Chance Your Arm (IRE)
Chance Your Arm (IRE) is yet to win from 5 starts, though has placed once. Best effort: 2nd of 25 at Punchestown (Apr 2008).
- 0–5Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 1 (20%)Placed
- −5.00£1 level staken=5 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=5 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 91Highest OR
- 28dBetween runs (median)longest 728 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.3% of 362 runs since Jan 2008 (45 horses).
Strongest on good going: 14.3% from 126.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 4 | 0 | 0% | −11.3 | — |
| Good to Firm | 40 | 3 | 7.5% | −3.8 | 0 from 1 |
| Good | 126 | 18 | 14.3% | +3 | 0 from 2 |
| Good to Soft | 67 | 9 | 13.4% | +2.1 | 0 from 1 |
| Soft | 84 | 6 | 7.1% | −4.2 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 41 | 5 | 12.2% | +0.9 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 67 | 9 | 13.4% | +2.1 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 133 | 18 | 13.5% | +2.2 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 135 | 12 | 8.9% | −2.4 | 0 from 2 |
| Over 3m | 27 | 2 | 7.4% | −3.9 | 0 from 3 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
1 sibling in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Croco Mister (IRE) (2 wins).
The wins came over 2m3½f–2m4f; the highest grade won is Class 5 (Croco Mister (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croco Mister (IRE) | 30 | 2 | 2m3½f–2m4f | Class 5 |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Punchestown | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Fairyhouse | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3m | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mr T Addis | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Mr J C Tyner | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ms N Carberry | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mr J T McNamara | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 · 3 runs | |||||||||
| 13 Nov 10+203d | Punchestown | New Banks Course Risk Of Thunder Chase | 5/7 | 3½ | 10-11 | 91 | 90B | Mr T Addis | 50/1 |
| 24 Apr 10+4d | Punchestown | Irish Field Chase | 9/18 | shd | 11-0 | — | 84C | Mr J C Tyner | 16/1 |
| 20 Apr 10+728d | Punchestown | Kildare Hunt Club Fr Sean Breen Memorial Chase For The Ladies Perpetual Cup | UR/23 | — | 11-0 | — | — | Mr T Addis | 16/1 |
| 2008 · 2 runs | |||||||||
| 22 Apr 08+28d | Punchestown | DNG Nationwide Chase (Ladies Perpetual Cup) | 2/25 | 14 | 11-7 | — | 107A | Ms N Carberry | 8/1 |
| 25 Mar 08 | Fairyhouse | Eventus Marquees Hunters Chase | PU/14 | — | 11-6 | — | — | Mr J T McNamara | 6/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Chance Your Arm won?
- Chance Your Arm (IRE) has yet to win, from 5 archived starts between 2008 and 2010. Placed 1 time in total (20% of starts).
- Who trained Chance Your Arm?
- Chance Your Arm (IRE) was trained by E Bolger on the most recent run on record, at Punchestown on 13 November 2010.
- Who is Chance Your Arm's sire?
- Chance Your Arm (IRE) is by Insan (USA) out of Nimrods Dream (IRE), whose sire is Orchestra.
- What is Chance Your Arm's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 91, from the run on 13 November 2010. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Chance Your Arm's sire's record?
- Insan (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.3% of 362 runs since Jan 2008 (45 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on good going: 14.3% from 126.
- Who are Chance Your Arm's siblings?
- Out of Nimrods Dream (IRE), Chance Your Arm (IRE) has 1 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Croco Mister (IRE) (2). Highest grade won: Class 5 (Croco Mister (IRE)). The wins came over 2m3½f–2m4f. As at Nov 2026.