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Horse profile

A Good Guess (IRE)

4yo gelding (at last run, Oct 2012) · Last trainer Miss Martina Anne Doran · Last owner John P Mcmanus
by High Chaparral (IRE) out of Bold Assumption (GB) (Observatory)
5 runs · 3 courses · from Mar 2012
As at 27 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 21 Oct 2012 — 5,118 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Oct 2012 · 8th of 15 First-time headgear LTO Last raced off OR 84
KTB Profile

A Good Guess (IRE) is yet to win from 5 starts. Last raced off a career-high mark of 84.

Based on 5 archived runs · updated 27 Oct 2026

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 90A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Cork, 21 Oct 2012 Official rating 84 at the last run, 21 Oct 2012

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Jumps 5 figures · best 90A · median 84
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 27 Oct 2025
Soft490A85—
Good1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 27 Oct 2025
1m5f – 2m486C83.5—
2m1f – 2m4f1———

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 5 figures from 5 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.

Pedigree intelligence

Sire
High Chaparral (IRE)

Progeny in our archive have won 10.3% of 8,730 runs since Jan 2008 (682 horses).

Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 419.

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm48714.6%+4.3—
Good to Firm1,25413510.8%+0.5—
Good2,21622410.1%−0.20 from 1
Good to Soft1,07612311.4%+1.1—
Soft1,6781549.2%−1.10 from 4
Heavy6307011.1%+0.8—
Standard (AW)1,82818810.3%0—
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f381026.3%+16—
6f – 7f726729.9%−0.4—
1m – 1m1f1,44015410.7%+0.4—
1m2f – 1m4f2,86532311.3%+1—
1m5f – 2m2,2262219.9%−0.40 from 4
2m1f – 2m4f956889.2%−1.10 from 1
2m5f – 3m419266.2%−4.1—
Over 3m60711.7%+1.4—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 27 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Bold Assumption (GB) (Observatory)

6 siblings in the archive, 5 winners — best of them Altruism (IRE) (7 wins).

The wins came over 6f–2m6f; the highest grade won is Listed (Irish Rookie (IRE)).

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Altruism (IRE)2571m–2m6fClass 2
Irish Rookie (IRE)1227f–1mListed
Harmonyofthestars (IRE)411m—
Alice Rose (IRE)1417fClass 5
Tahani (IRE)516fClass 6
Venture Girl (IRE)140——

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Soft 4 0 0% −4.00
Good 1 0 0% −1.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Cork 2 0 0% −2.00
Wexford 2 0 0% −2.00
Navan 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
1m5f – 2m 4 0 0% −4.00
2m1f – 2m4f 1 0 0% −1.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Mark Walsh 2 0 0% −2.00
Alan Crowe 2 0 0% −2.00
D G Hogan 1 0 0% −1.00

HeadgearRunsWinsSR£1
None 4 0 0% −4.00
Tongue tie 1 0 0% −1.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORKTB Jockey SP
2012 · 5 runs
21 Oct 12+123d Cork Christmas Party Raceday December 9th Handicap Hurdle (80-102) 19f · Yielding · 15 ran 8/15 1 10-8 8490A Mark Walsh 18/1
20 Jun 12+58d Wexford Ladies Free On Littlewoods Ladies Day July 28th Maiden Hurdle 16f · Good · 16 ran 15/16 19 11-2 —77C Alan Crowe 40/1
23 Apr 12+37d Cork Friday Evening Racing Maiden Hurdle 16f · Yielding To Soft · 24 ran 20/24 1 11-2 —83C Alan Crowe 50/1
17 Mar 12+14d Wexford New Ross Maiden Hurdle 16f · Soft · 10 ran 7/10 3¼ 11-2 —84A D G Hogan 66/1
03 Mar 12 Navan Kilberry Maiden Hurdle 16f · Soft · 19 ran 14/19 10 11-7 —86C Mark Walsh 40/1

Quick answers

How many races has A Good Guess won?
A Good Guess (IRE) has yet to win, from 5 archived starts in 2012.
Who trained A Good Guess?
A Good Guess (IRE) was trained by Miss Martina Anne Doran on the most recent run on record, at Cork on 21 October 2012.
Who is A Good Guess's sire?
A Good Guess (IRE) is by High Chaparral (IRE) out of Bold Assumption (GB), whose sire is Observatory.
What is A Good Guess's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 84, from the run on 21 October 2012. That is also the highest on record.
What is A Good Guess's sire's record?
High Chaparral (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.3% of 8,730 runs since Jan 2008 (682 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 419.
Who are A Good Guess's siblings?
Out of Bold Assumption (GB), A Good Guess (IRE) has 6 other produce in our archive, 5 of them winners. Most wins: Altruism (IRE) (7). Highest grade won: Listed (Irish Rookie (IRE)). The wins came over 6f–2m6f. As at Oct 2026.

Record shown from March 2012. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Runs in other countries are not in it, and earlier runs are not available from our data provider. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.