What is Harry Eustace's strike rate?

Harry Eustace has won 129 of 1,067 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 12.1% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Harry Eustace do best at?

Brighton by strike rate: 10 wins from 42 runners (23.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Harry Eustace?

Kaiya Fraser, with 227 runners since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 29 (12.8%).

Is Harry Eustace in form?

In the last 14 days: 17 runners, 1 winner, a strike rate of 5.9%. That is below the baseline of 12.1% since 2022.

What is Harry Eustace's Fair A/E?

0.96, from 1,064 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Harry Eustace

1,067 runners in the last 5 seasons · 179 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 3.4% of 268 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 20 Oct 2026.

Last runner 3 days ago 98% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2021→)

from 1 Jan 2022

129–1,067

Wins / Runs

12.1%

Strike rate

n=1,067

361 (34%)

Placed

0.96

Fair A/E

n=1,064 · 0.82 incl. margin

−234.99

£1 level stake

n=1,067 at SP · −22.0%

£3.57m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

12.8%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 210 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 12% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.96). New recruits from other yards win at 19% first time out (32 runs). The yard is quiet just now — 1 winner in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,067 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Jun Fresh horses: 13.7% 37.9% when favourite Kaiya Fraser: 12.8% from 227 New recruits: 18.8% Sends off the favourite in 12% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Brighton (23.8%, n=42), clear of the yard's 12.1% baseline. It is weakest at Wolverhampton (AW) (5.7% over 87 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 18.8% (n=32, Fair A/E 1.48), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 5.2% (n=77, Fair A/E 0.55). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 11.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.77 and −74.41 to a £1 stake over 164 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 1 from 17 runners in the last 14 days (5.9%, 6.2pts below the 12.1% baseline). Kaiya Fraser rides 21% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (12.8%, A/E 0.92). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 5.3% over 75 runners, 6.8pts below the baseline. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Queen Anne Stakes at Ascot (Jun 2025, £450,065). The stable star of the record: Ancient Times (GB) — 7 wins from 42 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

13.7%+1.6

n=212 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −54.35

New recruits · first run for the yard

18.8%+6.7

n=32 · A/E 1.48 · £1 +0.62

Debutants · first career start

6%−6.1

n=133 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −50.25

First-time headgear · true-first definition

9.1%−3.0

n=44 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −24.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

17.6%+5.5

n=17 · A/E 1.98 · £1 −0.60

When favourite

37.9%

n=132 · A/E 1.15 · £1 +15.41

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

11.6%−0.5

n=164 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −74.41

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5.2%−6.9

n=77 · A/E 0.55 · £1 −30.27

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Brighton 23.8% vs 12.1% · n=42

On last-time-out winners 18.5% vs 12.1% · n=124

In Group / Graded races 5.2% vs 12.1% · n=77

With debutants 6% vs 12.1% · n=133

In Class 1 5.3% vs 12.1% · n=75

At Wolverhampton (AW) 5.7% vs 12.1% · n=87

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,050 127 12.1% −229.99

Hurdle 13 2 15.4% −1.00

NH Flat 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 341 33 9.7% −100.07

Good 269 33 12.3% −122.69

Good to Firm 214 32 15% +37.63

Good to Soft 111 13 11.7% −5.27

Soft 110 14 12.7% −55.71

Heavy 22 4 18.2% +11.12

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 105 14 13.3% +25.83

Wolverhampton (AW) 87 5 5.7% −62.60

Yarmouth 87 5 5.7% −58.87

Lingfield (AW) 53 4 7.5% −19.83

Southwell (AW) 52 5 9.6% −25.09

Ascot 46 8 17.4% +35.00

Newbury 45 7 15.6% +1.37

Nottingham 43 7 16.3% +2.33

Goodwood 42 3 7.1% −16.67

Brighton 42 10 23.8% −4.46

Doncaster 38 7 18.4% −8.14

York 35 4 11.4% −1.90

Epsom 33 5 15.2% −3.62

Newmarket 28 0 0% −28.00

Leicester 28 5 17.9% +8.53

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 363 43 11.8% −136.13

Class 4 267 39 14.6% +3.83

Class 6 141 17 12.1% −60.08

Class 2 130 14 10.8% −29.92

Class 3 88 12 13.6% +18.58

Class 1 75 4 5.3% −28.27

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 157 51 32.5% 1.04 −6.09

2nd–3rd fav 287 38 13.2% 0.77 −104.40

4th–6th fav 364 32 8.8% 1.12 −41.50

7th+ in betting 259 8 3.1% 0.97 −83.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Ancient Times (GB)from Kevin Ryan 35 5 12 1 Sep 26

Mustazeed (IRE)from Chris Wall 23 4 7 12 Jun 26

Docklands (GB) 22 5 13 17 Oct 26

Mr Ubiquitous (GB) 21 6 8 10 Sep 26

Havana Gila (GB) 20 1 5 30 Dec 25

Kisskodi (IRE) 19 5 8 13 Oct 26

Divine Comedy (IRE)from Chris Wall 19 5 10 20 Oct 25

Oh So Audacious (GB)from Chris Wall · then Jack Jones 19 4 10 16 Oct 25

Makinmedoit (IRE) 18 3 7 31 Dec 23

Principality (IRE)from Richard Hannon 17 3 5 26 Sep 26

Time For Sandals (IRE) 16 2 8 4 Oct 26

Belhaven (IRE)then Joseph Patrick O'Brien 15 4 6 18 Oct 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 179 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Chris Wall (3) and James Eustace (2); 49 had their first archived run for this yard.

16 have since run for another yard; 44 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

1 from 17 5.9% · −6.2pts vs baseline

Last 14 days5.9%

5-season base12.1%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

6221813161511891369

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderKaiya Fraser

21% of all rides
12.8% SR · A/E 0.92

RiderRWSR£1

Kaiya Fraser 227 29 12.8% −79.47

George Wood 197 16 8.1% −114.70

Hayley Turner 157 20 12.7% −25.26

Pierre-Louis Jamin 115 18 15.7% −15.12

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→

143

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.70m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 29 wins

Docklands (GB) — Queen Anne Stakes (Group 1) (Str) Ascot · Jun 2025 · Group 1

£450,065

Time For Sandals (IRE) — Commonwealth Cup (Group 1) Ascot · Jun 2025 · Group 1

£411,573

Ciarrai Abu (IRE) — Coral Kincsem Heritage Handicap Goodwood · Jul 2026 · Class 2

£61,848

Notable horses

Ancient Times (GB) Mr Ubiquitous (GB) Docklands (GB) Kisskodi (IRE) Divine Comedy (IRE) Mustazeed (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Exceed and Excel (AUS) 14.6% · 7–48

Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,025 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.

Massaat (IRE) 25% · 11–44

Progeny have won 7.8% of 1,200 runs since 2008 (124 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 4.5% from 112. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 3.8% from 131.

Belardo (IRE) 19.2% · 5–26

Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,700 runs since 2008 (280 horses).

Calyx (GB) 15.4% · 4–26

Progeny have won 13.4% of 1,485 runs since 2008 (172 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 8.9% from 168. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.9% from 111.

Golden Horn (GB) 11.5% · 3–26

Progeny have won 13.8% of 3,732 runs since 2008 (345 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.3% from 161. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.2% from 232.

Too Darn Hot (GB) 11.5% · 3–26

Progeny have won 14.1% of 2,317 runs since 2008 (319 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.4% from 117.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,193 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,193 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 April 2021 to 17 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

17 Oct 26 Ascot Docklands (GB)J: Billy Loughnane Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Sponsored By Qatar Racing) (Group 1)Class 1 · 8f · Good · 11 ran 6th 33/1

16 Oct 26 Redcar Lucky Test (GB)J: George Wood Join Racing TV Now British EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 5th 9/4

15 Oct 26 Brighton No Claims Bonus (GB)J: Kaiya Fraser Best Odds Guaranteed At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5.5f · Good · 9 ran UR 18/1

15 Oct 26 Brighton Stansfield Dream (IRE)J: Kaiya Fraser bet365 EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 12 ran 12th 10/1

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Reveillez (GER)J: Kaiya Fraser Juddmonte EBF Novice Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands A, B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 7th 28/1

14 Oct 26 Nottingham Emaraat (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 8.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 10th 33/1

14 Oct 26 Nottingham Playing Card (IRE)J: Hector Crouch British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 8.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 7th 9/4F

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Paname (USA)J: Kaiya Fraser Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 40/1

13 Oct 26 Leicester Kisskodi (IRE)J: George Wood Happy 80th Reg Ling Handicap StakesClass 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 7th 16/1

12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Living In Hope (GB)J: George Wood Moulton Racing Club Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 6th 33/1

12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Alberich (IRE)J: Kaiya Fraser Racing TV EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 2nd 9/4

12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Comeonfeelthenoise (IRE)J: Kaiya Fraser Racing TV EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 8th 33/1

12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Trapper John (GB)J: George Wood Pro Shop At Caister Golf Club Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 7th 9/1

12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Deira Moon (IRE)J: Daniel Muscutt British Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 2nd 2/1F

09 Oct 26 Newmarket Liberate (FR)J: Luke Morris Bet365 Old Rowley Cup Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 12f · Good · 10 ran 5th 22/1

07 Oct 26 Nottingham Nowshesdancing (GB)J: Kaiya Fraser Racedays For £9 At Nottingham Racecourse Fillies' Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 4 · 14f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 1st 11/2

07 Oct 26 Nottingham Waterside Blue (GB)J: Kaiya Fraser Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good · 8 ran 5th 12/1

05 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Wilbur (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Nursery Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8.5f · Standard · 6 ran 2nd 5/1

05 Oct 26 Yarmouth Emocionante (IRE)J: Kaiya Fraser SPP Digital "Confined" EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses Which Have Not Run More Than Three Times) (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 1st 12/1

05 Oct 26 Pontefract Too Darn Regal (IRE)J: George Wood British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Harry Eustace's strike rate?: Harry Eustace has won 129 of 1,067 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 12.1% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Harry Eustace do best at?: Brighton by strike rate: 10 wins from 42 runners (23.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Harry Eustace?: Kaiya Fraser, with 227 runners since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 29 (12.8%).
Is Harry Eustace in form?: In the last 14 days: 17 runners, 1 winner, a strike rate of 5.9%. That is below the baseline of 12.1% since 2022.
What is Harry Eustace's Fair A/E?: 0.96, from 1,064 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.