Horse profile
Certainly Red (GB)
by Midnight Legend (GB) out of Venetian Lass (GB) (First Trump)
35 runs · 11 courses · from Mar 2019
As at 18 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
7 wins · 4 courses
Off 224 days · 3rd of 8
Last raced off OR 137
KTB Profile
Certainly Red is a gelding who has won seven of 35 starts on turf. He won a Class 2 handicap chase at Sandown in Nov 2024 off an official rating of 139 and has recorded three wins from five starts at Wincanton. All seven wins came in handicaps between 2m1f and over 3m on good or good to soft. Aged 12 at his last run in Mar 2026 he finished 3 of 8 in a Class 3 handicap chase at Sandown off an official rating of 137.
Based on 35 archived runs · run-style from 2 commented runs · updated 18 Oct 2026
- 7–35Wins / Runs
- 20%Strike rate
- 16 (45.7%)Placed
- +8.13£1 level staken=35 at SP
- 1.62Fair A/E n=35 · 1.40 incl. margin
- 142Highest OR
- 75dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating137↓ 5lb off peak
137
105–142
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 110
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Jumps
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 11 | 157B | 110 | — |
| Soft | 9 | 124A | 96 | 1 · — |
| Good | 9 | 124A | 92 | — |
| Heavy | 2 | 89C | 83.5 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 14 | 157B | 103.5 | 1 · — |
| Over 3m | 9 | 142B | 93 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 6 | 104A | 87 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 110A | 105 | — |
Of 35 runs looked at, 4 have no figure: did not complete (2) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (2).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 31 figures from 35 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Midnight Legend (GB)
Progeny in our archive have won 14.2% of 8,309 runs since Jan 2008 (494 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 14 | 1 | 7.1% | −7.1 | — |
| Good to Firm | 404 | 58 | 14.4% | +0.2 | — |
| Good | 3,125 | 462 | 14.8% | +0.6 | 3 from 9 |
| Good to Soft | 1,896 | 259 | 13.7% | −0.5 | 3 from 11 |
| Soft | 1,977 | 260 | 13.2% | −1 | 1 from 13 |
| Heavy | 766 | 118 | 15.4% | +1.2 | 0 from 2 |
| Standard (AW) | 127 | 19 | 15% | +0.8 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −14.2 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 6 | 0 | 0% | −14.2 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 102 | 16 | 15.7% | +1.5 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2,205 | 299 | 13.6% | −0.6 | 0 from 2 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 2,707 | 381 | 14.1% | −0.1 | 1 from 7 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2,497 | 363 | 14.5% | +0.3 | 4 from 15 |
| Over 3m | 791 | 118 | 14.9% | +0.7 | 2 from 11 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 17 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Venetian Lass (GB) (First Trump)
1 sibling in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Good News (GB) (9 wins).
The wins came over 2m5½f–3m2f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Good News (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good News (GB) | 40 | 9 | 2m5½f–3m2f | Class 4 |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 13 | 1 | 8% | −3.00 |
| Good to Soft | 11 | 3 | 27% | +9.75 |
| Good | 9 | 3 | 33% | +3.38 |
| Heavy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 14 | 4 | 29% | +12.50 |
| Class 2 | 8 | 1 | 13% | −5.12 |
| Class 3 | 7 | 2 | 29% | +6.75 |
| Class 1 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class 5 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandown | 8 | 2 | 25% | +4.88 |
| Wincanton | 5 | 3 | 60% | +15.75 |
| Kempton | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.00 |
| Fontwell | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Ascot | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Newbury | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Chepstow | 2 | 1 | 50% | +4.50 |
| Lingfield | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Plumpton | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Huntingdon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 15 | 4 | 27% | +9.38 |
| Over 3m | 11 | 2 | 18% | −2.25 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 7 | 1 | 14% | +3.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Goldstein | 26 | 7 | 27% | +17.13 |
| Rex Dingle | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Caoilin Quinn | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Lorcan Williams | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| James Bowen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jamie Moore | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wayne Hutchinson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 31 | 6 | 19% | +9.25 |
| Cheekpieces | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.12 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2024 | 7 | 1 | 14% | −4.12 |
| 2023 | 7 | 2 | 29% | +6.75 |
| 2022 | 5 | 2 | 40% | +3.00 |
| 2021 | 5 | 2 | 40% | +13.50 |
| 2020 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 2019 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase | 19 | 5 | 26% | +5.63 |
| Hurdle | 14 | 2 | 14% | +4.50 |
| NH Flat | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar 26+455d | Sandown | Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Went to the front early - lost command and stumbled two out then had to be driven back on terms - stayed on at one speed to the line finishing third | 3/8 | 1½ | 12-2 | 137 | 94A | 137A | Marc Goldstein | 50/1 |
| 07 Dec 24+27d | Sandown | Betfair Exchange London National Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Settled in the middle of the pack - travelled unevenly - urged forward after the 14th and clipped the 18th - still towards the back when pulled up before three out | PU/10 | — | 11-13 | 142 | — | — | Marc Goldstein | 9/1 |
| 10 Nov 24+30d | Sandown | Sandown Park Veterans' Handicap Chase Sat close to pace early - moved into second at the 12th - hit the front 14th and stayed there - matched by rival two out - asserted approaching last - pushed out to score | 1/4 | 12-0 | 139 | 97C | 147B | Marc Goldstein | 15/8F | |
| 11 Oct 24+167d | Chepstow | Unibet Veterans' Handicap Chase Settled in midpack early - improved onto the pace by the 5th - edged in charge at the 13th - driven up before 4 out then overtaken 3 out - urged again and kept trying before 2 out - held on well but couldn't quicken run-in | 2/10 | 3¼ | 12-0 | 137 | 110A | 144B | Marc Goldstein | 17/2 |
| 27 Apr 24+34d | Sandown | bet365 Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) | 4/20 | 1 | 10-7 | 135 | 67B | 135A | Marc Goldstein | 22/1 |
| 24 Mar 24+22d | Ascot | Home-Start Bracknell Forest Veterans' Handicap Chase | 3/8 | 1¼ | 10-12 | 134 | 69A | 130A | Marc Goldstein | 11/4F |
| 02 Mar 24+28d | Doncaster | Grimthorpe Handicap Chase (GBB Race) | PU/10 | — | 11-0 | 135 | — | — | Marc Goldstein | 6/1 |
| 03 Feb 24+35d | Sandown | Virgin Bet Masters Handicap Chase (GBB Race) | 2/8 | 1½ | 11-10 | 135 | 92A | 133A | Marc Goldstein | 4/1 |
| 30 Dec 23+21d | Newbury | Coral Mandarin Handicap Chase | 5/11 | 1 | 12-2 | 137 | 77A | 126A | Marc Goldstein | 8/1 |
| 09 Dec 23+28d | Sandown | Betfair Exchange London National Handicap Chase (GBB Race) | 3/7 | 3 | 11-12 | 138 | 78A | 128B | Marc Goldstein | 4/1 |
| 11 Nov 23+196d | Wincanton | 62nd Badger Beer Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) | 4/11 | 1¼ | 10-10 | 140 | 94A | 123A | Marc Goldstein | 8/1 |
| 29 Apr 23+27d | Sandown | bet365 Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) | 7/16 | 1¼ | 10-5 | 142 | 86B | 121A | Caoilin Quinn | 10/1 |
| 02 Apr 23+59d | Ascot | Ascot Shop Handicap Hurdle | 9/14 | 1 | 11-8 | 132 | 133B | 122A | Rex Dingle | 15/2 |
| 02 Feb 23+26d | Wincanton | Dick Hunt 'Wigmore' Handicap Chase | 1/14 | 12-0 | 135 | 93B | 146A | Marc Goldstein | 11/4F | |
| 07 Jan 23+37d | Sandown | Read Nicky Henderson's Unibet Blog Handicap Chase | 1/8 | 11-11 | 127 | 104A | 145A | Marc Goldstein | 9/1 | |
| 01 Dec 22+16d | Wincanton | Weatherbys Nhstallions.co.uk Handicap Chase | 1/8 | 12-0 | 122 | 142B | 136B | Marc Goldstein | 4/1 | |
| 15 Nov 22+241d | Lingfield | Thorley Taverns Intermediate Handicap Chase | BD/7 | — | 11-8 | 124 | — | — | Marc Goldstein | 6/1 |
| 19 Mar 22+36d | Kempton | Virgin Bet Free Bets For Winners Handicap Chase | 1/6 | 11-11 | 116 | 64A | 125B | Marc Goldstein | 2/1F | |
| 11 Feb 22+16d | Kempton | Every Race Live On Racing TV Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) | 4/6 | nse | 11-7 | 117 | 110A | 119B | Marc Goldstein | 9/2 |
| 26 Jan 22+31d | Wincanton | Racing TV Extra Novices' Chase (GBB Race) | 2/4 | 10 | 11-0 | 117 | 69C | 118B | Marc Goldstein | 17/2 |
| 26 Dec 21+30d | Fontwell | Barber Kurakina Memorial Handicap Hurdle | 4/7 | 3 | 11-12 | 119 | 109B | 117B | Marc Goldstein | 9/4F |
| 26 Nov 21+31d | Newbury | Play Ladbrokes 1-2-Free On Football Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) | 6/14 | 2 | 10-4 | 120 | 116B | 114A | Marc Goldstein | 9/2 |
| 26 Oct 21+229d | Chepstow | Black And White Racing Club On Tour Handicap Hurdle | 1/10 | 11-7 | 114 | 124A | 137A | Marc Goldstein | 11/2 | |
| 11 Mar 21+56d | Wincanton | MansionBet Faller Insurance Handicap Hurdle | 1/14 | 11-5 | 106 | 157B | 134A | Marc Goldstein | 11/1 | |
| 14 Jan 21+55d | Fontwell | Visit attheraces.com Handicap Hurdle | 4/8 | 8½ | 11-10 | 108 | 89C | 101C | Rex Dingle | 9/2 |
| 20 Nov 20+29d | Ascot | Coral Supporting Prostate Cancer UK Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) | 5/10 | 6½ | 11-2 | 108 | 96B | 111A | Rex Dingle | 4/1 |
| 22 Oct 20+55d | Lingfield | Visit attheraces.com/jumps Handicap Hurdle | 3/12 | 1¾ | 11-2 | 108 | 124A | 117A | Rex Dingle | 11/2 |
| 28 Aug 20+182d | Fontwell | Download The At The Races App Handicap Hurdle | 2/9 | 8 | 11-0 | 108 | 107A | 124B | Marc Goldstein | 18/1 |
| 28 Feb 20+21d | Newbury | Federation Of Bloodstock Agents Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle | 8/14 | 6½ | 11-1 | 108 | — | 107A | Lorcan Williams | 12/1 |
| 07 Feb 20+67d | Kempton | racingtv.com Handicap Hurdle | 2/16 | 1½ | 11-7 | 105 | 96B | 127A | Marc Goldstein | 25/1 |
| 02 Dec 19+14d | Plumpton | Strong Flavours Catering Maiden Hurdle | 5/10 | 3½ | 10-12 | — | 76A | 104A | Marc Goldstein | 3/1 |
| 18 Nov 19+26d | Plumpton | Sky Sports Racing On Sky 415 Novices' Hurdle | 4/9 | 5 | 10-12 | — | 100A | 109A | Marc Goldstein | 25/1 |
| 23 Oct 19+167d | Fontwell | 'Doing Things Better, Doing Better Things' Maiden Hurdle | 11/14 | hd | 11-2 | — | 85C | 98C | James Bowen | 25/1 |
| 09 May 19+54d | Huntingdon | MansionBet Maiden Open NH Flat Race | 9/11 | 4 | 11-4 | — | 100C | 107C | Jamie Moore | 25/1 |
| 16 Mar 19 | Kempton | Matchbook Best Value Exchange Maiden Open NH Flat Race | 2/9 | 8 | 11-3 | — | 110A | 120A | Wayne Hutchinson | 33/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Certainly Red (GB) won?
- Certainly Red (GB) won 7 of 35 archived starts between 2019 and 2026, a strike rate of 20%. Placed 16 times in total (45.7% of starts).
- Who trains Certainly Red (GB)?
- Certainly Red (GB) is trained by Lydia Richards, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 7 March 2026.
- Who is Certainly Red (GB)'s sire?
- Certainly Red (GB) is by Midnight Legend (GB) out of Venetian Lass (GB), whose sire is First Trump.
- What going does Certainly Red (GB) prefer?
- Certainly Red (GB) has the best record on good going: 3 wins from 9 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Certainly Red (GB)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 137, from the run on 7 March 2026. The highest on record is 142.
- What is Certainly Red (GB)'s sire's record?
- Midnight Legend (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 14.2% of 8,309 runs since Jan 2008 (494 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Certainly Red (GB)'s siblings?
- Out of Venetian Lass (GB), Certainly Red (GB) has 1 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Good News (GB) (9). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Good News (GB)). The wins came over 2m5½f–3m2f. As at Oct 2026.