Danger Bay (IRE)
Danger Bay is a New Bay colt who has won three of seven starts on turf. He took a Class 5 maiden at Hamilton in Jun 2025, a Class 3 handicap at the same track in Aug 2025 and the Racing TV Zetland Gold Cup Handicap at Redcar in May 2026, all of his wins coming over 1m to 1m4f on good or good to firm ground. Typically held up, he finished fourth of 22 in the John Smiths Cup at York in Jul 2026 when last raced off his career-high mark of 102.
- 3–7Wins / Runs
- 42.9%Strike rate
- 5 (71.4%)Placed
- +5.00£1 level staken=7 at SP
- 1.93Fair A/E n=7 · 1.61 incl. margin
- 102Highest OR
- 117dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 108
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 3 | 108A | 107 | 2 runs · 108 / 103.5 |
| Good | 3 | 91A | 89 | — |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 4 | 107C | 90 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 3 | 108A | 99 | 2 runs · 108 / 103.5 |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 7 figures from 7 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 7 analysed runs since Aug 2024
- Prominent 5 (71%) · 3 wins
- Held up 1 (14%) · 0 wins
- Led 1 (14%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 14.3% of 3,959 runs since Jan 2008 (423 horses).
Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 8 | 0 | 0% | −14.3 | — |
| Good to Firm | 586 | 92 | 15.7% | +1.4 | 1 from 3 |
| Good | 994 | 140 | 14.1% | −0.2 | 2 from 3 |
| Good to Soft | 466 | 69 | 14.8% | +0.5 | 0 from 1 |
| Soft | 617 | 79 | 12.8% | −1.5 | — |
| Heavy | 179 | 27 | 15.1% | +0.8 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,109 | 161 | 14.5% | +0.2 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 102 | 11 | 10.8% | −3.5 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 1,178 | 182 | 15.4% | +1.1 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,264 | 164 | 13% | −1.3 | 2 from 4 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1,087 | 164 | 15.1% | +0.8 | 1 from 3 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 270 | 40 | 14.8% | +0.5 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 53 | 7 | 13.2% | −1.1 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 5 | 0 | 0% | −14.3 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 25 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Myna (IRE) (2 wins).
The wins came over 1m2f; the highest grade won is Class 6 (Myna (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myna (IRE) | 27 | 2 | 1m2f | Class 6 |
| Veld (IRE) | 5 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 3 | 1 | 33% | +3.50 |
| Good | 3 | 2 | 67% | +2.50 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 3 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.50 |
| Class 2 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +4.50 |
| Class 5 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| York | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Hamilton | 2 | 2 | 100% | +3.50 |
| Redcar | 1 | 1 | 100% | +5.50 |
| Carlisle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Haydock | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 4 | 2 | 50% | +1.50 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 3 | 1 | 33% | +3.50 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callum Rodriguez | 6 | 3 | 50% | +6.00 |
| Daniel Tudhope | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +4.50 |
| 2025 | 4 | 2 | 50% | +1.50 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 11 Jul 26+47d | York | John Smith's Cup (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race) Towards the back of the pack - made ground over 3f out - soon boxed in and lost momentum - found room 1f out and stayed on strongly - was closing fastest of all at the line | 4/22 | nk | 9-9 | 102 | 99C | 112A | Daniel Tudhope | 11/2 |
| 25 May 26+260d | Redcar | Racing TV Zetland Gold Cup Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Settled behind the front group - made ground from beyond the 3f marker - hit the front approaching 2f out - pressed for effort inside the final furlong - forged on strongly to score | 1/10 | 9-13 | 94 | 108A | 104A | Callum Rodriguez | 11/2 | |
| 2025 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 07 Sep 25+26d | York | Sky Bet Extra Places Middle Distance Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Handy in the early stages - driven with 2f left - faded inside the final furlong to finish 9th | 9/12 | 2½ | 9-9 | 94 | 67A | 82A | Callum Rodriguez | 2/1F |
| 12 Aug 25+47d | Hamilton | Hamilton Park Scottish Trophy Handicap Sat behind the front group - moved into second with 8f left - hit the front over 2f out - pushed along a furlong out - finished strongly to win going away | 1/7 | 9-9 | 89 | 91A | 99A | Callum Rodriguez | 5/2 | |
| 26 Jun 25+28d | Hamilton | Hampton By Hilton Onsite Hotel Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Settled in third early - improved into contention approaching the turn - moved up to second wide with over 2f left going strongly - hit the front a furlong out - opened up a gap and stayed on to win | 1/11 | 9-5 | — | 89A | 101A | Callum Rodriguez | EvensF | |
| 29 May 25+293d | Carlisle | PricedUp Daily Sports Boosts Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Set the pace early - shifted towards the stands rail in the straight before being caught and driven along inside the final two furlongs - dropped away into 3rd close home | 3/11 | 3½ | 9-3 | — | 86A | 83A | Callum Rodriguez | 9/4 |
| 2024 · 1 run | ||||||||||
| 09 Aug 24 | Haydock | Betfred 'The Classic Bookmaker' EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Sat behind pace early - driven forward to hit front over 2f out - overtaken with a furlong left and unable to fight back to the line | 2/4 | ¾ | 9-7 | — | 107C | 92B | Callum Rodriguez | 13/2 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Danger Bay won?
- Danger Bay (IRE) won 3 of 7 archived starts between 2024 and 2026, a strike rate of 42.9%. Placed 5 times in total (71.4% of starts).
- Who trains Danger Bay?
- Danger Bay (IRE) is trained by Edward Bethell, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 11 July 2026.
- Who is Danger Bay's sire?
- Danger Bay (IRE) is by New Bay (GB) out of Quicksand (IRE), whose sire is Footstepsinthesand.
- What going does Danger Bay prefer?
- Danger Bay (IRE) has the best record on good going: 2 wins from 3 starts (66.7%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Danger Bay's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 102, from the run on 11 July 2026. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Danger Bay's sire's record?
- New Bay (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 14.3% of 3,959 runs since Jan 2008 (423 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.
- Who are Danger Bay's siblings?
- Out of Quicksand (IRE), Danger Bay (IRE) has 2 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Myna (IRE) (2). Highest grade won: Class 6 (Myna (IRE)). The wins came over 1m2f. As at Oct 2026.