2:35 Ffos Las
A Class 5 handicap over 7f80y at Ffos Las on good ground brings together ten modest performers, several with previous experience at the track. The KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched at the top, with Lerwick and Mountain Of Light both rated 61, Bella Bisbee and The Stone Power on 60, and the remainder dropping away more sharply. Course form and draw will be influential on a track that often favours those drawn lower, while the lone-leader pace shape suggests an uncontested front-runner could prove difficult for those coming from off the pace to reel in.
How the race shapes up
With a lone leader expected and high confidence in that assessment, the race is likely to be dominated up front by one horse enjoying an uncontested lead. Most of the field are held-up types who will be looking to produce their effort late, which could make it hard for them to close the gap if the leader gets an easy time. The key question is whether any prominent racer can get close enough early or if the closers will be able to peg back the front-runner on this sharp track. Draw looks particularly relevant given the bias towards lower stalls often seen here.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Lerwick KTB Selection61/100Modest performer who showed his best side when winning over this trip at Ffos Las last time.
- 2Mountain Of Light61/100Modest performer who showed some promise when second of nine over 1m here on his second start.
- 3Bella Bisbee60/100Modest performer with a solid recent record that includes two placed efforts in her last three starts.
- 4The Stone Power60/100Fair performer who showed his best form when winning over this course and distance on good ground last time.
- 5Santiago Boy52/100Modest performer who has shown some consistency lately with placed efforts on his last two starts including at this trip.
- 6Gelato51/100Modest performer who won over this trip on debut and has since added a course win here at Ffos Las from just two starts.
- 7Nebbia49/100Modest performer who has shown fair form on a couple of occasions without winning.
- 8Dappled Light48/100Dappled Light is a modest performer who has won once from three starts at this track and holds a solid recent record with two seconds from his last three outing…
- 9Cypriot Diaspora45/100Limited performer who has won twice at this track from six runs and also has two wins at today's trip.
- 10Grimese's Special39/100Limited performer who has already shown a bit of ability at this trip with a win from four starts.
The contenders
Lerwick KTB Fit 61/100
Lerwick is a modest performer who showed his best side when winning over this trip at Ffos Las last time. He has a solid record on good ground and the yard and jockey both strike at a healthy rate here. Stall eight is no help on a track that often favours those drawn lower. The six-year-old steps up in class having landed his most recent race from a field of ten. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will need the race to fall right if the uncontested leader gets an easy time of it.
Mountain Of Light KTB Fit 61/100
Mountain Of Light is a modest performer who showed some promise when second of nine over 1m here on his second start. Dropping back to 7f poses a fresh question while the wide draw in stall 10 is far from ideal. The three-year-old is dropping in class and has been placed once from one run on good ground. Trainer James Horton has a 25% strike rate at Ffos Las from a small sample, though the yard remains hard to gauge at the track overall. Stevie Donohoe takes the ride and the horse could be vulnerable if the pace shape favours those on the front end.
Bella Bisbee KTB Fit 60/100
Bella Bisbee is a modest performer with a solid recent record that includes two placed efforts in her last three starts. She has won on good ground and at this trip though she is now 0-15 on her last 15 starts overall. This is her first run at Ffos Las for a yard that has a 10% strike-rate here and the jockey is operating at a similar level. Usually racing prominently, on or close to the lead, she could be well placed to track the expected lone leader. The five-year-old has a course-and-distance note of no course form on record.
The Stone Power KTB Fit 60/100
The Stone Power is a fair performer who showed his best form when winning over this course and distance on good ground last time. He has been placed in both runs at 7f and now drops back from a mile, which looks a sensible move. Trainer Ralph Beckett has a solid 25% strike rate here while the jockey is less proven with only seven rides at the track. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will need to come from off the pace against an uncontested leader. The three-year-old has won here from one run at the track.
Santiago Boy KTB Fit 52/100
Santiago Boy is a modest performer who has shown some consistency lately with placed efforts on his last two starts including at this trip. Stall one could be useful on a sharp track like this and the yard has a solid record here. Jockey Harry Vigors also strikes at a good rate at the course though the small going sample leaves that side unknown. The three-year-old is usually held up and produces his effort late, which may not be ideal given the expected pace shape. Charles Hills has a 16% strike rate at Ffos Las from 69 runs.
The rest of the field
GelatoKTB Fit 51/100
Gelato is a modest performer who won over this trip on debut and has since added a course win here at Ffos Las from just two starts. Dropping back from 1m looks a positive move given that sole 7f success yet three runs on good ground have produced no win or place. The yard holds a 9% strike rate at the track while the jockey has been more effective with a 25% record from limited rides. Usually held up, the three-year-old will be coming from off the pace.
NebbiaKTB Fit 49/100
Nebbia is a modest performer who has shown fair form on a couple of occasions without winning. Steps up to 7f for the first time today having last run over 6f, which asks a fresh question. Trainer and jockey both have solid records at the track. The three-year-old is usually held up and will be producing his effort late.
Dappled LightKTB Fit 48/100
Dappled Light is a modest performer who has won once from three starts at this track and holds a solid recent record with two seconds from his last three outings. He has three wins from 13 starts on good ground and is dropping back to 7f where he has placed once from three attempts though he has yet to win at the trip. The yard and jockey both record modest strike rates here around 9-10%. Usually held up, the six-year-old will need to come from off the pace.
Cypriot DiasporaKTB Fit 45/100
Cypriot Diaspora is a limited performer who has won twice at this track from six runs and also has two wins at today's trip. Recent form is patchy but he has been competitive in several of these races and the course record is a definite plus. Trainer has a solid 15% strike rate here while the claiming jockey is still seeking his first winner at the track. A front-runner who tends to make the running or race on the pace, he could be the lone leader in this contest.
Grimese's SpecialKTB Fit 39/100
Grimese's Special is a limited performer who has already shown a bit of ability at this trip with a win from four starts. Recent form has been poor though and he needs to bounce back from two heavy defeats this year. Trainer has a modest 7% strike-rate at the track from 54 runs while the 7lb claimer is too lightly represented here to assess. Usually held up, the three-year-old will be coming from off the pace.
KTB verdict
Lerwick is the KTB Selection. He showed his best side when winning over this trip at Ffos Las last time, has a solid record on good ground, and benefits from a yard and jockey who both strike at a healthy rate at the track. The uncontested lead likely to be set by a front-runner poses the main threat to his chances given his held-up run style, yet his recent course win gives him a strong profile. Main dangers include The Stone Power, who won over this course and distance last time and drops back from a mile, and Mountain Of Light, who showed promise when second here over 1m despite the wide draw. Bella Bisbee and Santiago Boy also have each-way claims on recent form and course factors.
KTB Selection Lerwick
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:34 UTC, 28 Aug. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Lerwick | 4/1 | Bet365 |
| Mountain Of Light | 13/2 | 7Bet |
| Bella Bisbee | 17/2 | Bet365 |
| The Stone Power | 5/2 | 7Bet |
| Santiago Boy | 5/1 | Bet365 |
| Gelato | 12/1 | 7Bet |
| Nebbia | 16/1 | 7Bet |
| Dappled Light | 10/1 | 7Bet |
| Cypriot Diaspora | 15/2 | William Hill |
| Grimese's Special | 70/1 | 7Bet |
This is the narrative read of the 2:35 Ffos Las. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Ffos Las racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is expected to take the uncontested lead?
Cypriot Diaspora, who tends to make the running or race on the pace with high confidence in that run style.
Why is the draw important in this race?
Stall eight is no help for Lerwick on a track that often favours those drawn lower, while Mountain Of Light in stall 10 has a far from ideal wide draw.
Which horses are dropping in class?
Mountain Of Light and the KTB Selection Lerwick is stepping up in class while Mountain Of Light is dropping.
Who has the best recent course record at Ffos Las?
Cypriot Diaspora has won twice here from six runs, while Lerwick, The Stone Power, Gelato and Dappled Light have each won once at the track.
How does the pace shape affect held-up runners?
With a lone leader expected and little to pressure it, the uncontested lead can be hard for closers and held-up types to peg back.
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