at Cork and the wide draw in a big field adds to the negatives. The jockey has a solid recent record here but the overall profile remains modest.
Reponse FinaleKTB Fit 40/100
Reponse Finale is a limited performer who has shown occasional spark but remains winless after 21 starts. He has placed once from three runs at Cork and is competitive on good ground, yet has failed to win in eight attempts at this trip and now drops back in distance after a recent 1m1½f run. The trainer holds a modest 9% strike rate here from a big sample.
Jazz DreamersKTB Fit 39/100
Jazz Dreamers is a limited performer who has been out of form for some time and arrives with a recent string of poor efforts. He drops back to a trip he has won at before but the yard's modest record at Cork and the first-time headgear both add uncertainties. Going form on good ground is nothing to shout about either.
StarflowKTB Fit 39/100
Starflow is a limited performer who has failed to make the frame in three starts since a debut eighth at this track. Dropping back to 1m today after a longer trip last time adds a fresh question while first-time headgear is also tried. The trainer has a solid 13% strike rate from 520 runs at Cork though the claiming jockey has only two rides here so far.
Borora AuraKTB Fit 38/100
Borora Aura is a limited performer who has shown only modest form in nine starts and was well held when ninth on his only previous run here. He drops back to 1m today having failed to make the frame in three previous attempts at the trip and first-time headgear is now fitted. The trainer operates at a 5% strike rate from 78 runs at Cork.
Thompson GunnerKTB Fit 37/100
Thompson Gunner is a limited horse who has shown only modest form this year and is 0-5 on good ground. He drops back to 1m where he has placed twice without winning, though first-time headgear is now tried. The trainer is 0-5 at Cork while the jockey has a 5% strike rate from 21 rides here.
LeannespourKTB Fit 37/100
Leannespour is a limited performer who has shown very little in four starts to date and was well beaten when last seen. He steps up to 1m for the first time today which asks a fresh question of him. The trainer and jockey both have solid records at Cork but this one has a lot to find on the evidence so far.
Lorr's GirlKTB Fit 32/100
Lorr's Girl is a limited class performer who has won once in three runs at Cork but has been well below that level for some time, with recent form reading 08-009. The trainer's modest 4% strike-rate at the track from a big sample is a negative, as is the jockey's complete lack of success from 20 rides here. First-time headgear is now tried while she remains competitive on good ground at this trip without winning.
Peig SayersKTB Fit 30/100
Peig Sayers is a limited performer who has shown very little in eight runs and finished well beaten on both previous visits to Cork. The trainer and jockey both have modest records at the track and the mare has failed to place in three runs on good ground. She is now 0-7 at this trip and looks up against it again.
KTB verdict
Dawn Flame is the KTB Selection. She has shown a bit more spark since the spring, finishing third in two of her last three starts, and now steps up to 1m having previously won at the trip while first-time headgear is applied. The combination of a low draw and the steadily-run race shape should suit her usual held-up style. The main dangers are Launch Time, who has shown bits of ability on this track and now tries headgear, and Reponse Finale, who has placed at Cork and is competitive on good ground.
KTB Selection Dawn Flame
This is the narrative read of the 8:15 Cork. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Cork racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Why is Dawn Flame the KTB Selection?
She is a limited performer who has shown a bit more spark since the spring, finishing third in two of her last three starts, steps up to 1m having won at the trip earlier in her career, and first-time headgear is now applied.
How does the lack of an obvious leader affect the race?
It points to a steadily-run, tactical affair where being handy pays, as most principals are held-up types who will need a clear run in a big field.
Which horses are trying first-time headgear?
Dawn Flame, Launch Time, Mountain Memory, Glamazon, Half Cut, Imnotleavinyou, Winston's Promise, Mullacash Buzz, Jazz Dreamers, Starflow, Borora Aura, Thompson Gunner and Lorr's Girl.
Which horses have previously won at 1m?
Dawn Flame, Launch Time, Morning Approach, Jazz Dreamers.
Who has the strongest trainer/jockey combination at Cork according to the supplied stats?
W McCreery and W J Lee on Morning Approach have solid records, with the trainer at 12% from 259 runs and the jockey at 15% from 629 rides.
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