What is Shane Gray's strike rate?

Shane Gray has won 172 of 1,585 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.9% (as at 26 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Shane Gray do best at?

Pontefract by strike rate: 10 wins from 54 rides (18.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Shane Gray ride most for?

Kevin Ryan, with 407 rides since 2022 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 50 (12.3%).

Is Shane Gray in form?

In the last 14 days: 15 rides, 4 winners, a strike rate of 26.7%. That is above the baseline of 10.9% since 2022.

What is Shane Gray's Fair A/E?

1.18, from 1,578 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Shane Gray

1,585 rides in the last 5 seasons · 801 individual horses

As at 26 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

In form — 4 winners last 14 days Last ride 3 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2010→)

from 1 Jan 2022

172–1,585

Wins / Runs

10.9%

Strike rate

n=1,585

430 (27%)

Placed

1.18

Fair A/E

n=1,578 · 1.00 incl. margin

−67.22

£1 level stake

n=1,585 at SP · −4.2%

£2.54m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

16.2%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 320 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.18). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 18% (146 rides). The rider is in form now — 4 winners in the last fortnight, above their own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,585 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 26 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Oct–Nov 43.1% when favourite Kevin Ryan: 12.3% from 407 First rides: 11.5% LTO winners: 17.8% Group/Graded: 15.9% Rides the favourite in 6% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 17.8% (n=146, Fair A/E 1.19), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.6% (n=219, Fair A/E 0.87). First rides on a horse are the standout value angle: 11.5% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.38 and +148.19 to a £1 stake over 756 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Right now the rider is firing: 4 winners from 15 rides in the last 14 days (26.7%, 15.8pts above the 10.9% baseline). Kevin Ryan supplies 26% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (12.3%, A/E 1.25) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (18.9%, n=74). 12 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Bet MGM Challenge Cup at Ascot (Oct 2024, £92,772). The standout partner of the record: Jez Bomb (GB) — 6 wins from 22 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Oct–Nov.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.9% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

11.5%+0.6

n=756 · A/E 1.38 · £1 +148.19

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

17.8%+6.9

n=146 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −27.60

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

9.1%−1.8

n=219 · A/E 1.26 · £1 +50.22

When favourite

43.1%

n=102 · A/E 1.44 · £1 +20.32

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.6%−6.3

n=219 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −123.90

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

15.9%+5.0

n=44 · A/E 1.71 · £1 −6.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Sam England 23.1% vs 10.9% · n=52

With K R Burke 19.1% vs 10.9% · n=152

Off a 0-7-day break 18.9% vs 10.9% · n=74

On last-time-out winners 17.8% vs 10.9% · n=146

With new recruits 19.6% vs 10.9% · n=46

With Stella Barclay 3.8% vs 10.9% · n=80

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 471 51 10.8% −27.28

Good 408 45 11% −8.97

Good to Firm 321 32 10% −127.95

Good to Soft 203 18 8.9% +94.50

Soft 131 18 13.7% +20.49

Heavy 51 8 15.7% −18.01

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 274 30 10.9% +31.52

Redcar 110 10 9.1% −73.19

Southwell (AW) 108 15 13.9% +5.21

Hamilton 106 17 16% +178.75

Thirsk 102 9 8.8% −40.07

Beverley 97 13 13.4% +15.57

York 83 8 9.6% +8.25

Doncaster 80 8 10% −41.56

Musselburgh 71 11 15.5% +40.13

Ayr 64 6 9.4% −16.00

Catterick 61 8 13.1% +7.08

Wolverhampton (AW) 60 4 6.7% −40.76

Ripon 57 4 7% −36.00

Carlisle 55 4 7.3% −19.31

Pontefract 54 10 18.5% +46.17

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 470 46 9.8% −171.09

Class 6 437 45 10.3% +126.61

Class 4 340 47 13.8% +5.08

Class 3 149 16 10.7% +3.35

Class 2 142 11 7.7% −22.17

Class 1 44 7 15.9% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 123 47 38.2% 1.34 +10.32

2nd–3rd fav 315 60 19% 1.15 −17.04

4th–6th fav 504 41 8.1% 1.06 −55.50

7th+ in betting 643 24 3.7% 1.22 −5.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

We Never Stop (IRE) 23 5 8 13 May 26

Jez Bomb (GB) 22 6 12 10 Oct 26

Venture Capital (GB) 21 5 8 16 Oct 26

Sir Benedict (IRE) 18 2 7 1 Sep 25

Rum Runner (GB) 16 1 2 13 Aug 25

Leap Year Lad (IRE) 16 1 6 7 Feb 25

Impartiality (GB) 12 2 7 19 Oct 26

Dickensian (GB) 12 2 7 19 Sep 26

Billyb (FR) 12 1 5 17 Sep 26

True Promise (GB) 12 4 6 30 Jan 25

Where's Jeff (GB) 12 2 5 2 Jun 24

Dark Moon Rising (IRE) 11 1 5 22 Aug 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 801 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form

4 from 15 26.7% · +15.8pts vs baseline

Last 14 days26.7%

5-season base10.9%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

15411137111111916166

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardKevin Ryan

26% of all rides
12.3% SR · A/E 1.25

TrainerRWSR£1

Kevin Ryan 407 50 12.3% +45.91

Michael & David Easterby 185 12 6.5% −111.13

K R Burke 152 29 19.1% −21.25

Phillip Makin 83 4 4.8% −50.25

Stella Barclay 80 3 3.8% +65.50

Craig Lidster 61 3 4.9% −44.00

Sam England 52 12 23.1% +21.95

Richard Fahey 43 5 11.6% +2.00

Richard & Peter Fahey 41 4 9.8% −15.40

Ann Duffield 39 3 7.7% −16.25

David O'Meara 35 2 5.7% −28.57

Geoffrey Harker 31 1 3.2% −20.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→

449

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£5.22m

Prize money

2015

Best season · 65 wins

Volterra (IRE) — Bet MGM Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) Ascot · Oct 2024 · Class 2

£92,772

We Never Stop (IRE) — BetUK All-Weather Sprint Handicap Newcastle (AW) · Apr 2025 · Class 2

£77,310

Washington Heights (GB) — BAR 1 Betting Mercury Stakes (Group 3) Dundalk (AW) (IRE) · Oct 2026 · Group 3

£42,000

Notable horses

Jez Bomb (GB) Bronze Beau (GB) Aberama Gold (GB) We Never Stop (IRE) Venture Capital (GB) Frosty Berry (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Washington Dc (IRE) 21.1% · 12–57

Progeny have won 10.1% of 853 runs since 2008 (70 horses). Weakest on Good going: 6.8% from 191.

Mehmas (IRE) 8.2% · 4–49

Progeny have won 11.6% of 8,139 runs since 2008 (747 horses).

Night Of Thunder (IRE) 8.5% · 4–47

Progeny have won 16.3% of 5,079 runs since 2008 (562 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7% from 158.

Kodiac (GB) 2.2% · 1–46

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,554 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.

Cotai Glory (GB) 18.2% · 8–44

Progeny have won 11.5% of 3,932 runs since 2008 (389 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.7% from 1,405. Weakest on Soft going: 7.1% from 421.

Dandy Man (IRE) 9.3% · 4–43

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,935 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 26 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,903 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,903 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 5 December 2010 to 23 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Washington Heights (GB)T: Kevin Ryan BAR 1 Betting Mercury Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 5f · Standard · 13 ran 1st 5/2F

22 Oct 26 Newmarket Tipsy Tiger (GB)T: William Stone CopyBet Pay First Past The Post Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Soft · 9 ran 1st 4/1

22 Oct 26 Newmarket Dashing Digger (GB)T: William Stone CopyBet For Europa League Profit Boosts EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (Div II) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8f · Soft · 9 ran 6th 125/1

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Lucius Aurelius (GB)T: Kevin Ryan Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 13/2

19 Oct 26 Pontefract Impartiality (GB)T: Phillip Makin Napoleons Casino Bradford Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Heavy · 9 ran 6th 5/1

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Thankfully (IRE)T: K. R. Burke Christmas Jumper Day Sunday 13th December Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11f · Standard · 6 ran 1st 5/2F

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Perryston (GB)T: Kevin Ryan Southwell Racecourse Conference And Events Ebf Maiden Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 28/1

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Kody B (IRE)T: Craig Lidster Saturday 24th October Gents Night Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 5/1

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Mandarin Spirit (IRE)T: Kevin Ryan Dance Through The Decades Christmas Parties Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 25/1

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Adelaide Bay (GB)T: Daragh Bourke Book The Bistro In Seasons Restaurant Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 4/1

16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Cavallo Pazzo (IRE)T: Daragh Bourke Central Employment & Training Partnership Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 13/2

16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Venture Capital (GB)T: Kevin Ryan Northumbria Leisure For Jukeboxes Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 11/2

16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Coolree (IRE)T: Sam England Margaret Macklam Memorial Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 33/1

16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Yafaarr (IRE)T: Sam England Northumbria Leisure For Gaming Machines Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 15/2

16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Habari (IRE)T: Daragh Bourke quinnbet.com Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12.5f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 16/1

12 Oct 26 Musselburgh Mr Withington (FR)T: Ewan Whillans Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 15/2

12 Oct 26 Musselburgh Ramon Di Loria (IRE)T: Ewan Whillans Musselburgh Members Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 8th 20/1

12 Oct 26 Musselburgh Ice Sovereigns (IRE)T: Richard & Peter Fahey British Stallion Stud EBF Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 1st 12/1

12 Oct 26 Musselburgh Lucius Aurelius (GB)T: Kevin Ryan Watch On Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 3rd 10/1

10 Oct 26 York Jez Bomb (GB)T: Sam England Sky Bet Peter Nolan Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Soft · 20 ran 8th 18/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Shane Gray's strike rate?: Shane Gray has won 172 of 1,585 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.9% (as at 26 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Shane Gray do best at?: Pontefract by strike rate: 10 wins from 54 rides (18.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Shane Gray ride most for?: Kevin Ryan, with 407 rides since 2022 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 50 (12.3%).
Is Shane Gray in form?: In the last 14 days: 15 rides, 4 winners, a strike rate of 26.7%. That is above the baseline of 10.9% since 2022.
What is Shane Gray's Fair A/E?: 1.18, from 1,578 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.