Definite Chance (IRE)
Lightly raced, with 2 archived starts between Oct 2012 and Nov 2012, the last of them as a 7yo gelding. Finished 2 of 10 at Warwick last time. By Definite Article (GB), whose progeny in our archive have won 10.5% of 5,617 runs since Jan 2008.
- 0–2Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 2 (100%)Placed
- −2.00£1 level staken=2 at SP
- 17dAvg between runs
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 10.5% of 5,617 runs since Jan 2008 (527 horses).
Weakest on standard (aw) going: 5.1% from 138. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 211.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 26 | 5 | 19.2% | +8.7 | — |
| Good to Firm | 531 | 69 | 13% | +2.5 | — |
| Good | 2,031 | 224 | 11% | +0.5 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Soft | 835 | 89 | 10.7% | +0.2 | — |
| Soft | 1,377 | 122 | 8.9% | −1.6 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 679 | 74 | 10.9% | +0.4 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 138 | 7 | 5.1% | −5.4 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | +7.7 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 49 | 5 | 10.2% | −0.3 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 211 | 9 | 4.3% | −6.2 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,811 | 185 | 10.2% | −0.3 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1,900 | 204 | 10.7% | +0.2 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1,349 | 156 | 11.6% | +1.1 | 0 from 1 |
| Over 3m | 286 | 29 | 10.1% | −0.4 | 0 from 1 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 27 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
7 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them State Of Emergency (IRE) (2 wins).
The wins came over 5f–1m2f; the highest grade won is Class 5 (Star Of Zaam (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| State Of Emergency (IRE) | 3 | 2 | 5f | — |
| Star Of Zaam (IRE) | 15 | 2 | 6f–1m2f | Class 5 |
| Shepherd's Hill (IRE) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
| March For Men (IRE) | 7 | 0 | — | — |
| Nemetona (GB) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
| Swing It Ruby (IRE) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
| The Young Goose (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Too few runs for meaningful splits. The full record is below.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 · 2 runs | ||||||||
| 07 Nov 12+17d | Warwick | Weatherbys And Northampton Town Football Club Novices' Hurdle | 2/10 | 3¼ | 10-12 | 128A | Dominic Elsworth | 11/2 |
| 21 Oct 12 | Kempton | williamhill.com 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle | 2/12 | 11 | 10-12 | 130A | Dominic Elsworth | 20/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Definite Chance won?
- Definite Chance (IRE) has yet to win, from 2 archived starts in 2012. Placed 2 times in total (100% of starts).
- Who trained Definite Chance?
- Definite Chance (IRE) was trained by Paul Webber on the most recent run on record, at Warwick on 7 November 2012.
- Who is Definite Chance's sire?
- Definite Chance (IRE) is by Definite Article (GB) out of Golconda (IRE), whose sire is Lahib.
- What is Definite Chance's sire's record?
- Definite Article (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.5% of 5,617 runs since Jan 2008 (527 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on standard (aw) going: 5.1% from 138. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 211.
- Who are Definite Chance's siblings?
- Out of Golconda (IRE), Definite Chance (IRE) has 7 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: State Of Emergency (IRE) (2). Highest grade won: Class 5 (Star Of Zaam (IRE)). The wins came over 5f–1m2f. As at Oct 2026.