Avenir Certain (FR)
Avenir Certain (FR) is 6 from 11 in our archive, including 2 wins at Group 1 level. The biggest win we hold: the Prix de Diane Longines at Chantilly (FR) (Jun 2014). Hasn't won since Aug 2014. 3 of 4 starts at Chantilly (FR) have ended in wins. 3 of 5 starts with soft in the ground have ended in wins — 1 from 4 on quicker.
- 6–11Wins / Runs
- 54.5%Strike rate
- 8 (72.7%)Placed
- +17.80£1 level staken=11 at SP
- 1.80Fair A/E n=10 · 1.64 incl. margin
- 112Highest OR
- 68dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 12.5% of 5,854 runs since Jan 2008 (750 horses).
Strongest on good to firm going: 15.5% from 296.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 2 | 0 | 0% | −12.5 | — |
| Good to Firm | 296 | 46 | 15.5% | +3 | 0 from 1 |
| Good | 1,146 | 141 | 12.3% | −0.2 | 1 from 3 |
| Good to Soft | 882 | 118 | 13.4% | +0.9 | 1 from 1 |
| Soft | 1,273 | 168 | 13.2% | +0.7 | 2 from 4 |
| Heavy | 522 | 50 | 9.6% | −2.9 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,732 | 207 | 12% | −0.5 | 2 from 2 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 22 | 4 | 18.2% | +5.7 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 783 | 88 | 11.2% | −1.3 | 1 from 1 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,864 | 235 | 12.6% | +0.1 | 3 from 6 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2,051 | 261 | 12.7% | +0.2 | 2 from 4 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 676 | 86 | 12.7% | +0.2 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 382 | 44 | 11.5% | −1 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 69 | 9 | 13% | +0.5 | — |
| Over 3m | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | +30.4 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 20 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
3 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Pearl (FR) (1 win).
The wins came over 1m; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Pearl (FR)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearl (FR) | 2 | 1 | 1m | Class 4 |
| Mount Dukono (FR) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
| Adjudant Chef (FR) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 4 | 2 | 50% | +0.50 |
| Good | 3 | 1 | 33% | +2.50 |
| Standard (AW) | 2 | 2 | 100% | +1.80 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | 1 | 100% | +14.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chantilly (FR) | 4 | 3 | 75% | +5.30 |
| Deauville (FR) | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.40 |
| Longchamp (FR) | 2 | 1 | 50% | +13.00 |
| Newmarket | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Saint-Cloud (FR) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.90 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 6 | 3 | 50% | +12.80 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 4 | 2 | 50% | +3.10 |
| 6f – 7f | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.90 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Benoist | 7 | 4 | 57% | +16.70 |
| Christophe Soumillon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Christophe-Patrice Lemaire | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Maxime Guyon | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.20 |
| Jean-Bernard Eyquem | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.90 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2014 | 5 | 4 | 80% | +18.70 |
| 2013 | 2 | 2 | 100% | +3.10 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Avenir Certain (FR) won?
- Avenir Certain (FR) won 6 of 11 archived starts between 2013 and 2015, a strike rate of 54.5%. Placed 8 times in total (72.7% of starts).
- Who trained Avenir Certain (FR)?
- Avenir Certain (FR) was trained by J-C Rouget on the most recent run on record, at Deauville (FR) on 23 August 2015.
- Who is Avenir Certain (FR)'s sire?
- Avenir Certain (FR) is by Le Havre (IRE) out of Puggy (IRE), whose sire is Mark Of Esteem.
- What going does Avenir Certain (FR) prefer?
- Avenir Certain (FR) has the best record on soft going: 2 wins from 4 starts (50%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Avenir Certain (FR)'s official rating?
- Avenir Certain (FR)'s highest official rating on record is 112.
- What is Avenir Certain (FR)'s sire's record?
- Le Havre (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 12.5% of 5,854 runs since Jan 2008 (750 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on good to firm going: 15.5% from 296.
- Who are Avenir Certain (FR)'s siblings?
- Out of Puggy (IRE), Avenir Certain (FR) has 3 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Pearl (FR) (1). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Pearl (FR)). The wins came over 1m. As at Oct 2026.