2:10 York
This Class 3 handicap over 7f at York on good to firm ground brings together a field of 19, with plenty of course winners and several runners in first-time headgear. The KTB Fit scores highlight Yanifer as the clear top pick on 78, with Our Havana, Northern Express, Rare Change and Tilted Kilt next best in the 62-65 range, while the remainder sit between 39 and 60. Several principals have strong York records and recent wins to their name, though wide draws and the application of headgear for many add layers of uncertainty to the puzzle.
How the race shapes up
With a number of prominent runners and few noted closers, the pace shape looks on the strong side and the race is likely to be run at a solid gallop. Yanifer from stall 11 and Northern Express from 13 can be expected to track the leaders, while Our Havana from the widest berth in 19 may need to drop in or find a slot early. The key question is whether the prominent types can dictate matters or if the race will fall apart enough for a closer to capitalise late on the good to firm surface.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Yanifer KTB Selection78/100Yanifer is a useful performer who has won at this trip and at York itself.
- 2Our Havana65/100Our Havana is a fair performer who showed he retains ability when winning last time out.
- 3Northern Express63/100Useful performer with a solid record at this track, winning three times from 18 starts here.
- 4Rare Change63/100Rare Change is a fair performer who has won over this trip and on this ground.
- 5Tilted Kilt62/100Tilted Kilt is a fair performer who has shown mixed form this year with a win and two placed efforts from his last five starts.
- 6Morte Point60/100Fair performer who has won four times including at this trip.
- 7Angel Hunter55/100Angel Hunter is a fair performer who has won both starts over this trip and on good to firm ground.
- 8Goldmoyne54/100Fair performer who has run well on his last two starts and already has five wins on his CV including one at this trip.
- 9Milford53/100Milford is a fair performer who has shown his best form at this track with two placed efforts from four runs.
- 10Pellitory52/100Useful performer who has shown some promise around here with a third and a fifth from two runs.
- 11Croupier51/100Useful performer who has won over this trip and on this ground.
- 12Lir Speciale51/100Fair performer who has shown consistent placed form at this track, including a second and a third, though he failed to fire on his most recent visit.
- 13Lord Roxby49/100Fair performer who has won once from four runs at York and has placed on good to firm ground.
- 14Wild Nature48/100Fair performer who showed a bit of spark when third on reappearance at Newcastle last month but then ran no sort of race at Epsom.
- 15Son44/100Son is a fair sort who has been knocking on the door this year with two seconds and a third from his last six starts.
- 16Andesite44/100Andesite is a fair performer who has run well in defeat on his last three starts and has already won over this course.
- 17Quest For Fun40/100Quest For Fun is a fair sort who has won twice at this track from 14 runs and has also won at today's trip.
- 18Canvas40/100Canvas is a fair performer who has won once from two runs at York but arrives in modest recent form having finished fourth of 12 last time.
- 19King Casper39/100Fair performer who has shown bits of ability but has been regressive of late with a string of modest efforts.
The contenders
Yanifer KTB Fit 78/100
Yanifer is a useful performer who has won at this trip and at York itself. He has run well on good to firm ground in the past though his latest effort was poor and he now carries an 8 lb penalty from a wide draw. The trainer has a strong record here while the jockey is also capable. Harriet Bethell and Ethan Tindall combine with a 4/7 (57%) record and the yard posts a 20% strike rate at York with an A/E of 2.12. Yanifer has two wins from ten starts on good to firm, with eight places, and has won once from five runs at the track. His recent form of 2219-0 includes two victories last season.
Our Havana KTB Fit 65/100
Our Havana is a fair performer who showed he retains ability when winning last time out. He has won over this trip and at this track though he is yet to place in five runs on good to firm ground. The yard and jockey both hold a 10% strike rate here with above average A/E figures. Richard and Peter Fahey team up with Warren Fentiman on a 6/47 (13%) record with an A/E of 1.32 and positive LSP. Our Havana steps up in class having scored at York from three runs and his recent form reads 8699-1. He has five runs on good to firm without a win or place.
Northern Express KTB Fit 63/100
Northern Express is a useful performer with a solid record at this track, winning three times from 18 starts here. Has won at this trip and on this ground though recent form is a bit patchy and he now tries headgear for the first time from a wide draw. Trainer and jockey both have established records at York though neither sets the track alight. Michael Dods and Paul Mulrennan combine with a 212/1633 (13%) record and an A/E of 0.92. Northern Express has three wins from 17 starts on good to firm with seven places and his form reads 3-6355. He tries first-time headgear.
Rare Change KTB Fit 63/100
Rare Change is a fair performer who has won over this trip and on this ground. He has already scored at York and the yard and jockey both have solid recent strike rates here. First-time headgear is the unknown and he arrives in decent form after a recent win. Richard Hughes and Finley Marsh team up with a 156/945 (17%) record and an A/E of 0.97. Rare Change steps up in class having won once from two runs at the track and two from four on good to firm with three places. His recent form is 00-391 and he tries first-time headgear.
Tilted Kilt KTB Fit 62/100
Tilted Kilt is a fair performer who has shown mixed form this year with a win and two placed efforts from his last five starts. He drops back to 7f having won at the trip before though his two runs on good to firm ground have produced no win or place. First-time headgear is now applied while both trainer and jockey have solid records at York. William Knight and Hector Crouch combine with a 4/18 (22%) record and an A/E of 2.36 with positive LSP. Tilted Kilt has no course form on record and his recent form reads 28-170. He tries first-time headgear and drops in class.
The rest of the field
Morte PointKTB Fit 60/100
Morte Point is a fair performer who has won four times including at this trip. Has shown little in three starts this year but was back on track with a win at Newmarket last time and acts on good to firm. First visit to York and first-time headgear both unknowns while the jockey is still seeking his first winner here. He steps up in class with recent form of -00091.
Angel HunterKTB Fit 55/100
Angel Hunter is a fair performer who has won both starts over this trip and on good to firm ground. He also took this track on his only previous visit so the return to York looks a plus, though he drops back from a mile and now tries headgear for the first time. The trainer has a solid record here while the jockey is still seeking his first York winner from ten rides. His recent form reads 816676.
GoldmoyneKTB Fit 54/100
Goldmoyne is a fair performer who has run well on his last two starts and already has five wins on his CV including one at this trip. He acts on good to firm ground and the first-time headgear could sharpen him up further. Trainer's modest 4% strike rate at York is a negative while the jockey has a solid record here. He drops in class with form of 395422.
MilfordKTB Fit 53/100
Milford is a fair performer who has shown his best form at this track with two placed efforts from four runs. He acts on good to firm ground having been competitive twice on it without winning and he has also placed at this trip. The yard's modest 6% strike rate from 145 runs at York is a negative while the wide draw in stall 16 adds to the challenge. Recent form is 074-60.
PellitoryKTB Fit 52/100
Pellitory is a useful performer who has shown some promise around here with a third and a fifth from two runs. He is 3 from 11 at this trip but has been out of form of late and is 0 from 5 on good to firm ground. The yard and jockey both have solid records at the track though neither is setting the place alight right now. He drops in class with form of 550-00.
CroupierKTB Fit 51/100
Croupier is a useful performer who has won over this trip and on this ground. He has already scored at York from just two starts here and drops back from a mile, which should suit. The yard's small sample at the track is hard to read while Nolan's modest strike-rate at York is a negative. Recent form reads 012/09.
Lir SpecialeKTB Fit 51/100
Lir Speciale is a fair performer who has shown consistent placed form at this track, including a second and a third, though he failed to fire on his most recent visit. He acts on good to firm but his record on it is modest with just one win from seven starts. Trainer's modest 6% strike rate at York is offset by the jockey's solid 7% record here from 114 rides. His form is -33024.
Lord RoxbyKTB Fit 49/100
Lord Roxby is a fair performer who has won once from four runs at York and has placed on good to firm ground. He steps up to 7f for the first time today after recent runs over 6f and his placed effort at this trip suggests the extra furlong could suit. Trainer has a modest 6% strike rate here from a big sample while the jockey is 1-26 at the track. Recent form is -90145.
Wild NatureKTB Fit 48/100
Wild Nature is a fair performer who showed a bit of spark when third on reappearance at Newcastle last month but then ran no sort of race at Epsom. Drops back to 7f having won at the trip earlier in his career though the move asks a fresh question after his last run over a mile. Trainer and jockey both have modest strike rates at York and he is unproven on good to firm ground. Form reads 991-30.
SonKTB Fit 44/100
Son is a fair sort who has been knocking on the door this year with two seconds and a third from his last six starts. He has placed on his only visit to York and handles good to firm ground, though his overall strike rate remains modest. The Tim Easterby yard and David Allan both operate below par at this track. He steps up in class with form of 229734.
AndesiteKTB Fit 44/100
Andesite is a fair performer who has run well in defeat on his last three starts and has already won over this course. He drops back to 7f today having been placed without winning at the trip previously while the first-time headgear is an unknown. The yard's modest 4% strike rate at York is a negative though Kevin Stott's 7% record here offers some hope. Recent form is 705322.
Quest For FunKTB Fit 40/100
Quest For Fun is a fair sort who has won twice at this track from 14 runs and has also won at today's trip. He has been consistent enough of late with two placed efforts from his last three starts though the first-time headgear is now reached for. The yard has a modest 6% strike-rate at York from a huge sample while the jockey is even quieter at 2% from 284 rides here. Form reads 0-9553.
CanvasKTB Fit 40/100
Canvas is a fair performer who has won once from two runs at York but arrives in modest recent form having finished fourth of 12 last time. The drop back to 7f asks a fresh question as he has never placed at the trip in three previous attempts and his last win came over a mile. Trainer Scott Dixon has a 3% strike rate from 100 runs at the track while Kieran O'Neill is 7% from 60 rides here. Recent form is 170-40.
King CasperKTB Fit 39/100
King Casper is a fair performer who has shown bits of ability but has been regressive of late with a string of modest efforts. He has run twice at York without placing and the yard's modest strike rate here adds little confidence from the wide draw. Drops back to a trip he has won at before while the good to firm ground should suit. His form is 45090-.
KTB verdict
Yanifer stands out as the KTB Selection. He is a useful performer with previous success at this trip and at York, allied to a strong trainer record at the track and a capable jockey partnership. The selection has shown he handles good to firm ground and his overall profile fits well despite the latest poor run, the penalty and the wide draw. Northern Express, with his excellent York record and the first-time headgear, is the most obvious danger, while Our Havana, Rare Change and Tilted Kilt all bring recent wins or placed form and course knowledge into the equation.
KTB Selection Yanifer
This is the narrative read of the 2:10 York. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the York racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the strongest trainer record at York among the principals?
Yanifer, with trainer Harriet Bethell showing a 20% strike rate at York and an A/E of 2.12 from 10 runs.
How many course winners are there in the full field of 19?
Multiple horses have won at York, including Yanifer, Our Havana, Northern Express, Rare Change, Angel Hunter, Croupier, Lord Roxby, Andesite, Quest For Fun and Canvas.
Which runners are trying first-time headgear?
Northern Express, Rare Change, Tilted Kilt, Morte Point, Angel Hunter, Goldmoyne, Andesite and Quest For Fun are all in first-time headgear.
What is the pace profile for the race?
The race looks likely to be strongly run with several prominent runners including Yanifer and Northern Express, posing the question of whether the leaders can hold on or if it will suit closers.
Which horse steps up in class from a recent win?
Our Havana steps up in class after winning last time out, while Morte Point also steps up following a Newmarket success.
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