Cahir Bay (IRE)
Cahir Bay is a filly by Elzaam out of a High Chaparral mare who has yet to win from five starts on turf. She has raced once at each of five different tracks, with two runs over 1m5f – 2m, two over 1m2f – 1m4f and one over 1m – 1m1f. Her last run, at Kilbeggan in Sep 2026, came in a maiden hurdle and she has reached an official rating of 54.
- 0–5Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 0 (0%)Placed
- −5.00£1 level staken=5 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=5 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 54Highest OR
- 27dBetween runs (median)longest 229 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 57
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2 | 57A | 46 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 5 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: did not complete (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 4 figures from 5 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 5 analysed runs since Sep 2025
- Held up 3 (60%) · 0 wins
- Mid-division 2 (40%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 9.2% of 4,528 runs since Apr 2016 (374 horses).
Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.9% from 326.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 10 | 1 | 10% | +0.8 | — |
| Good to Firm | 464 | 54 | 11.6% | +2.4 | — |
| Good | 1,115 | 86 | 7.7% | −1.5 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Soft | 463 | 47 | 10.2% | +1 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 873 | 75 | 8.6% | −0.6 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 291 | 25 | 8.6% | −0.6 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 1,312 | 130 | 9.9% | +0.7 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 408 | 47 | 11.5% | +2.3 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 1,773 | 165 | 9.3% | +0.1 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,120 | 99 | 8.8% | −0.4 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 702 | 75 | 10.7% | +1.5 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 326 | 16 | 4.9% | −4.3 | 0 from 2 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 153 | 15 | 9.8% | +0.6 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 39 | 0 | 0% | −9.2 | — |
| Over 3m | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | +5.1 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Apr 2016 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
3 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Chaos Control (IRE) (5 wins).
The wins came over 7f–2m½f; the highest grade won is Class 2 (Stylish Performer (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chaos Control (IRE) | 35 | 5 | 1m–2m½f | Class 4 |
| Stylish Performer (IRE) | 10 | 4 | 7f | Class 2 |
| Willow Baby (IRE) | 17 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kilbeggan (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Navan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Curragh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Roscommon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Punchestown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Coen | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Philip Donovan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Siobhan Rutledge | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Rory Cleary | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2025 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Hurdle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 03 Sep 26+88d | Kilbeggan (IRE) | Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Maiden Hurdle (Div II) Settled in the pack early - dropped towards the rear passing the fourth from home - faded without threatening - pulled up before three out | PU/14 | — | 10-9 | — | — | — | Philip Donovan | 200/1 |
| 07 Jun 26+229d | Navan | Cusack Hotel Group Family Raceday July 11th Handicap (0-60) (Div 2) Slow to break - trailed throughout with little impact - dropped away 5f out | 14/14 | 23 | 9-10 | 54 | 53C | 59C | Siobhan Rutledge | 80/1 |
| 2025 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 21 Oct 25+8d | Curragh | Bill Hanlon Memorial Fillies Maiden Tardy away - dropped to the back of the field and remained there at halfway - niggled at from 5f out with no response from 4f out - plugged on late past fading rivals to finish 6th | 6/8 | 3½ | 9-3 | — | 35C | 51C | Ben Coen | 100/1 |
| 13 Oct 25+27d | Roscommon | Gary's Gardening Services Maiden Settled in the pack early - up to 6th by halfway then 5th and driven on turning for home - unable to make headway approaching 2f out - held no more inside final furlong to finish 5th | 5/11 | 4 | 9-3 | — | 57A | 52A | Rory Cleary | 125/1 |
| 16 Sep 25 | Punchestown | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden Slow to break - settled at back of field - 14th at halfway - lost a little touch approaching 2f out - stayed on late but well held | 11/14 | 1¼ | 9-3 | — | 87C | 59C | Ben Coen | 50/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Cahir Bay won?
- Cahir Bay (IRE) has yet to win, from 5 archived starts between 2025 and 2026.
- Who trains Cahir Bay?
- Cahir Bay (IRE) is trained by M Flannery, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 3 September 2026.
- Who is Cahir Bay's sire?
- Cahir Bay (IRE) is by Elzaam (AUS) out of Va Pensiero (IRE), whose sire is High Chaparral.
- What is Cahir Bay's official rating?
- Cahir Bay (IRE)'s highest official rating on record is 54.
- What is Cahir Bay's sire's record?
- Elzaam (AUS)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.2% of 4,528 runs since Apr 2016 (374 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.9% from 326.
- Who are Cahir Bay's siblings?
- Out of Va Pensiero (IRE), Cahir Bay (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Chaos Control (IRE) (5). Highest grade won: Class 2 (Stylish Performer (IRE)). The wins came over 7f–2m½f. As at Nov 2026.