8:45 Ffos Las
This Class 6 handicap at Ffos Las over 1m2f on good ground features a small but competitive field of six three-year-olds and one juvenile. All bar one are dropping in class, and the KTB Fit ratings are tightly bunched between 51 and 36, underlining how little separates the runners on paper. Rajwaah heads the KTB Fit scores at 51 despite limited encouragement in three starts so far, while the yard's 17% strike rate at the track and the modest but consistent recent efforts of Zooter add layers to what looks an open race.
How the race shapes up
With a field of just six, the pace shape is expected to be on the steady side early on. Rajwaah from draw 4 and Zooter from draw 3 are likely to track the leaders, while Blue Jammin drawn in stall 1 could push on from the rail. The key question is whether any of these unexposed or lightly raced types can improve for the step up to 1m2f, or whether the consistent but modest placed efforts of Zooter over the trip will prove sufficient in what may turn into a tactical finish.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Rajwaah KTB Selection51/100Rajwaah has shown little in three starts to date with a best effort of ninth on debut.
- 2Liveinthelight48/100Modest performer who has shown little in two starts this year after a debut that also failed to spark.
- 3Zooter47/100Zooter is a modest performer who has shown consistent form this year with a string of placed efforts including over today's trip.
- 4Grand Pier41/100Modest performer who has shown little since his debut.
- 5Tales Old As Time41/100Tales Old As Time has shown modest form in three runs as a two-year-old, finishing third on debut before two lesser efforts.
- 6Blue Jammin36/100Blue Jammin is a limited performer on the balance of nine career runs and recent form that reads 831-90.
The contenders
Rajwaah KTB Fit 51/100
Rajwaah is a modest three-year-old who has shown little in three starts to date, with a best effort of ninth on debut. Recent form figures of 609 offer scant encouragement yet the KTB Fit score of 51 still makes this colt the top-rated in the race. Dropping in class looks a positive move while the step up markedly in trip now asks a fresh question. Trainer Archie Watson holds a solid 17% strike rate at Ffos Las from 77 runs with an A/E of 0.97, and Pierre-Louis Jamin operates at an 11% strike rate here with an A/E of 0.99 from nine rides. The combination of yard and jockey at this venue offers some hope that this lightly raced sort can find improvement.
Liveinthelight KTB Fit 48/100
Liveinthelight is a modest performer who has shown little in two starts this year after a debut that also failed to spark, with form figures reading 0-59. The KTB Fit score of 48 places this three-year-old second in the rankings for the race. Dropping in class is another factor while the trip remains a major question mark given only three career runs so far. Ollie Sangster's yard is going well at Ffos Las with a 29% strike rate from seven runs and an A/E of 0.83, and George Wood has a 14% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.86 from 28 rides. Lightly raced as he is, there are still plenty of unknowns about this runner at both the distance and the level.
Zooter KTB Fit 47/100
Zooter is a modest performer who has shown consistent form this year with a string of placed efforts, including over today's trip, and recent form figures of 44-253. The KTB Fit score of 47 keeps this three-year-old firmly in the mix among the principals. Trip suitability looks a positive on the balance of those placed efforts at this distance while going has seen him placed once from two starts on good ground. Jack Jones's yard has a small sample at Ffos Las with a 0% strike rate from three runs and an A/E of 0, and Finley Marsh has a modest 9% strike rate from 100 rides here with an A/E of 0.64. The consistency of Zooter's placed efforts still makes him a key player in a race where many others have plenty to prove.
Grand Pier KTB Fit 41/100
Grand Pier is a modest performer who has shown little since his debut, with recent form figures of 754-06. The KTB Fit score of 41 sees this three-year-old fourth among the principals. He ran poorly over this trip on his latest start and was well beaten when seventh on his only previous visit to Ffos Las. Trainer Warren Greatrex has a solid 14% strike rate at the track from 176 runs with an A/E of 0.76, though the yard's recent form with this type is uninspiring. Harry Vigors claims 7 lb and the draw in stall 2 could be useful, but overall there are few reasons to expect a sudden upturn in form from this colt.
The rest of the field
Tales Old As TimeKTB Fit 41/100
Tales Old As Time has shown modest form in three runs as a two-year-old, finishing third on debut before two lesser efforts, with form figures of 380-. The KTB Fit score of 41 reflects limited appeal as he steps up to 1m2f for the first time, which asks a fresh question. Edward Smyth-Osbourne has a 0% strike rate at Ffos Las from three runs with an A/E of 0, and Alistair Rawlinson is 0-5 at the track with an A/E of 0. The trainer and jockey combination has produced a 0/18 record with an A/E of 0.00.
Blue JamminKTB Fit 36/100
Blue Jammin is a limited performer on the balance of nine career runs and recent form that reads 831-90, with a KTB Fit score of 36. Stepping up to 1m2f for the first time poses a fresh question while the colt has shown little on good ground in one previous attempt. William Muir and Chris Grassick have a solid 20% strike rate at Ffos Las from 56 runs with an A/E of 1.17, yet 5 lb claimer Jack Dace has only three rides here so far with a 0% strike rate and an A/E of 0. The trainer and jockey partnership shows a 1/5 record with an A/E that supports modest expectations.
KTB verdict
Rajwaah is the KTB Selection at the head of the Fit scores. Despite showing little in three starts so far, the drop in class, the yard's healthy record at Ffos Las and the booking of Pierre-Louis Jamin combine to give this three-year-old the call in what is a modest event. The trip is an unknown but the 51 Fit rating still sets the standard here. Zooter is the most consistent of the principals on recent placed efforts over the trip and represents the main danger, while Liveinthelight and Grand Pier cannot be entirely dismissed if either can find improvement in first-time handicaps.
KTB Selection Rajwaah
This is the narrative read of the 8:45 Ffos Las. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Ffos Las racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the strongest trainer record at Ffos Las in this field?
Ollie Sangster has a 29% strike rate at Ffos Las from seven runs with an A/E of 0.83.
Has Zooter shown previous effectiveness at this trip?
Yes, Zooter has a string of placed efforts including over today's 1m2f trip.
Which runners are unproven on good ground?
Tales Old As Time has no runs on good ground and is therefore unproven on the surface.
Who has the best recent consistency among the principals?
Zooter with recent form figures of 44-253 showing a string of placed efforts this year.
What is Archie Watson's strike rate at Ffos Las?
Archie Watson has a 17% strike rate at Ffos Las from 77 runs with an A/E of 0.97.
18+. Analysis and entertainment only — no guarantee of profit. KTB race previews are published for interest and are not betting advice. Only ever stake what you can comfortably afford to lose, and set your own limits. Free, confidential help: the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133 (GamCare.org.uk); in Ireland, the GamblingCare.ie helpline on 1800 936 725. Self-exclude at any time via GAMSTOP.
More from Kickthebookies