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Trainer profile

Paul Webber

218 runners in the last 5 seasons · 45 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner May 2024 92% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
6–218
Wins / Runs
2.8%
Strike rate
n=218
25 (12%)
Placed
0.46
Fair A/E
n=217 · 0.41 incl. margin
−80.00
£1 level stake
n=218 at SP · −36.7%
£130k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.8%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.46).

Deterministic profile computed from 218 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 15 Oct 2026
The read

The yard also reads well on Soft going (7.7%, n=52) and in NH Flat races (6.1%, n=33). The market has consistently overbet the yard on Good to Soft going: Fair A/E 0.00 across 65 runners (0% strike, −65.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 12 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle at Cheltenham (Mar 2020, £43,330). The stable star of the record: Australia Day (IRE) — 10 wins from 60 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−2.8
n=63 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −63.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.8
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
4.2%+1.4
n=24 · A/E 1.27 · £1 −1.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
5.6%+2.8
n=18 · A/E 1.93 · £1 −8.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.8
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
When favourite
0%
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−2.8
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.8
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Soft going 7.7% vs 2.8% · n=52
With Gavin Sheehan 6.7% vs 2.8% · n=30
On Good to Soft going 0% vs 2.8% · n=65
In NH Flat races 6.1% vs 2.8% · n=33
Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 2.8% · n=34
At Huntingdon 5.3% vs 2.8% · n=38
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 115 2 1.7% −97.50
Chase 53 2 3.8% −36.50
NH Flat 33 2 6.1% +71.00
Flat 17 0 0% −17.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 75 2 2.7% +13.50
Good to Soft 65 0 0% −65.00
Soft 52 4 7.7% −2.50
Heavy 11 0 0% −11.00
Good to Firm 9 0 0% −9.00
Standard (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Huntingdon 38 2 5.3% −20.00
Warwick 19 0 0% −19.00
Plumpton 17 0 0% −17.00
Ludlow 15 1 6.7% −7.50
Kempton 13 0 0% −13.00
Southwell 12 2 16.7% +92.00
Leicester 11 1 9.1% −2.50
Doncaster 10 0 0% −10.00
Lingfield 8 0 0% −8.00
Hereford 7 0 0% −7.00
Uttoxeter 6 0 0% −6.00
Newbury 5 0 0% −5.00
Worcester 4 0 0% −4.00
Market Rasen 4 0 0% −4.00
Cheltenham 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 96 4 4.2% +23.50
Class 4 87 2 2.3% −68.50
Class 3 15 0 0% −15.00
Class 1 8 0 0% −8.00
Class 2 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 6 6 0 0% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 8 0 0% 0.00 −8.00
2nd–3rd fav 23 1 4.3% 0.28 −15.50
4th–6th fav 72 4 5.6% 0.79 −22.50
7th+ in betting 115 1 0.9% 0.51 −34.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
75% completed · 168 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 53 81.1% 2 0 8 0 0
Hurdle 115 72.2% 3 3 26 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Happy Index (GB)then Olly Murphy 12 1 2 19 Apr 24
Eyed (GB)then Hughie Morrison 11 1 2 12 May 24
Getaway With You (GB)then Billy Aprahamian 11 0 1 25 Mar 24
Kilfilum Woods (IRE)then Francesca Poste 11 0 1 25 Jan 24
Ceci Wells (GB) 11 0 0 23 Jan 24
Crystal Mer (GB)then Hughie Morrison 10 0 2 12 May 24
Special Acceptance (GB)then Billy Aprahamian 10 0 4 22 Apr 24
Eurkash (FR)then James Owen 10 0 2 16 Feb 24
Pep Talking (GB)then Billy Aprahamian 8 1 3 27 May 24
Glengolly (GB)then Billy Aprahamian 8 0 0 23 Apr 24
Lunar Ocean (IRE)then Billy Aprahamian 7 0 1 10 May 24
Chronos (GB) 7 0 0 22 Apr 24
All 45 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 45 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive; 39 had their first archived run for this yard.

27 have since run for another yard, most often for Billy Aprahamian (10) and James Owen (4); 18 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0460130000000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderGavin Sheehan
14% of all rides
6.7% SR · A/E 1.00
RiderRWSR£1
Gavin Sheehan 30 2 6.7% +74.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
292
Archived wins
12
Pattern / graded wins
£3.12m
Prize money
2011
Best season · 39 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Indefatigable (IRE) — Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Cheltenham · Mar 2020 · Class 2
£43,330
Kew Green (USA) — Suffolk Heritage Handicap Newmarket · May 2005 · Class 2
£34,800
Full House (IRE) — Ascot Stakes (Handicap) Ascot · Jun 2007 · Class 2
£34,276
Notable horses
Australia Day (IRE) Alasi (GB) Time For Rupert (IRE) Rajnagan (IRE) Indefatigable (IRE) Full House (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Kayf Tara (GB) 5.9% · 1–17
Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,736 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.
Blue Bresil (FR) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 12.1% of 3,477 runs since 2008 (454 horses).
Beat Hollow (GB) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 11.3% of 6,028 runs since 2008 (412 horses).
Getaway (GER) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,898 runs since 2008 (1,025 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.7% from 131.
Orientor (GB) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 10% of 1,451 runs since 2008 (57 horses).
Irish Wells (FR) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 9.3% of 884 runs since 2008 (124 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 12.3% from 122. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.6% from 108.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,381 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,381 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 27 May 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
27 May 24 Huntingdon Pep Talking (GB)J: Brendan Powell Euro2024 Daily Giveaways On Rhino.Bet Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 11/8F
22 May 24 Southwell Stone's Throw (GB)J: Gavin Sheehan Download Our Racecourse App Raceday Ready Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Soft · 7 ran 1st 22/1
12 May 24 Plumpton Crystal Mer (GB)J: Rex Dingle Harry & Betty Savill Memorial Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 9/1
12 May 24 Plumpton Eyed (GB)J: Brendan Powell Emily Mellett 21st Birthday Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 19.5f · Good · 8 ran 4th 5/1
10 May 24 Market Rasen Lunar Ocean (IRE)J: James Davies Book Summer Plate Ladies Day Now Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 20.5f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 28/1
07 May 24 Southwell Moonscape Girl (GB)J: Gavin Sheehan Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Mares' Open Maiden NH Flat Race (GBB Race) (Div 2)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 1st 80/1
07 May 24 Southwell Spinnova (GB)J: Rex Dingle Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Mares' Open Maiden NH Flat Race (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 11th 100/1
25 Apr 24 Huntingdon Lawsky (GB)J: Richie McLernon Watch Replays On Racing TV Open Maiden NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 10th 125/1
25 Apr 24 Huntingdon Eyed (GB)J: Tom Bellamy Racehorse Shares From 45 At racingclub.com Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 6 ran 4th 2/1F
25 Apr 24 Warwick Pep Talking (GB)J: James Davies Molly Ollys Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 6th 10/1
24 Apr 24 Uttoxeter Spinnova (GB)J: James Davies Abba Party Raceday Saturday 4th May Mares' Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 5 · 16f · Soft · 10 ran 8th 40/1
23 Apr 24 Southwell Glengolly (GB)J: Gavin Sheehan Liz And Izzy's HOAP Podcast Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 14 ran 6th 40/1
22 Apr 24 Kempton Chronos (GB)J: Brendan Powell Sri Lanka, The Wonder Of Asia Novices' Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 9th 80/1
22 Apr 24 Ffos Las Special Acceptance (GB)J: Kielan Woods DragonBet The Bookmaker Of Wales Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 25.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 5th 10/1
20 Apr 24 Bangor-on-Dee Bongo Man (GB)J: Richie McLernon Nightingale House Hospice 'Junior' NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Soft · 12 ran 6th 28/1
19 Apr 24 Fontwell Happy Index (GB)J: Jack Quinlan Best Odds Guaranteed At Yeeehaaa.bet Mares' Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17.5f · Good · 8 ran 5th 5/1
09 Apr 24 Hereford Lunar Ocean (IRE)J: Brendan Powell Blackmores Building Contractors Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 7 ran 7th 18/1
09 Apr 24 Hereford Crystal Mer (GB)J: Brendan Powell Hereford Countryside Raceday This Sunday Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Soft · 10 ran 6th 17/2
09 Apr 24 Hereford Pep Talking (GB)J: James Davies Download The Racing App Now Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 8 ran 2nd 9/4F
02 Apr 24 Ludlow Glengolly (GB)J: Gavin Sheehan HR.Smith Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Paul Webber's strike rate?
Paul Webber has won 6 of 218 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 2.8% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Paul Webber do best at?
Huntingdon by strike rate: 2 wins from 38 runners (5.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Paul Webber's Fair A/E?
0.46, from 217 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).