8:40 Lingfield
A Class 6 handicap over 7f on soft ground at Lingfield brings together a field of ten where the KTB numbers point to a competitive but modest contest. Fulford Cross tops the KTB Fit ratings on 51 while the remainder are bunched together, with several runners boasting respectable RPRs in the mid-60s. The race features course-and-distance winners and proven soft-ground performers, setting up an interesting puzzle on a surface that should suit those with previous form in the mud.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape suggests a fairly even tempo with a mix of front-runners and prominent racers likely to contest the lead early. Ballybaymoonshiner from stall 1 and Court Of Session drawn in 2 are both inclined to go forward, while Fulford Cross and Beau Jardine prefer to track the pace from their central draws. The key question is whether the leaders can dictate matters on this soft surface or if the race will be won from mid-division as the field stretches up the straight.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Fulford Cross51/100RPR 67 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 2Zambezi Diamond47/100RPR 62 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 3Beau Jardine0/100
- 4Ballybaymoonshiner0/100
- 5Dayman0/100
- 6Court Of Session0/100
- 7Drafted0/100
- 8Kessaar Power0/100
- 9No Gain0/100
- 10Daddy Chill0/100
The contenders
Fulford Cross KTB Fit 51/100
Fulford Cross arrives with solid claims as the top-rated on KTB Fit. An RPR of 67 places him favourably in this field and he is a course-and-distance winner who has already proven himself on this going at Lingfield. The David Simcock yard posts a 16% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.87 from 122 runs, though the trainer-jockey combination shows a 9% strike rate overall. Recent form of 318-75 indicates he remains competitive at this level, and from draw 5 he should be able to track the early pace before delivering his effort. At 16/1 in the market he looks an interesting contender returning to a venue where he has already tasted success.
Zambezi Diamond KTB Fit 47/100
Zambezi Diamond is the second-highest on KTB Fit at 47 yet carries an RPR of just 62 which leaves him towards the lower end of the field ability-wise. Henry Candy’s 14% strike rate at Lingfield with an A/E of 1.05 from 196 runs offers some encouragement, although the trainer-jockey partnership has yet to record a winner from eight attempts. With no course win on record and no specific going data available his profile remains largely neutral on these conditions. Recent form reads 840/40 and from a wide draw of 9 he will need to improve to feature prominently. The market pegs him at 20/1.
Beau Jardine KTB Fit 0/100
Beau Jardine holds an RPR of 71, the highest official figure in the race, yet registers a KTB Fit of 0. The eight-year-old has shown fairly consistent form of late with figures of 577-64 and should be suited by the soft ground given his profile. From draw 4 he is likely to race prominently under Mason Paetel, who takes off 5lb. Trainer Rachel Cook & John Bridger will be hoping the combination of a decent draw and the highest RPR can see him return to his best in this company.
Ballybaymoonshiner KTB Fit 0/100
Ballybaymoonshiner brings an RPR of 66 and recent form of 4130-6 into the contest with a KTB Fit of 0. The eight-year-old is drawn in stall 1 which should allow him to adopt his usual prominent or front-running style. Trainer Murty McGrath and jockey Tom Queally will look to use that inside berth to best effect on the soft surface. His ability places him firmly in the mix on paper although he will need to bounce back from a modest latest effort.
Dayman KTB Fit 0/100
Dayman is another with a KTB Fit of 0 but boasts an RPR of 63 and recent form figures of 342760. The seven-year-old has shown flashes of form this year and from draw 7 should be able to race in a handy position. Dominic Ffrench Davis and Darragh Keenan team up in a race where his ability keeps him in the conversation. He will need to improve on some of his more moderate recent displays if he is to trouble the principals on soft ground.
The rest of the field
Court Of SessionKTB Fit 0/100
Court Of Session has an RPR of 66 and recent form of 630071. The seven-year-old is likely to go forward from draw 2 under Jack Callan and his ability keeps him in the wider mix according to the KTB assessment.
DraftedKTB Fit 0/100
Drafted holds an RPR of 65 with form figures of -37804. The six-year-old is rated neutrally by KTB and will need to improve from his recent efforts under Kieren Fox.
Kessaar PowerKTB Fit 0/100
Kessaar Power posts an RPR of 63 and form of 95-468. The six-year-old has a KTB Fit of 0 and from the outside draw of 10 will need a career-best to figure under Connor Planas.
No GainKTB Fit 0/100
No Gain has the second-highest RPR in the field at 68 and recent form of -46521. The four-year-old is rated neutrally by KTB and could improve for Pat Cosgrave if the soft ground suits.
Daddy ChillKTB Fit 0/100
Daddy Chill has the lowest RPR at 52 and form of -5U899. The four-year-old is towards the foot of the KTB rankings and looks to have plenty to find under Charlie Tucker.
KTB verdict
Fulford Cross is the KTB Selection and looks to have the best blend of proven course-and-distance form, soft-ground experience and a favourable draw. His RPR of 67 compares well and the Simcock yard’s record at Lingfield adds further confidence. The selection should be able to track the pace and strike at the right moment. Main dangers include Beau Jardine with the highest RPR in the race and Ballybaymoonshiner who is likely to make the running from stall 1, while No Gain cannot be entirely dismissed on his official figure.
KTB Selection Fulford Cross
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 06:22 UTC, 6 Jun. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Fulford Cross | 16/1 | 7Bet |
| Zambezi Diamond | 20/1 | 7Bet |
| Beau Jardine | 9/1 | William Hill |
| Ballybaymoonshiner | 16/1 | 7Bet |
| Dayman | 18/1 | 7Bet |
| Court Of Session | 9/2 | Midnite |
| Drafted | 17/2 | Bet365 |
| Kessaar Power | 10/1 | BetTom |
| No Gain | 10/11 | Bet365 |
| Daddy Chill | 50/1 | 7Bet |
This is the narrative read of the 8:40 Lingfield. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Lingfield racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the highest official rating figure in the race?
Beau Jardine with an RPR of 71.
Who is the course and distance winner in the field?
Fulford Cross is a course and distance winner who has proven himself on this going at Lingfield.
What is the KTB Fit rating of the selection?
Fulford Cross is rated 51 on KTB Fit, the highest in the field.
Which trainer has the best strike rate at Lingfield among those with notable data supplied?
David Simcock has a 16% strike rate at Lingfield with an A/E of 0.87 from 122 runs.
How many runners are likely to contest the lead early?
Ballybaymoonshiner and Court Of Session are both inclined to go forward, with Beau Jardine and Fulford Cross set to track the pace.
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