3:15 Beverley
This Class 6 nursery handicap over 7f75y at Beverley on good to firm ground features an eleven-runner field of largely unexposed or modest two-year-olds. The KTB Fit Scores top out at 61 for the selection, with the next four principals clustered between 55 and 50, underlining the modest overall standard. With no obvious front-runner in a steadily-run, tactical race, being handy from a good draw could prove decisive.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape lacks a leader and points to a steadily-run, tactical affair in which being handily placed should pay dividends. Most of the field, including all five principals, are held-up types who produce their effort late, so the race is likely to develop into a sprint for the line from around two furlongs out. The key question is which of these runners can quicken best off a modest gallop while coping with the step up to this trip.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Ariane Sky KTB Selection61/100Ariane Sky has shown steady improvement and landed a similar race last time out over this trip.
- 2Claret And Blues55/100Modest performer who has shown ordinary form in five runs at six furlongs, finishing no better than fifth.
- 3Sovereign Beach55/100Sovereign Beach is a limited performer on the balance of his four runs to date and has failed to build on a promising debut.
- 4State Of Gold52/100Modest performer who has shown some promise, finishing second in a similar race here last time after three lesser efforts.
- 5Amantha50/100Modest performer who has been busy and fairly consistent of late with form figures of 661233.
- 6Court Legend49/100Court Legend has shown only modest form in three runs to date, finishing no better than fifth.
- 7Bonjour Belle46/100Limited performer who has shown very little in four runs at this trip.
- 8Farndale41/100Farndale has shown only limited ability in four starts at this trip, finishing no better than sixth.
- 9Wells Fargo Stage39/100Limited performer who has shown little in three starts to date, finishing ninth of ten on debut then well beaten in two nurseries.
- 10Yorkshire Dream36/100Yorkshire Dream has shown only limited ability in three runs to date and looks up against it in even this modest company.
- 11Whisper Angel34/100Whisper Angel has shown very little in three starts to date and looks limited on the evidence.
The contenders
Ariane Sky KTB Fit 61/100
Ariane Sky has shown steady improvement and landed a similar race last time out over this trip. The modest performer is drawn nicely in stall four and benefits from a yard that operates at a 33% strike rate here. Lightly raced with only four runs total so the going remains an unknown. James Owen and Mason Paetel team up with a 21/137 trainer-jockey record. Usually held up, she produces her effort late and will look to come from off the pace in what is set to be a steadily-run contest.
Claret And Blues KTB Fit 55/100
Claret And Blues is a modest performer who has shown ordinary form in five runs at six furlongs, finishing no better than fifth. He steps up to an untried seven furlongs today which asks a fresh question. The Fahey yard has an 18% strike rate at Beverley from 22 runs while apprentice Ethan Tindall is taking off 5 lb. Usually held up with high confidence in that assessment, he will be produced late. The yard-jockey combination shows a 3/55 record.
Sovereign Beach KTB Fit 55/100
Sovereign Beach is a limited performer on the balance of his four runs to date and has failed to build on a promising debut. The step up from 6f to 7f asks a fresh question while the yard continue in strong form at Beverley with a 55% strike rate. Data confidence is high yet the small-sample going note leaves that side of the equation unknown. Usually held up, he will be ridden for a late run. Ollie Sangster and Sam James combine with a 3/24 trainer-jockey record.
State Of Gold KTB Fit 52/100
State Of Gold is a modest performer who has shown some promise, finishing second in a similar race here last time after three lesser efforts. He steps up to 7f for the first time today which asks a fresh question. Trainer has a solid 12% strike rate at Beverley from 90 runs. Dropping in class, he is another usually held up runner who will be produced with a late effort. The Craig Lidster and William Pyle partnership stands at 25/242.
Amantha KTB Fit 50/100
Amantha is a modest performer who has been busy and fairly consistent of late with form figures of 661233. She has placed once from four runs at Beverley and shown she handles good to firm, while her one win from six starts at this trip is another plus. Brian Ellison has a 9% strike rate here from 571 runs and Ben Robinson takes the ride. Dropping in class, she is usually held up and will look to come from off the pace. The yard-jockey record reads 170/1715.
The rest of the field
Court LegendKTB Fit 49/100
Court Legend has shown only modest form in three runs to date, finishing no better than fifth. He steps up from 6f to 7f today which asks a fresh question of him. The yard have a solid 14% strike rate at Beverley from a big sample. Usually held up, he is dropping in class.
Bonjour BelleKTB Fit 46/100
Bonjour Belle is a limited performer who has shown very little in four runs at this trip. The yard has a modest 9% strike-rate at Beverley from a large sample. Data is solid but offers no encouragement. Dropping in class and usually held up.
FarndaleKTB Fit 41/100
Farndale has shown only limited ability in four starts at this trip, finishing no better than sixth. He was fifth on his only visit to Beverley and the yard's modest 10% strike rate here from a huge sample offers little encouragement. With just four runs on his record the going remains an unknown. Usually held up.
Wells Fargo StageKTB Fit 39/100
Wells Fargo Stage is a limited performer who has shown little in three starts to date, finishing ninth of ten on debut then well beaten in two nurseries. He steps up to 7f for the first time today having looked stretched by 6f last time, though the move could suit on pedigree. Trainer has a modest 10% strike rate from a huge sample at Beverley. Dropping in class and usually held up.
Yorkshire DreamKTB Fit 36/100
Yorkshire Dream has shown only limited ability in three runs to date and looks up against it in even this modest company. The yard records a 7% strike rate at Beverley from 72 runs. Stepping up to 7f for the first time asks a fresh question while the going remains unknown on such a light profile. Dropping in class and usually held up.
Whisper AngelKTB Fit 34/100
Whisper Angel has shown very little in three starts to date and looks limited on the evidence. Stepping up from 6f to 7f today asks a fresh question while the small-sample going note means the ground remains an unknown. The trainer's modest 8% strike rate at Beverley from a huge sample offers no particular encouragement here. Dropping in class.
KTB verdict
Ariane Sky is the KTB Selection. She arrives on the back of a win in a similar event over this trip, is drawn well in stall four, and represents a yard with a strong 33% strike rate at Beverley. Lightly raced and steadily progressive, she can confirm that latest promise in a steadily-run race that should suit her held-up style. The main dangers are State Of Gold, who showed promise when second here last time and is dropping in class, and Amantha, whose placed form at the track and at this trip gives her solid each-way claims. Sovereign Beach and Claret And Blues are next in the KTB Fit order and cannot be entirely ruled out if the step up to seven furlongs brings improvement.
KTB Selection Ariane Sky
This is the narrative read of the 3:15 Beverley. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Beverley racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the highest KTB Fit Score and why is it the selection?
Ariane Sky with a KTB Fit Score of 61/100. She has shown steady improvement, won a similar race last time out over this trip, is drawn nicely in stall four, and comes from a yard with a 33% strike rate at Beverley.
How many of the principals are stepping up to 7f for the first time?
Three of the five principals: Claret And Blues, Sovereign Beach and State Of Gold are all stepping up to an untried 7f.
Which horse has the best recent course form at Beverley?
Amantha, who has placed once from four runs at the track with figures of 2nd, 6th, 8th and 11th.
What is the trainer strike rate at Beverley for the yard of the selection?
James Owen has a 33% strike rate at Beverley with an A/E of 1.47 from 21 runs.
Which runner is dropping in class and has shown the most consistency of late?
Amantha, with recent form figures of 661233 and a win from six starts at this trip.
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