Chance De Ballon (FR)
Chance De Ballon is a gelding who has won one of 12 starts on turf. His sole success came at Le Lion-D'Angers in May 2024 in the Prix du Domaine d'Avrille over 2m1f – 2m4f on soft ground. All ten runs at Auteuil have proved fruitless and he has been unsuccessful in four starts over 2m5f – 3m. He last ran at Auteuil in the Prix Jean Laumain in Dec 2025.
- 1–12Wins / Runs
- 8.3%Strike rate
- 3 (25%)Placed
- −1.10£1 level staken=12 at SP
- 1.21Fair A/E n=12 · 1.02 incl. margin
- 37dBetween runs (median)longest 240 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 16% of 3,217 runs since Jul 2013 (496 horses).
Strongest on good going: 19.8% from 561. Weakest on standard (aw) going: 9.5% from 211. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.7% from 694. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.7% from 138.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −16 | — |
| Good to Firm | 24 | 6 | 25% | +9 | — |
| Good | 561 | 111 | 19.8% | +3.8 | — |
| Good to Soft | 486 | 94 | 19.3% | +3.3 | — |
| Soft | 1,223 | 187 | 15.3% | −0.7 | 1 from 8 |
| Heavy | 711 | 96 | 13.5% | −2.5 | 0 from 4 |
| Standard (AW) | 211 | 20 | 9.5% | −6.5 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −16 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 50 | 3 | 6% | −10 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 138 | 12 | 8.7% | −7.3 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 303 | 45 | 14.9% | −1.1 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 694 | 137 | 19.7% | +3.7 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1,522 | 241 | 15.8% | −0.2 | 1 from 8 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 420 | 62 | 14.8% | −1.2 | 0 from 4 |
| Over 3m | 87 | 14 | 16.1% | +0.1 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jul 2013 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 0 winners.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bonheur De Ballon (FR) | 5 | 0 | — | — |
| Nemesis Has (FR) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 8 | 1 | 13% | +2.90 |
| Heavy | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auteuil (FR) | 10 | 0 | 0% | −10.00 |
| Compiegne (FR) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +9.90 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 8 | 1 | 13% | +2.90 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivier Jouin | 8 | 1 | 13% | +2.90 |
| Bertrand Lestrade | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Clement Lefebvre | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tongue tie | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Hood + tongue tie | 5 | 1 | 20% | +5.90 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2024 | 5 | 1 | 20% | +5.90 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Hurdle | 6 | 1 | 17% | +4.90 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Chance De Ballon won?
- Chance De Ballon (FR) won 1 of 12 archived starts between 2023 and 2025, a strike rate of 8.3%. Placed 3 times in total (25% of starts).
- Who trains Chance De Ballon?
- Chance De Ballon (FR) is trained by Mathias Solier, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 7 December 2025.
- Who is Chance De Ballon's sire?
- Chance De Ballon (FR) is by Doctor Dino (FR) out of Bonheur De Stara (FR), whose sire is Astarabad.
- What going does Chance De Ballon prefer?
- Chance De Ballon (FR) has the best record on soft going: 1 win from 8 starts (12.5%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Chance De Ballon's sire's record?
- Doctor Dino (FR)'s progeny in our archive have won 16% of 3,217 runs since Jul 2013 (496 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on good going: 19.8% from 561. Weakest on standard (aw) going: 9.5% from 211. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.7% from 694. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.7% from 138.
- Who are Chance De Ballon's siblings?
- Out of Bonheur De Stara (FR), Chance De Ballon (FR) has 2 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Nov 2026.