2:00 Leicester
This Class 4 restricted maiden for two-year-olds at Leicester over 7f on good to firm ground looks an ordinary affair lacking depth, with the KTB numbers highlighting only modest levels of ability across the field. The top two in the Fit ratings both sit on 57 while the remainder are covered by 51 to 41, underlining a race where previous form is limited and several debutants add uncertainty. With no obvious leader the pace is expected to be tactical, and the KTB figures suggest the outcome will hinge on which of the more experienced runners can translate their early promise to this trip and surface.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape indicates a lack of any natural front-runner, pointing to a steadily-run, tactical 7f contest in which being handy or well placed from midfield should prove advantageous. Several runners are noted as usually held up and producing their effort late, which could see them playing catch-up if the race lacks early tempo. The key question is whether the prominent or midfield types can seize the initiative early or if the hold-up performers will be given the chance to close in the straight on this good to firm ground.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Parioca57/100RPR 47 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 2Kach Above KTB Selection57/100RPR 72 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 3Waiting For Archie51/100RPR 50 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 4Better Nature49/100RPR 69 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 5See Amna47/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 6Pertinent45/100RPR 23 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 7Farndale45/100RPR 66 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 8Mrs Mole42/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 9Lord Ragnar41/100RPR 43 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 10Wells Fargos Envoy41/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
The contenders
Parioca KTB Fit 57/100
Parioca showed very little on her debut at Southwell last month where she finished fifth of six in a weak race. The limited ability on display matches her RPR of 47 and she now switches to turf in first-time blinkers having already tried cheekpieces. Trainer Jack Morland has a 14% strike-rate from seven runs at Leicester while apprentice Jack Callan has very few rides here. She is unproven on good to firm ground and has no course form on record. Usually races handily on or close to the lead according to the limited evidence available. The first-time headgear is now applied in what looks a stiff task on her bare form.
Kach Above KTB Fit 57/100
This modest 2-year-old showed fair form when fourth on debut at Wolverhampton then ran respectably when only beaten a few lengths in a stronger race at Windsor. He steps up to 7f for the first time today which asks a fresh question of him. Trainer David Loughnane has an 11 percent strike rate from 104 runs at Leicester while Billy Loughnane is yet to ride a winner from his 12 rides at the track. Dropping in class today with an RPR of 72 that stands clearly above most of his rivals. Usually held up and produces his effort late according to the limited evidence. Unproven on good to firm ground with no course form on record, yet his overall profile makes him the one to beat.
Waiting For Archie KTB Fit 51/100
Limited performer who showed very little on debut when fifth of eight at Thirsk over 5f. The step up to 7f is an unknown that could suit on pedigree but he has a lot to find on his RPR of 50. The Fahey yard has a 20% strike rate here from five runs. Stepping up in class today with recent form that offers little encouragement. Typically settles in midfield according to the limited evidence. Has one run on good to firm with no win or place and no course form on record.
Better Nature KTB Fit 49/100
Modest performer who showed a bit on his 6f debut at Windsor last month when beaten around 5l behind a useful prospect. Steps up to 7f today which asks a fresh question. Trainer has an 8% strike rate from 190 runs at Leicester. Dropping in class with an RPR of 69 that places him second only to the selection in the field. Usually held up and produces his effort late according to the limited evidence. Unproven on good to firm ground with no course form on record.
See Amna KTB Fit 47/100
See Amna is a debutant with a solid middle-distance pedigree as a sister to a 7.5f winner and half-sister to another winner over 7.5f to 1m1f. Her dam was a useful French performer up to 1m1f including at Group 3 level. The yard have a 19 percent strike rate with juveniles this season and a 10 percent record at Leicester from 183 runs. No RPR is available so a neutral score has been applied. By Wooded with no course win on record. Charles Bishop takes the ride for a stable that can ready one first time.
The rest of the field
PertinentKTB Fit 45/100
Pertinent showed very little on her debut here over 5f last month when she trailed in last of ten. The step up to 7f is a fresh question that could suit her on pedigree but she has to improve markedly from an RPR of 23. Trainer and jockey have only small samples at Leicester so their local form is hard to weigh up.
FarndaleKTB Fit 45/100
Farndale showed very little on debut when finishing sixth of seven at Redcar three weeks ago. The modest RPR and Topspeed figures reflect a poor start and the pedigree suggests she may come into her own over longer distances later. Trainer Tim Easterby has a 10% strike rate from 311 runs at Leicester while jockey Harry Russell is operating with limited data at the track.
Mrs MoleKTB Fit 42/100
Mrs Mole is an April foal who cost 12,000gns as a yearling. Her dam was a Listed-placed 7f winner on AW and she is the first 2yo runner of the season for a yard with a 5% strike rate from 84 runs at Leicester. With no racecourse form and low data confidence she looks one to watch rather than get involved with on debut.
Lord RagnarKTB Fit 41/100
Lord Ragnar showed very little on his Windsor debut last month when sent off at 33-1 and the bare form leaves him looking limited. He steps up to 7f now having been bought cheaply as a yearling out of a middle-distance winning dam which raises the possibility he will improve with time and distance. Ed Dunlop has a 13% strike rate at Leicester from a big sample while this remains very much a watching brief given the low data confidence.
Wells Fargos EnvoyKTB Fit 41/100
Tim Easterby has a 10% strike rate at Leicester from 311 runs. This debutant is the third foal of a useful 6f-1m4f winner who scored as a juvenile herself and is half-sister to a 7.5f-1m winner. With no RPR or Topspeed figures and low data confidence the market will be the best guide for this newcomer from a yard that also runs one other.
KTB verdict
Kach Above stands out on the KTB numbers as the clear selection. He showed fair form when fourth on debut at Wolverhampton and then ran respectably when only beaten a few lengths in a stronger race at Windsor, recording an RPR of 72 that is well clear of the remainder. Dropping in class and with the benefit of two runs under his belt, he is expected to be suited by the step up to 7f in a race that lacks depth. The main dangers are the debutant See Amna, who boasts a middle-distance pedigree and comes from a yard in form with juveniles, and Better Nature, who showed a bit on his Windsor debut and is another dropping in class.
KTB Selection Kach Above
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 09:13 UTC, 8 Jun. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Parioca | 14/1 | William Hill |
| Kach Above | 11/8 | 10Bet |
| Waiting For Archie | 8/1 | Bet365 |
| Better Nature | 7/2 | 10Bet |
| See Amna | 7/2 | Bet365 |
| Pertinent | 125/1 | Bet365 |
| Farndale | 33/1 | Bet365 |
| Mrs Mole | 33/1 | Sporting Index |
| Lord Ragnar | 50/1 | 10Bet |
| Wells Fargos Envoy | 25/1 | Coral |
This is the narrative read of the 2:00 Leicester. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Leicester racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the highest RPR in the field?
Kach Above with an RPR of 72.
What is the expected pace shape of the race?
Lacks a leader with medium confidence, likely a steadily-run, tactical affair where being handy pays.
Which trainer has the best strike rate at Leicester among those with runners?
Micky Fenton with a 50% strike rate from two runs.
How many of the runners have previous racecourse experience?
Seven of the ten runners have previous racecourse experience.
Which jockey has the strongest record at Leicester according to the A/E figure?
Jack Callan with an A/E of 2.27 from 14 rides.
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