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Trainer profile

M Flannery

201 runners in the last 5 seasons · 22 individual horses
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 15 days ago
from 1 Jan 2022
5–201
Wins / Runs
2.5%
Strike rate
n=201
28 (14%)
Placed
0.59
n=201 · 0.46 incl. margin
−147.50
£1 level stake
n=201 at SP · −73.4%
£77,017
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
2.6%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.59). With a claiming rider up the record reads 4% (100 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 201 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 4%
The read

The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m5f – 2m: Fair A/E 0.00 across 67 runners (0% strike, −67.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Diyla (IRE) — 5 wins from 59 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−2.5
n=29 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −29.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.5
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Debutants · first career start
6.7%+4.2
n=15 · A/E 5.85 · £1 +6.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.5
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.5
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
When favourite
0%
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4%+1.5
n=100 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −59.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 4.9% vs 2.5% · n=81
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 2.5% · n=67
With horses switching code 0% vs 2.5% · n=48
In Flat races 0% vs 2.5% · n=42
Off a 31-60-day break 0% vs 2.5% · n=33
At Ballinrobe 4.5% vs 2.5% · n=44
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 135 4 3% −102.50
Flat 42 0 0% −42.00
NH Flat 17 1 5.9% +4.00
Chase 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 74 3 4.1% −48.00
Soft 61 1 1.6% −54.50
Good to Soft 42 1 2.4% −21.00
Heavy 19 0 0% −19.00
Standard (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Ballinrobe 44 2 4.5% −23.00
Sligo 28 2 7.1% −16.50
Kilbeggan 18 0 0% −18.00
Galway 16 0 0% −16.00
Roscommon 15 0 0% −15.00
Thurles 8 0 0% −8.00
Navan 8 0 0% −8.00
Tipperary 7 1 14.3% +14.00
Tramore 7 0 0% −7.00
Gowran Park 6 0 0% −6.00
Limerick 5 0 0% −5.00
Naas 5 0 0% −5.00
Fairyhouse 5 0 0% −5.00
Clonmel 5 0 0% −5.00
Dundalk (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
2nd–3rd fav 15 2 13.3% 1.02 −3.50
4th–6th fav 35 2 5.7% 0.73 −6.00
7th+ in betting 148 1 0.7% 0.30 −135.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
88.7% completed · 142 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 7 100% 0 0 0 0 0
Hurdle 135 88.1% 1 2 12 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Tomas O Maille (IRE) 43 1 12 19 Sep 26
Bowgate Street (IRE)from Thomas Gibney 27 2 10 6 Oct 26
Cornmarket (IRE)then John J Cullen 16 0 0 5 Jan 25
Mayo For Sam (IRE)from Adrian McGuinness 15 0 0 20 Nov 25
Flyaway Maggie (IRE) 14 0 0 3 Jun 23
Comeragh Belle (IRE) 13 0 0 10 Aug 23
Stabila (IRE)from Denis Gerard Hogan 10 0 0 11 Aug 25
River Robe (IRE)then Max Young 9 0 3 19 Nov 23
Cuckaloo Hill (IRE)from Paul Nolan 8 0 0 22 Jun 26
Only One Plan (IRE)from P J Rothwell 8 1 2 19 Sep 25
Aill Dubh (IRE)then Micky Hammond 8 0 0 28 Aug 24
Cahir Bay (IRE) 5 0 0 3 Sep 26
All 22 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 22 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive; 15 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard; 17 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0·01160400400
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Ambrose McCurtin 26 1 3.8% −13.00
Philip Donovan 22 2 9.1% −10.50
Mr J C Barry 18 1 5.6% +3.00
Darragh O'Keeffe 14 0 0% −14.00
Rory Cleary 12 0 0% −12.00
Phillip Enright 10 0 0% −10.00
Jack G Gilligan 9 0 0% −9.00
Diarmuid Moloney 9 0 0% −9.00
Brian Barry 8 0 0% −8.00
Siobhan Rutledge 7 0 0% −7.00
Cian Quirke 6 0 0% −6.00
Alan King 6 0 0% −6.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
24
Archived wins
£297k
Prize money
2007
Best season · 6 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Bean Chroi Bhriste (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Mares Maiden Hurdle Sligo · Jul 2010
£7,935
Palmones (IRE) — Costello & McDermott Apprentice Handicap Ballinrobe · Jun 2017
£7,700
Casa Que Canta (GB) — Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (74-95) Thurles · Nov 2007
£7,601

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Arakan (USA) 2.3% · 1–43
Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,467 runs since 2008 (266 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 4.5% from 134.
Champs Elysees (GB) 7.4% · 2–27
Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,118 runs since 2008 (521 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 391. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.5% from 387.
Vocalised (USA) 0% · 0–25
Progeny have won 6.7% of 2,031 runs since 2008 (172 horses).
Elzaam (AUS) 0% · 0–22
Progeny have won 9.2% of 4,517 runs since 2008 (373 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.7% from 322.
Vadamos (FR) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 9.7% of 2,082 runs since 2008 (217 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.2% from 155.
Red Jazz (USA) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 7.7% of 1,868 runs since 2008 (130 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 11.1% from 171.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 831 · newest first

The latest 50 of 831 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 23 January 2005 to 6 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is M Flannery's strike rate?
M Flannery has won 5 of 201 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 2.5% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does M Flannery do best at?
Ballinrobe by strike rate: 2 wins from 44 runners (4.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is M Flannery's Fair A/E?
0.59, from 201 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 21 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).