2:45 Beverley
This Class 6 nursery handicap over the minimum 5f at Beverley on good to firm ground brings together a field of largely modest two-year-olds. The KTB Fit ratings point to a competitive but low-grade event in which experience at the track and proven ability over the trip carry extra weight. Concert Pitch tops the KTB figures and is the selection, though several others bring placed form or first-time headgear into the equation.
How the race shapes up
A strong pace is anticipated with at least two habitual front-runners present and the pace shape confidence rated high. Lairy Mary and Mrs Mole are both inclined to race prominently, while Good Fighter could also go forward. That early speed is expected to test those up with the pace and could set the race up for hold-up performers, posing the key question of whether any of the prominent runners can withstand the late challenge from horses coming from off the pace.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Concert Pitch KTB Selection55/100Concert Pitch is a modest performer who has been placed on three of four starts at Beverley without winning.
- 2Lairy Mary47/100Lairy Mary is a limited filly who has shown just enough to win a couple of times, including over this trip and at Beverley itself.
- 3Mardy Bum46/100Mardy Bum is a modest 2-year-old who has shown placed form at this trip without winning.
- 4Mrs Mole45/100Modest performer who has shown ordinary form in three runs so far, finishing no better than fourth.
- 5Johns Power44/100Limited performer who has shown little in three starts to date.
- 6Enemy Action43/100Modest 2yo who has shown just fair form in four starts, including a placed effort over C&D on his second outing.
- 7Good Fighter43/100Good Fighter has shown very little in three starts to date and sits right at the bottom of this modest field on the balance of his form.
- 8Kaiulani Spirit42/100Kaiulani Spirit has shown only limited ability in three runs at this trip, finishing no closer than sixth.
- 9Targa39/100Limited performer who has shown only modest form across five starts, finishing no closer than third.
- 10Articulate30/100Articulate has shown very little in three starts at this trip, finishing no better than eighth each time including on this track.
The contenders
Concert Pitch KTB Fit 55/100
Concert Pitch is a modest performer who has been placed on three of his four starts at Beverley without winning. He has shown consistent form at this trip, finishing in the first three on five of his six attempts, though he remains winless. The trainer's modest 9% strike rate from a large sample at the track adds a note of caution. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he is ideally suited by the anticipated strong pace that could collapse late and favour hold-up horses. Dropping in class is a positive, as is his placed record on good to firm. Trainer Brian Ellison and jockey Ben Robinson both have below-par strike rates at Beverley.
Lairy Mary KTB Fit 47/100
Lairy Mary is a limited filly who has shown just enough to win a couple of times, including over this trip and at Beverley itself. She has been in and out lately, finishing sixth of ten last time after a better effort the run before, and the drop back to 5f looks reasonable given her record at the distance. The yard's modest 10% strike rate at the track from a huge sample adds a note of caution. Tending to make the running or race on the pace, she could be vulnerable if the strong pace collapses late. She has a win from four runs on good to firm and has won here from three starts at the course.
Mardy Bum KTB Fit 46/100
Mardy Bum is a modest 2-year-old who has shown placed form at this trip without winning. Dropping back from 6f to 5f looks a sensible move and first-time headgear is now tried, though the wide draw in stall 10 is a clear negative. Trainer David O'Meara has a solid 14% strike rate from 679 runs at Beverley while jockey Mark Winn is 0-9 here. Usually held up and producing his effort late on limited evidence, he could be suited by the expected strong pace. He has been placed once from five runs on good to firm but has no course form on record.
Mrs Mole KTB Fit 45/100
Mrs Mole is a modest performer who has shown ordinary form in three runs so far, finishing no better than fourth. She drops back to an untried 5f today which asks a fresh question of her. The yard has a 0% strike rate from 37 runs at Beverley. Tending to make the running or race on the pace, she could set or contest the strong pace but may find it hard to sustain if it collapses late. She has two runs on good to firm without winning or placing and has no course form on record.
Johns Power KTB Fit 44/100
Johns Power is a limited performer who has shown little in three starts to date. The yard has a modest 10% strike rate at Beverley from a large sample of runners. The trip looks no better than fair and the small amount of form leaves too many questions unanswered. Usually held up and producing his effort late on limited evidence, he could benefit if the strong pace collapses. Dropping in class is a positive but he has no win or place from one run on good to firm and no course form on record.
The rest of the field
Enemy ActionKTB Fit 43/100
Enemy Action is a modest 2yo who has shown just fair form in four starts, including a placed effort over C&D on his second outing. Dropping back to 5f today after a couple of runs at 6f asks a fresh question, while first-time headgear is also an unknown. Trainer's modest 8% strike rate at Beverley from a big sample offers no particular encouragement.
Good FighterKTB Fit 43/100
Good Fighter has shown very little in three starts to date and sits right at the bottom of this modest field on the balance of his form. Dropping back to 5f is an unknown and first-time headgear is another question mark on a lightly-raced colt who still needs to improve markedly. Trainer and jockey both have limited course data here so the run comes with plenty of unknowns.
Kaiulani SpiritKTB Fit 42/100
Kaiulani Spirit has shown only limited ability in three runs at this trip, finishing no closer than sixth. The first-time headgear is a hopeful move for a Tim Easterby 2yo who remains largely unexposed. Trainer has a 10% strike rate from 2392 runs at Beverley.
TargaKTB Fit 39/100
Targa is a limited performer who has shown only modest form across five starts, finishing no closer than third. Has been tried four times at this sprint trip without success and the small sample makes the good-to-firm ground an unknown. Trainer Archie Watson has a 14% strike rate from 70 runs at Beverley while jockey Luke Morris also operates at a modest level here.
ArticulateKTB Fit 30/100
Articulate has shown very little in three starts at this trip, finishing no better than eighth each time including on this track. The yard's record here is too small to judge and the colt's own limited ability fits the class read. Everything remains very much unknown on good to firm ground.
KTB verdict
Concert Pitch is the KTB Selection. A modest performer, he has been placed on three of four starts at Beverley without winning yet and has finished in the first three on five of six attempts at this trip. Usually held up, he is well suited by the likely strong pace that could collapse late and favour hold-up horses, while the drop in class is another plus. His main dangers are Lairy Mary, who has won over the trip and at the course, and Mardy Bum, who drops back to 5f with first-time headgear applied despite the wide draw.
KTB Selection Concert Pitch
This is the narrative read of the 2:45 Beverley. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Beverley racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has been placed three times from four starts at Beverley?
Concert Pitch.
What is the expected pace shape and how might it affect the race?
Strong pace likely with two or more habitual front-runners; the pace could collapse late, which would favour hold-up horses.
Which runners are noted as tending to make the running or race prominently?
Lairy Mary, Mrs Mole and Good Fighter.
Which horse is trying first-time headgear from a wide draw in stall 10?
Mardy Bum.
Which trainer has a 0% strike rate at Beverley from 37 runs?
Steph Hollinshead, trainer of Mrs Mole.
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