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Horse profile

Bay Royale (GB)

3yo colt · Trainer Harry Eustace · Owner Gullwing Enterprises W L L
by New Bay (GB) out of Lustrous (GB) (Champs Elysees)
4 runs · 2 courses · from Oct 2025
As at 25 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
Won at Nottingham First-time headgear LTO Last run 29 Jul 2026 · 7th of 8 Last raced off OR 89
KTB Profile

Bay Royale won a Class 3 novice stakes at Nottingham in Apr 2026 over 1m2f – 1m4f on good going. The colt has one win and two places from four turf starts, all at two courses. He finished 7 of 8 in a Class 2 handicap at Goodwood in Jul 2026, his first run in first-time headgear, off an official rating of 89 which equals his highest ever mark. By New Bay out of a Champs Elysees mare, he has shown ability at up to 1m4f.

Based on 4 archived runs · run-style from 4 commented runs since Oct 2025 · updated 25 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Win at Class 3

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 99 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Nottingham, 19 May 2026

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Flat 4 figures · best 99B · median 83
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 25 Oct 2025
Good to Firm1——1 run · —
Good to Soft1——1 run · —
Good1——1 run · —
Soft1——1 run · —
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 25 Oct 2025
1m2f – 1m4f399B903 runs · 99 / 90
1m – 1m1f1——1 run · —

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 4 figures from 4 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 91A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Nottingham, 19 May 2026 Official rating 89 at the last run, 29 Jul 2026

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Flat 4 figures · best 91A · median 77.5
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 25 Oct 2025
Good to Firm1——1 run · —
Good to Soft1——1 run · —
Good1——1 run · —
Soft1——1 run · —
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 25 Oct 2025
1m2f – 1m4f391A843 runs · 91 / 84
1m – 1m1f1——1 run · —

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 4 figures from 4 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style from 4 analysed runs since Oct 2025

  • Held up 2 (50%) · 0 wins
  • Prominent 1 (25%) · 0 wins
  • Mid-division 1 (25%) · 1 win

Pedigree intelligence

Sire
New Bay (GB)

Progeny in our archive have won 14.3% of 3,959 runs since Jan 2008 (423 horses).

Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm800%−14.3—
Good to Firm5869215.7%+1.40 from 1
Good99414014.1%−0.21 from 1
Good to Soft4666914.8%+0.50 from 1
Soft6177912.8%−1.50 from 1
Heavy1792715.1%+0.8—
Standard (AW)1,10916114.5%+0.2—
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f1021110.8%−3.5—
6f – 7f1,17818215.4%+1.1—
1m – 1m1f1,26416413%−1.30 from 1
1m2f – 1m4f1,08716415.1%+0.81 from 3
1m5f – 2m2704014.8%+0.5—
2m1f – 2m4f53713.2%−1.1—
2m5f – 3m500%−14.3—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 25 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Lustrous (GB) (Champs Elysees)

4 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Denim And Diamonds (IRE) (1 win).

The wins came over 1m4½f.

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Denim And Diamonds (IRE)1311m4½f—
Beatrice Shilling (IRE)120——
Princess Anouschka (GB)20——
Ave Maria (GB)20——

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00
Good to Soft 1 0 0% −1.00
Good 1 1 100% +4.50
Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 3 2 1 50% +3.50
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Nottingham 3 1 33% +2.50
Goodwood 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
1m2f – 1m4f 3 1 33% +2.50
1m – 1m1f 1 0 0% −1.00

HeadgearRunsWinsSR£1
None 3 1 33% +2.50
Tongue tie 1 0 0% −1.00

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2026 3 1 33% +2.50
2025 1 0 0% −1.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
2026 · 3 runs
29 Jul 26+71d Goodwood Coral Rewards Shaker Handicap Stakes (Gbbplus Race) Class 2 · 12f · Good To Firm · 8 ran Held up towards rear from the off - dropped away inside final furlong - well beaten in 7th 7/8 12 9-1 8952C61C Pierre-Louis Jamin 17/2
19 May 26+41d Nottingham Family Fun Raceday Sunday 31st May Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) Class 3 · 10f · Good To Soft · 10 ran Pulled hard early - tracked front group - moved through to lead over 2f out and opened two lengths - overtaken inside final furlong - stayed on to finish second beaten a length and a half 2/10 1½ 9-9 —99B91A Pierre-Louis Jamin 5/6F
08 Apr 26+161d Nottingham Ladies Day 9th May 'Confined' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) (Div 1) Class 3 · 10f · Good · 9 ran Settled in the pack early holding a strong pull - closed onto the front group before 2f gone - hit the front two out - sprinted away inside the final furlong - stayed on strongly to score 1/9 8-11 —90A84A Pierre-Louis Jamin 9/2
2025 · 1 run
29 Oct 25 Nottingham EBF Stallions Golden Horn Maiden Stakes Class 4 · 8.5f · Soft · 9 ran Towards the back - made progress to 4th approaching 3f out - stuck on until flattening out in the final furlong 4/9 3¼ 9-2 —76A71A Pierre-Louis Jamin 22/1

Quick answers

How many races has Bay Royale won?
Bay Royale (GB) won 1 of 4 archived starts between 2025 and 2026, a strike rate of 25%. Placed 2 times in total (50% of starts).
Who trains Bay Royale?
Bay Royale (GB) is trained by Harry Eustace, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 29 July 2026.
Who is Bay Royale's sire?
Bay Royale (GB) is by New Bay (GB) out of Lustrous (GB), whose sire is Champs Elysees.
What is Bay Royale's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 89, from the run on 29 July 2026. That is also the highest on record.
What is Bay Royale's sire's record?
New Bay (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 14.3% of 3,959 runs since Jan 2008 (423 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.
Who are Bay Royale's siblings?
Out of Lustrous (GB), Bay Royale (GB) has 4 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Denim And Diamonds (IRE) (1). The wins came over 1m4½f. As at Oct 2026.

Record shown from October 2025. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Runs in other countries are not in it, and earlier runs are not available from our data provider. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.