What is Edward Bethell's strike rate?

Edward Bethell has won 247 of 1,548 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 16% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Edward Bethell do best at?

Hamilton by strike rate: 18 wins from 67 runners (26.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Edward Bethell?

Callum Rodriguez, with 569 runners since 2022 — 37% of the total. That pairing has won 112 (19.7%).

Is Edward Bethell in form?

In the last 14 days: 22 runners, 1 winner, a strike rate of 4.5%. That is below the baseline of 16% since 2022.

What is Edward Bethell's Fair A/E?

1.01, from 1,535 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Edward Bethell

1,548 runners in the last 5 seasons · 233 individual horses

As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 5.1% of 529 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 21 Oct 2026.

Last runner 2 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2021→)

from 1 Jan 2022

247–1,548

Wins / Runs

16%

Strike rate

n=1,548

594 (38%)

Placed

1.01

Fair A/E

n=1,535 · 0.86 incl. margin

−332.23

£1 level stake

n=1,548 at SP · −21.5%

£4.74m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

16%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 310 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 16% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.01). New recruits from other yards win at 28% first time out (50 runs). The yard is quiet just now — 1 winner in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,548 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Apr Fresh horses: 19.1% 36.3% when favourite Callum Rodriguez: 19.7% from 569 New recruits: 28% Sends off the favourite in 19% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Hamilton (26.9%, n=67) and Ripon (25.5%, n=55) — all clear of the yard's 16% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 28% (n=50, Fair A/E 1.57), but a horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 3.7% (n=107, Fair A/E 0.31). The market has consistently overbet debutants: 6.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.60 and −71.75 to a £1 stake over 164 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 1 from 22 runners in the last 14 days (4.5%, 11.5pts below the 16% baseline). Callum Rodriguez rides 37% of the entries and edges the yard's average (19.7% vs 16%, A/E 1.05) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 12 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Betfair Sprint Cup Stakes at Haydock (Sep 2023, £242,106). The stable star of the record: Yorkshire (IRE) — 6 wins from 26 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 16% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

19.1%+3.1

n=282 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −48.55

New recruits · first run for the yard

28%+12.0

n=50 · A/E 1.57 · £1 +3.61

Debutants · first career start

6.7%−9.3

n=164 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −71.75

First-time headgear · true-first definition

3.7%−12.3

n=107 · A/E 0.31 · £1 −68.63

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

12%−4.0

n=25 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −14.77

When favourite

36.3%

n=295 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −15.11

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.4%−8.6

n=95 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −48.34

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

10.1%−5.9

n=99 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −13.67

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 16% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With first-time headgear 3.7% vs 16% · n=107

With debutants 6.7% vs 16% · n=164

With new recruits 28% vs 16% · n=50

At Hamilton 26.9% vs 16% · n=67

With claiming riders up 7.4% vs 16% · n=95

At Ripon 25.5% vs 16% · n=55

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,542 245 15.9% −339.23

Hurdle 5 2 40% +8.00

NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 445 66 14.8% −127.83

Good 411 66 16.1% −112.55

Good to Firm 342 61 17.8% −7.50

Good to Soft 175 24 13.7% −48.52

Soft 147 24 16.3% −40.66

Heavy 28 6 21.4% +4.83

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 210 23 11% −85.41

Southwell (AW) 127 23 18.1% −17.88

York 98 8 8.2% −17.00

Redcar 96 21 21.9% −2.10

Haydock 90 15 16.7% −1.90

Doncaster 87 13 14.9% −33.47

Wolverhampton (AW) 78 14 17.9% −31.14

Thirsk 73 10 13.7% −24.50

Pontefract 67 13 19.4% −3.67

Hamilton 67 18 26.9% +6.47

Carlisle 62 12 19.4% −11.34

Beverley 57 9 15.8% −18.25

Ripon 55 14 25.5% −3.63

Nottingham 54 12 22.2% +11.08

Catterick 45 10 22.2% −12.72

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 518 93 18% −129.83

Class 4 450 67 14.9% −146.22

Class 2 179 21 11.7% −0.42

Class 3 155 33 21.3% +2.26

Class 6 144 23 16% −41.35

Class 1 99 10 10.1% −13.67

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 327 113 34.6% 1.08 −21.61

2nd–3rd fav 554 94 17% 0.97 −93.12

4th–6th fav 430 35 8.1% 1.00 −91.50

7th+ in betting 237 5 2.1% 0.57 −126.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Yorkshire (IRE) 26 6 12 12 Oct 26

Point Lynas (IRE)from Charles Hills 23 5 11 22 Aug 26

James Mchenry (GB) 23 3 10 28 May 26

Quandary (GB) 23 2 10 3 Jan 26

Chillingham (IRE)then Micky Hammond 23 4 11 7 Oct 25

Minstrel Knight (GB) 22 5 10 10 Oct 26

Regional (GB)from Richard Fahey 22 3 11 3 Oct 26

Nightsinwhitesatin (GB) 17 2 5 7 Oct 26

Gressington (IRE)then Katie Scott 17 3 6 2 Sep 25

Lerwick (GB)then Mark Loughnane 17 2 9 26 Feb 25

Kirkdale (IRE) 16 3 7 19 Sep 26

Fluorescence (GB) 15 5 8 3 Oct 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 233 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 9 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive; 53 had their first archived run for this yard.

17 have since run for another yard; 43 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

1 from 22 4.5% · −11.5pts vs baseline

Last 14 days4.5%

5-season base16%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

162017211516152015131114

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderCallum Rodriguez

37% of all rides
19.7% SR · A/E 1.05

RiderRWSR£1

Callum Rodriguez 569 112 19.7% −94.33

P J McDonald 140 20 14.3% −40.92

Kevin Stott 105 15 14.3% −27.73

Connor Beasley 95 19 20% −24.49

Daniel Tudhope 87 16 18.4% −13.81

Oisin Orr 62 13 21% −3.29

Rowan Scott 34 2 5.9% −10.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→

270

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£5.12m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 69 wins

Regional (GB) — Betfair Sprint Cup Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Haydock · Sep 2023 · Group 1

£242,106

Rogue Passion (IRE) — Qatar Prix D'aumale Longchamp (FR) · Sep 2026 · Group 2

£67,830

Mickley (IRE) — Britannia Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (Str) Ascot · Jun 2024 · Class 2

£61,848

Notable horses

Yorkshire (IRE) Point Lynas (IRE) Minstrel Knight (GB) Fluorescence (GB) Paborus (GB) Regional (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Territories (IRE) 8.3% · 6–72

Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,603 runs since 2008 (348 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 13.3% from 535.

Harry Angel (IRE) 19.6% · 10–51

Progeny have won 12.7% of 2,753 runs since 2008 (261 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.4% from 332.

Starspangledbanner (AUS) 18.8% · 9–48

Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,147 runs since 2008 (659 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.5% from 1,187.

Make Believe (GB) 22.2% · 10–45

Progeny have won 11.1% of 3,598 runs since 2008 (297 horses).

Showcasing (GB) 13.6% · 6–44

Progeny have won 10.1% of 11,584 runs since 2008 (996 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 108.

Mayson (GB) 11.6% · 5–43

Progeny have won 10.7% of 7,365 runs since 2008 (442 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.8% from 1,728. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 106.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,699 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,699 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 January 2021 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Shimmy Jimmy (IRE)J: Jason Hart bettingsites.co.uk Find Your New Bookmaker Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 14/1

17 Oct 26 Ascot Coedana (IRE)J: Connor Beasley Qatar Racing British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes (Group 1)Class 1 · 12f · Good · 12 ran 8th 33/1

17 Oct 26 Catterick Be Patient (GB)J: Oisin Orr Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Good · 7 ran 5th 2/1F

17 Oct 26 Ascot Paborus (GB)J: Daniel Tudhope Qatar Racing British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1)Class 1 · 6f · Good · 16 ran 2nd 18/1

16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Porth Eilian (GB)J: Connor Beasley Northumbria Leisure For Gaming Machines Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 20/1

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Return Of The Gods (IRE)J: Daniel Tudhope attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 7/2

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Joud (GB)J: Cian Horgan Free Bets On Attheraces.com Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 7/1

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Bradbury (IRE)J: Billy Loughnane Cavani Raceday Style Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 5/1

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Edmond Halley (IRE)J: Cian Horgan Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 4/1

12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Yorkshire (IRE)J: Billy Loughnane Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier)Class 3 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 14 ran 10th 5/1

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Blazing Inferno (IRE)J: Daniel Tudhope Follow @AtTheRaces On Instagram Nursery Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 6 ran 3rd 6/1

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Amber Hamur (IRE)J: Cian Horgan Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 22/1

10 Oct 26 York Applesandpears (GB)J: Jason Hart Sky Bet Price Boosts Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 4 · 10.5f · Good To Soft · 19 ran 16th 28/1

10 Oct 26 York Minstrel Knight (GB)J: Daniel Tudhope Sky Bet Extra Places Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 14f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 11th 12/1

09 Oct 26 Newmarket Noche Clasica (IRE)J: Luke Morris Newmarket Pony Academy Pride Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 10f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 10th 25/1

09 Oct 26 Newmarket Rogue Attraction (IRE)J: Luke Morris Godolphin Under Starters Orders EBF Boadicea Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 6f · Good · 13 ran 13th 66/1

09 Oct 26 York Harley (IRE)J: Connor Beasley Parsonage Hotel And Cloisters Spa Nursery Handicap StakesClass 3 · 5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 3rd 8/1

09 Oct 26 Newmarket Rogue Passion (IRE)J: Rossa Ryan Bet365 Fillies' Mile (Group 1)Class 1 · 8f · Good · 8 ran 7th 9/2

09 Oct 26 York Prince Of Calypso (IRE)J: Connor Beasley William Hill Finale Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 2 · 14f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 9th 20/1

09 Oct 26 Newmarket Rogue Jewel (IRE)J: Colin Keane Newmarket Academy Godolphin Beacon Project Cornwallis Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 5f · Good · 13 ran 10th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Edward Bethell's strike rate?: Edward Bethell has won 247 of 1,548 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 16% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Edward Bethell do best at?: Hamilton by strike rate: 18 wins from 67 runners (26.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Edward Bethell?: Callum Rodriguez, with 569 runners since 2022 — 37% of the total. That pairing has won 112 (19.7%).
Is Edward Bethell in form?: In the last 14 days: 22 runners, 1 winner, a strike rate of 4.5%. That is below the baseline of 16% since 2022.
What is Edward Bethell's Fair A/E?: 1.01, from 1,535 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.