What is Ms N Carberry's strike rate?

Ms N Carberry has won 295 of 1,635 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 18% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ms N Carberry do best at?

Down Royal by strike rate: 17 wins from 55 rides (30.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Ms N Carberry ride most for?

Noel Meade, with 432 rides since 2008 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 89 (20.6%).

What is Ms N Carberry's Fair A/E?

1.06, from 1,633 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Ms N Carberry

1,635 rides in the lifetime window · 1,039 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Apr 2018

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

295–1,635

Wins / Runs

18%

Strike rate

n=1,635

729 (45%)

Placed

1.06

Fair A/E

n=1,633 · 0.82 incl. margin

−484.15

£1 level stake

n=1,634 at SP · −29.6%

£3.56m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

19.4%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 150 times a season, winning on 18% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.06). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 22% (166 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,635 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Aug–Dec 36.4% when favourite Noel Meade: 20.6% from 432 LTO winners: 21.7% Rode the favourite in 26% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Down Royal (30.9%, n=55), clear of the rider's 18% baseline. It is weakest at Gowran Park (5.5% over 55 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 21.7% (n=166, Fair A/E 1.07), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 4.7% (n=107, Fair A/E 0.49). Noel Meade supplied 26% of the rides and edges the rider's average (20.6% vs 18%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well off a 0-7-day break (38.9%, n=36). The record read poorly in Class 1 — 4.3% over 117 rides, 13.7pts below the baseline. 15 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Ladbrokes Irish Grand National Chase at Fairyhouse (Apr 2011, £141,000). The standout partner of the record was On The Fringe (IRE) — 9 wins from 17 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Aug–Dec.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 18% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

17.5%−0.5

n=1,012 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −296.00

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

21.7%+3.7

n=166 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −58.39

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

17.3%−0.7

n=329 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −107.64

When favourite

36.4%

n=423 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −45.68

Big fields · 14+ runners

14%−4.0

n=773 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −276.66

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

4.7%−13.3

n=107 · A/E 0.49 · £1 −79.58

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 18% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With E Bolger 35.5% vs 18% · n=121

Off a 0-7-day break 38.9% vs 18% · n=36

In Class 1 4.3% vs 18% · n=117

In Group / Graded races 4.7% vs 18% · n=107

At Down Royal 30.9% vs 18% · n=55

At Gowran Park 5.5% vs 18% · n=55

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

NH Flat 974 176 18.1% −295.73

Flat 293 55 18.8% −91.70

Chase 239 46 19.2% −54.05

Hurdle 129 18 14% −42.67

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 543 96 17.7% −174.85

Good 388 55 14.2% −153.90

Heavy 368 81 22% −47.87

Good to Soft 148 26 17.6% −56.92

Good to Firm 134 28 20.9% −36.99

Standard (AW) 34 6 17.6% −9.37

Firm 20 3 15% −4.25

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Punchestown 230 38 16.5% −78.98

Fairyhouse 136 26 19.1% −20.07

Leopardstown 91 7 7.7% −62.50

Galway 86 12 14% −36.17

Downpatrick 80 22 27.5% −12.89

Navan 72 16 22.2% −4.24

Limerick 59 10 16.9% −23.00

Thurles 58 13 22.4% −8.37

Cheltenham 57 11 19.3% −13.08

Gowran Park 55 3 5.5% −37.75

Tramore 55 11 20% −16.15

Down Royal 55 17 30.9% −6.43

Cork 53 7 13.2% −28.85

Naas 51 12 23.5% −4.95

Roscommon 46 10 21.7% −4.54

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 117 5 4.3% −89.58

Class 2 53 10 18.9% −15.58

Class 3 15 1 6.7% −9.50

Class 4 7 2 28.6% +2.50

Class 5 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 6 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 479 168 35.1% 1.17 −48.93

2nd–3rd fav 658 108 16.4% 1.06 −119.22

4th–6th fav 351 18 5.1% 0.65 −185.00

7th+ in betting 146 1 0.7% 0.17 −131.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

83.4% completed · 368 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 239 78.7% 14 9 26 1 1

Hurdle 129 92.2% 5 0 5 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Arabella Boy (IRE) 18 4 12 14 Mar 13

Garde Champetre (FR) 18 8 12 13 Mar 12

On The Fringe (IRE) 17 9 14 27 Apr 18

Jeunopse (IRE) 17 0 7 23 Sep 14

Josies Orders (IRE) 8 5 6 28 Apr 18

Organisedconfusion (IRE) 7 1 2 26 Jan 13

Freneys Well (GB) 7 3 5 17 Jan 13

Start Me Up (IRE) 7 3 3 25 Nov 12

Zaralabad (IRE) 7 1 4 25 Jul 11

Rodriguez (IRE) 6 1 2 7 Mar 14

Zest For Life (IRE) 6 1 2 15 Nov 13

Jewel Of The West (IRE) 6 0 2 16 Nov 12

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,039 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

132213111818162420202523

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardNoel Meade

26% of all rides
20.6% SR · A/E 1.07

TrainerRWSR£1

Noel Meade 432 89 20.6% −110.17

Gordon Elliott 223 45 20.2% −80.27

C F Swan 163 36 22.1% −23.77

E Bolger 121 43 35.5% +26.15

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

406

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£5.22m

Prize money

2009

Best season · 49 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Organisedconfusion (IRE) — Ladbrokes Irish Grand National Chase (Extended Handicap) (Grade A) Fairyhouse · Apr 2011 · Grade A

£141,000

Mick The Man (IRE) — Paddy Power Champion INH Flat Race (Grade 1) Punchestown · Apr 2007 · Grade 1

£71,610

Leading Run (IRE) — Paddy Power Champion INH Flat Race (Gr1) Punchestown · Apr 2006 · Grade 1

£65,100

Notable horses

On The Fringe (IRE) Garde Champetre (FR) Josies Orders (IRE) Arabella Boy (IRE) Celestial Wave (IRE) Freneys Well (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Beneficial (GB) 21.8% · 22–101

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,046 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Flemensfirth (USA) 20.3% · 12–59

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,288 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Oscar (IRE) 20.3% · 12–59

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Milan (GB) 32% · 16–50

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,876 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Presenting (GB) 10.4% · 5–48

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

King's Theatre (IRE) 18.2% · 6–33

Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,238 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,238 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 22 January 2005 to 28 April 2018.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

28 Apr 18 Punchestown Josies Orders (IRE)T: E Bolger Dooley Insurances Cross Country Chase24f · Soft · 14 ran 1st 6/5F

27 Apr 18 Punchestown First Approach (IRE)T: Noel Meade GVA Donal O'Buachalla Property Advisors Flat Race18f · Soft · 19 ran 9th 10/3

27 Apr 18 Punchestown On The Fringe (IRE)T: E Bolger Star Best For Racing Coverage Champion Hunters Chase24.5f · Soft · 13 ran 3rd 10/1

26 Apr 18 Punchestown Josies Orders (IRE)T: E Bolger Friends First Cross Country Chase For The La Touche Cup33.5f · Yielding To Soft · 10 ran 2nd 5/2F

25 Apr 18 Punchestown Tintangle (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott Weatherbys General Stud Book Irish Ebf Mares Flat Race (grade 3)16.5f · Yielding · 15 ran 3rd 11/4

25 Apr 18 Punchestown Young Ted (IRE)T: Noel Meade Racing Post Champion I.N.H. Flat Race For The Conyngham Cup (Grade 1)16.5f · Yielding · 10 ran 6th 18/1

24 Apr 18 Punchestown In Your Shadow (IRE)T: Noel Meade Dooley Insurances Flat Race16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran 15th 11/4F

24 Apr 18 Punchestown Seeyouinvinnys (IRE)T: Noel Meade Goffs Land Rover Bumper16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran 8th 11/1

20 Apr 18 Limerick Extrapolate (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott Twilight Racing 2018 Flat Race19f · Soft To Heavy · 8 ran 5th 3/1

19 Apr 18 Fairyhouse Dream Conti (FR)T: Noel Meade Fairyhouse National Hunt Season Finale Flat Race16f · Soft · 13 ran 1st 2/1F

19 Apr 18 Fairyhouse Killisk Ben Rose (IRE)T: R P Rath Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Mares Flat Race20f · Soft · 12 ran 8th 20/1

17 Apr 18 Fairyhouse Tintangle (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott Lauro At Hayes Stud Irish Ebf Total Enjoyment Mares Flat Race (listed)16f · Soft · 11 ran 1st 3/1F

17 Apr 18 Fairyhouse Sunsetstorise (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott Ratoath Pharmacy Ladies National Handicap Chase22.5f · Soft To Heavy · 13 ran 2nd 5/2F

16 Apr 18 Tramore Dorydalis (FR)T: Gordon Elliott Bulmers Cider (C & G) Flat Race16f · Heavy · 4 ran 4th 7/1

12 Apr 18 Aintree On The Fringe (IRE)T: E Bolger Randox Health Foxhunters' Open Hunters' Chase (National Course)Class 2 · 21f · Soft · 21 ran 5th 8/1

02 Apr 18 Fairyhouse Brace Yourself (IRE)T: Noel Meade Cawley Furniture Flat Race16f · Heavy · 9 ran 2nd 15/8F

01 Apr 18 Fairyhouse Pat's Pick (IRE)T: Noel Meade Tattersalls Ireland George Mernagh Memorial Sales Bumper16f · Soft To Heavy · 17 ran 1st 10/1

24 Mar 18 Thurles Young Ted (IRE)T: Noel Meade www.thurlesraces.ie (pro/am) Flat Race16f · Heavy · 12 ran 1st 9/2

23 Mar 18 Navan Where Eagles Dare (IRE)T: Noel Meade Come Racing At Navan April 7th (pro/am) Flat Race16f · Heavy · 9 ran 3rd 5/1

19 Mar 18 Limerick Warlike Intent (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott Buy Twilight Racing Tickets Online (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Heavy · 7 ran 3rd 9/4

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ms N Carberry's strike rate?: Ms N Carberry has won 295 of 1,635 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 18% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ms N Carberry do best at?: Down Royal by strike rate: 17 wins from 55 rides (30.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Ms N Carberry ride most for?: Noel Meade, with 432 rides since 2008 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 89 (20.6%).
What is Ms N Carberry's Fair A/E?: 1.06, from 1,633 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.