Ellusive Butterfly (IRE)
Ellusive Butterfly is 3 from 11 including two Listed wins in our archive. Her biggest win came in the Cygames Surrey Stakes at Epsom Downs in Jun 2026. All three wins have come over 6f – 7f on a first visit to the course. She led when finishing fifth of 20 in the Wentworth Stakes at Doncaster in Nov 2026.
- 3–11Wins / Runs
- 27.3%Strike rate
- 4 (36.4%)Placed
- +4.23£1 level staken=11 at SP
- 2.15Fair A/E n=11 · 1.85 incl. margin
- 100Highest OR
- 19dBetween runs (median)longest 184 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 117
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 8 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 3 | 96C | 70 | 2 runs · 96 / 83 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 112C | 102.5 | 2 runs · 112 / 102.5 |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 101A | 88.5 | 2 runs · 101 / 88.5 |
| Standard (AW) | 2 | 91A | 87.5 | 2 runs · 91 / 87.5 |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 8 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 9 | 117A | 93 | 8 runs · 117 / 94.5 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 10 figures from 10 runs · as at 8 Nov 2026 · 1 recent figure provisional (may move for 7 days) · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 10 analysed runs since Jun 2025
- Led 5 (50%) · 3 wins
- Mid-division 2 (20%) · 0 wins
- Prominent 2 (20%) · 0 wins
- Held up 1 (10%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 9.9% of 1,672 runs since Mar 2023 (163 horses).
Strongest on good to soft going: 14.5% from 152. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.7% from 409. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.9% from 259.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 2 | 1 | 50% | +40.1 | — |
| Good to Firm | 221 | 24 | 10.9% | +1 | 1 from 2 |
| Good | 452 | 39 | 8.6% | −1.3 | 0 from 3 |
| Good to Soft | 152 | 22 | 14.5% | +4.6 | 1 from 2 |
| Soft | 218 | 20 | 9.2% | −0.7 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 73 | 9 | 12.3% | +2.4 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 554 | 51 | 9.2% | −0.7 | 1 from 2 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 409 | 56 | 13.7% | +3.8 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 888 | 85 | 9.6% | −0.3 | 3 from 10 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 259 | 18 | 6.9% | −3 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 91 | 7 | 7.7% | −2.2 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 20 | 0 | 0% | −9.9 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 5 | 0 | 0% | −9.9 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Mar 2023 · as at 7 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
3 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Gidwa (IRE) (4 wins).
The wins came over 6f–7f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Arabian Sun (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gidwa (IRE) | 43 | 4 | 6f–7f | Class 5 |
| Arabian Sun (IRE) | 6 | 2 | 6f | Class 4 |
| Pretty Persuasion (IRE) | 7 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 1 | 50% | +8.00 |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.50 |
| Standard (AW) | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.27 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 1 | 5 | 2 | 40% | +8.50 |
| Class 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 5 | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.27 |
| Class 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doncaster | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Carlisle | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.50 |
| Epsom Downs | 1 | 1 | 100% | +9.00 |
| York | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newmarket | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.73 |
| Deauville (FR) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ripon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 10 | 3 | 30% | +5.23 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clifford Lee | 6 | 2 | 33% | +7.50 |
| Sam James | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Shane Gray | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Pierre-Louis Jamin | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.73 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 9 | 3 | 33% | +6.23 |
| 2025 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 9 runs | ||||||||||
| 07 Nov 26+15d | Doncaster | Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Wentworth Stakes (Listed Race) Made all the running until passed over 1f out - flattened out inside the final furlong to finish 5th | 5/20 | ½ | 9-3 | 99 | 112C | 119A | Clifford Lee | 33/1 |
| 23 Oct 26+121d | Doncaster | William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Stakes raced freely in front - pressed by rival 2f out and sent along - overhauled in final furlong and faded to finish 7th | 7/9 | nk | 9-8 | 100 | 117A | 95A | Clifford Lee | 40/1 |
| 24 Jun 26+19d | Carlisle | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Eternal Stakes (Fillies' Listed) Set the pace early - pushed along and edged in front close home before that - kept going strongly to the finish | 1/10 | 9-5 | 100 | 101A | 97A | Clifford Lee | 5/2 | |
| 05 Jun 26+23d | Epsom Downs | Cygames Surrey Stakes (Listed) Held up eagerly early - set the pace throughout - opened a big lead 4f out - margin shrank 2f out - driven along and challenged inside final furlong - battled back to prevail in the closing strides | 1/6 | 8-11 | 95 | 93A | 95B | Clifford Lee | 9/1 | |
| 13 May 26+12d | York | Conundrum HR Consulting Handicap Pulled hard early - settled in the pack - boxed in with 2f left - pressed for a run inside the final furlong but blocked again close home - stayed on without finding more - finished seventh | 7/14 | nk | 9-10 | 96 | 70C | 98A | Sam James | 12/1 |
| 01 May 26+13d | Newmarket | Pertemps Network King Charles II Stakes (Listed) Settled in the front rank early - made progress out wide over 2f out then pressed for effort approaching the final furlong - stayed on without finding enough speed inside the last 110yds to finish 4th | 4/6 | ¾ | 9-0 | 96 | 76A | 90B | Clifford Lee | 20/1 |
| 18 Apr 26+21d | Newbury | Dubai Duty Free Stakes (Registered As The Fred Darling Stakes) (Fillies' Group 3) Handy early - roused to hit front over 1f out before being overtaken - weakened close home to finish 4th | 4/14 | nk | 9-2 | 89 | 96C | 92A | Clifford Lee | 20/1 |
| 28 Mar 26+81d | Kempton (AW) | Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places/British EBF Fillies' Conditions Stakes (GBB Race) Settled midfield early - advanced to challenge in front two furlongs out then edged in front approaching final furlong - caught close home to just miss out | 2/6 | nk | 9-6 | 89 | 84A | 90B | Shane Gray | 4/1 |
| 06 Jan 26+184d | Southwell (AW) | Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) Set the pace from the off - pushed further ahead inside the final furlong despite drifting off a true line - stayed on strongly to score | 1/7 | 8-12 | — | 91A | 84B | Pierre-Louis Jamin | 8/11F | |
| 2025 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 06 Jul 25+17d | Deauville (FR) | Prix Roland de Chambure () (2yo) (Round Course) (Turf) | 3/6 | nk | 8-10 | — | — | — | Sam James | 18/1 |
| 19 Jun 25 | Ripon | Ripon Inn Best Dressed Gentleman EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Sharply left course direction lost at the break - held up towards rear - improved into contention over 4f out then ran on wide in 4th inside the final furlong | 4/6 | nk | 9-2 | — | 68A | 74B | Sam James | 9/2 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Ellusive Butterfly won?
- Ellusive Butterfly (IRE) won 3 of 11 archived starts between 2025 and 2026, a strike rate of 27.3%. Placed 4 times in total (36.4% of starts).
- Who trains Ellusive Butterfly?
- Ellusive Butterfly (IRE) is trained by K. R. Burke, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 7 November 2026.
- Who is Ellusive Butterfly's sire?
- Ellusive Butterfly (IRE) is by Invincible Army (IRE) out of Gheedaa (USA), whose sire is Tamayuz.
- What is Ellusive Butterfly's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 99, from the run on 7 November 2026. The highest on record is 100.
- What is Ellusive Butterfly's sire's record?
- Invincible Army (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.9% of 1,672 runs since Mar 2023 (163 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on good to soft going: 14.5% from 152. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.7% from 409. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.9% from 259.
- Who are Ellusive Butterfly's siblings?
- Out of Gheedaa (USA), Ellusive Butterfly (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Gidwa (IRE) (4). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Arabian Sun (IRE)). The wins came over 6f–7f. As at Nov 2026.