5:15 Stratford
The 5:15 at Stratford is a Class 5 handicap hurdle over 2m0f70y on good ground with a field of ten. KTB's Fit ratings are tightly bunched at the top, headed by Mayday Games on 56, with the next four principals all between 51 and 55, suggesting a competitive race where course form, recent consistency and trainer track records will matter. The official ratings and recent form figures indicate a mixture of useful and fair performers, several with previous success at the track.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is genuinely run with high confidence, featuring a front-runner likely to be pressed by several handy types in what should prove a fair test. Mayday Games is expected to make the running or race prominently, while Jet Patrol's prominent style will see him closely involved early. The three held-up runners among the principals, Lord Of The Glance, Saucats and Connemara Joe, will look to come from off the pace, and the key question is whether the front-running Mayday Games can dictate and repel the late challengers in a truly-run affair.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Mayday Games KTB Selection56/100
Mayday Games is a useful performer who won over this trip here last season and has a solid 1-2 course record. His recent form is mixed, with a fall and a poor run either side of a win, though the placed effort on good ground fits today's conditions. Shaun Lycett has a 12% strike rate at Stratford with an A/E of 1.15 from 101 runs, though Brendan Powell's 7% strike rate from 149 rides here is low. The 7-year-old tends to make the running or race on the pace with high confidence and has one win from five starts on good ground. KTB's selection on a Fit rating of 56, he arrives with the strongest course profile among the principals.
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2Lord Of The Glance55/100
Lord Of The Glance is a fair performer who has won over this trip and has already scored at Stratford. His recent form is solid with two seconds and a third from his last three completed starts though he did unseat in between. Alex Hales has an 8% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.73 from 137 runs, offset by the horse's own 1-2 course record, while the 3lb claimer Toby McCain-Mitchell is operating at a similar level from limited rides with an 11% strike rate here. The 7-year-old is usually held up and produces his effort late with high confidence and has one win from six starts on good ground with three places. Rated 55 on KTB Fit, he enters with strong recent placed form.
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3Jet Patrol54/100
Jet Patrol is a useful performer who has won over this trip and at this track. His recent form is mixed but he has placed twice from his last three starts and clearly handles good ground with one win from ten starts. James Owen brings a 20% strike rate at Stratford with an A/E of 0.69 from 50 runs, while Sean D Bowen has no record at the course. The 9-year-old usually races handily, on or close to the lead, with medium confidence and has a 1-3 course record. On a KTB Fit of 54 he looks sure to be involved in the early fractions in what should be a genuinely-run race.
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4Saucats54/100
Saucats is a fair performer who has been in and out of form this season and arrives here off the back of a modest seventh last time. He drops back to 2m having failed to win in six previous attempts at the trip while his record on good ground is ordinary with just one success from 12 starts. Joe Tickle has an 11% strike rate at Stratford with an A/E of 1.53 from nine runs, though Callum Pritchard's 5% strike rate from 19 rides here is low. The 5-year-old is usually held up and produces his effort late with medium confidence and has no course form on record. KTB rates him 54 on Fit, with his yard's solid track record providing some encouragement.
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5Connemara Joe51/100
Connemara Joe is a fair performer who has shown ordinary form in four runs this year, finishing no better than fifth. He has already tried this trip three times without success and was only sixth when he ran here once before. Matt Sheppard and Stan Sheppard both have solid records at Stratford, the yard at 10% with an A/E of 0.99 from 208 runs and the jockey at 13% with an A/E of 1.06 from 96 rides. The 5-year-old is usually held up and produces his effort late, though with limited evidence and low confidence, and has no win or place from three runs on good ground. Rated 51 on KTB Fit, he has the yard and jockey combination in his favour.
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6Langton Wold50/100
Langton Wold is a useful performer who has shown consistent placed form on good ground and returns from a break with solid recent efforts before the lay-off. He steps up markedly in trip today having last run over 1m1f and with only two previous tries at this distance both unsuccessful, though he has placed three times from eight starts on good. Brian Ellison has a 10% strike rate at Stratford with an A/E of 0.48 from 52 runs and Nathan Moscrop is 7% from 15 rides here; the 7-year-old is usually held up with high confidence and was third on his only previous run at the track.
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7Raincloud45/100
Raincloud is a modest performer who has been out of form for some time with recent figures of 99P8-8. He drops back to 2m today having been placed once at the trip without winning while his record on good ground shows three placed efforts from 16 starts. Michael Chapman and James Best both have established but modest records at Stratford, the yard at 7% with an A/E of 1.05 from 137 runs and the jockey at 9% with an A/E of 1.16 from 191 rides; the 6-year-old is usually held up with high confidence and drops in class.
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8Genbu45/100
Genbu is a fair performer who has shown consistent placed form this year but has looked limited at this level on his last couple of starts. He has won twice at today's trip and handles good ground with two wins from 15 starts and five places, though his record around Stratford is poor with one run yielding tenth. Sarah-Jayne Davies has a 3% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.7 from 87 runs and Mr Sam Burton is 0% from one ride here; the 4-year-old usually races handily with medium confidence.
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9Western Soldier43/100
Western Soldier is a fair performer on his day but has been largely out of form this year and failed to complete when last seen. He has shown some ability at this track without winning from two runs and drops back to a trip he has won over in the past, with one win from 11 starts on good and four places. Jeff Mullins has a 0% strike rate at Stratford from one run and Benjamin Macey is still seeking a first winner from nine rides here; the 8-year-old is usually held up with medium confidence.
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10Battle Stride36/100
Battle Stride is a fair maiden who has shown only modest form in recent starts and was well held when falling at the last on his latest outing. He has been beaten on all five attempts at this trip and has failed to place in four runs on good ground. Richard Armson has a 0% strike rate at Stratford from 17 runs and Philip Armson is 4% from 49 rides here; the 4-year-old is usually held up with high confidence and was fourth on his only previous run at the track.
KTB verdict
Mayday Games stands out as the KTB Selection. He is a useful performer with a prior win over this trip at Stratford and a solid course record, while his placed effort on good ground fits the conditions and the yard has a decent record at the venue. The genuinely-run pace should suit his front-running style, allowing him to dictate terms. His main dangers are Lord Of The Glance, who brings solid recent placed form and his own course win, and Jet Patrol, whose prominent running and trainer's strong strike rate at Stratford make him a live threat. Saucats and Connemara Joe add further depth in what looks a competitive Class 5.
KTB Selection Mayday Games
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:00 UTC, 5 Sep. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Mayday Games | 4/1 | William Hill |
| Lord Of The Glance | 11/4 | Bet365 |
| Jet Patrol | 15/8 | Bet365 |
| Saucats | 9/1 | Bet365 |
| Connemara Joe | 16/1 | 7Bet |
| Langton Wold | 12/1 | 7Bet |
| Raincloud | 100/1 | 7Bet |
| Genbu | 16/1 | 7Bet |
| Western Soldier | 10/1 | 7Bet |
| Battle Stride | 40/1 | 7Bet |
This is the narrative read of the 5:15 Stratford. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Stratford racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Stratford results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the strongest course record at Stratford?
Mayday Games has a solid 1-2 course record and won here over this trip last season.
How does the pace shape affect the principals?
Mayday Games is likely to make the running or race on the pace while Jet Patrol races prominently; Lord Of The Glance, Saucats and Connemara Joe are held-up types in a genuinely-run race.
Which trainer has the best strike rate at Stratford among those represented?
James Owen has a 20% strike rate at Stratford from 50 runs with Jet Patrol.
Which runner is dropping in class?
Raincloud is dropping in class.
Has any horse in the field won over the course and distance?
Mayday Games won over this trip here last season and Lord Of The Glance has won over this trip and at Stratford.
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