Bertrand Lestrade
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 100 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 12% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.94). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 23% (61 rides).
Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 23% (n=61, Fair A/E 1.02), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 3.3% (n=123, Fair A/E 0.44). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 10.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.79 and −62.20 to a £1 stake over 159 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Francois Nicolle supplies 23% of the rides and beats the rider's average (19.5% vs 11.7%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well over 2m5f – 3m (16.3%, n=86). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 5.9% over 51 rides, 5.8pts below the baseline. 141 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Grand Steeple-Chase de Paris at Auteuil (FR) (May 2021, £329,464). The standout partner of the record: Bel La Vie (FR) — 13 wins from 28 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Apr–Jun.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 11.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2008→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 2,066 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 2,066 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 16 November 2008 to 8 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Bertrand Lestrade's strike rate?
- Bertrand Lestrade has won 59 of 506 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 11.7% (as at 30 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Bertrand Lestrade do best at?
- Compiegne (FR) by strike rate: 12 wins from 102 rides (11.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Bertrand Lestrade ride most for?
- Francois Nicolle, with 118 rides since 2022 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 23 (19.5%).
- What is Bertrand Lestrade's Fair A/E?
- 0.94, from 501 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.