Estrange (IRE)
Estrange is 6 from 9 on turf with all wins over 1m2f – 1m4f. She gained a first Group 1 success in the Paddy Power Pretty Polly Stakes at Curragh in Jun 2026, having earlier taken the Lancashire Oaks at Haydock and two Listed races. The mare has won on good to firm, good and soft ground and landed her last run off an official rating of 116. She made her debut in a maiden at Goodwood in Aug 2024.
- 6–9Wins / Runs
- 66.7%Strike rate
- 7 (77.8%)Placed
- +7.51£1 level staken=9 at SP
- 2.06Fair A/E n=9 · 1.83 incl. margin
- 116Highest OR
- 84dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 124
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 4 | 124A | 115 | 2 · 124 / 115 |
| Good | 3 | 107A | 85 | 1 · — |
| Soft | 2 | 97A | 96.5 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 9 | 124A | 97 | 3 · 124 / 106 |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 9 figures from 9 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 16.3% of 5,056 runs since Jan 2008 (559 horses).
Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7% from 157.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 4 | 2 | 50% | +33.7 | — |
| Good to Firm | 831 | 154 | 18.5% | +2.2 | 2 from 4 |
| Good | 1,217 | 199 | 16.4% | +0.1 | 2 from 3 |
| Good to Soft | 579 | 92 | 15.9% | −0.4 | — |
| Soft | 698 | 118 | 16.9% | +0.6 | 2 from 2 |
| Heavy | 213 | 36 | 16.9% | +0.6 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,514 | 224 | 14.8% | −1.5 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 382 | 60 | 15.7% | −0.6 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 2,111 | 372 | 17.6% | +1.3 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,351 | 205 | 15.2% | −1.1 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 997 | 171 | 17.2% | +0.9 | 6 from 9 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 157 | 11 | 7% | −9.3 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 47 | 5 | 10.6% | −5.7 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | −5.2 | — |
| Over 3m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −16.3 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 18 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Lmay (IRE) (1 win).
The wins came over 1m–1m4f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Lmay (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lmay (IRE) | 12 | 1 | 1m4f | Class 4 |
| Basalt (IRE) | 5 | 1 | 1m | Class 5 |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 4 | 2 | 50% | +0.35 |
| Good | 3 | 2 | 67% | +0.91 |
| Soft | 2 | 2 | 100% | +6.25 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 1 | 7 | 4 | 57% | +3.14 |
| Class 2 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.75 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haydock | 2 | 2 | 100% | +1.91 |
| Curragh | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.62 |
| Carlisle | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.73 |
| Ascot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| York | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.50 |
| Yarmouth | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Goodwood | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.75 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Tudhope | 8 | 5 | 63% | +4.01 |
| James Doyle | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.50 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 2 | 100% | +2.35 |
| 2025 | 4 | 2 | 50% | −0.09 |
| 2024 | 3 | 2 | 67% | +5.25 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun 26+28d | Curragh | Paddy Power Pretty Polly Stakes (Fillies' And Mares' Group 1) Settled off the pace - 6th at halfway - moved through on the outside approaching 2f out - hit the front 1f later under pressure - powered clear in the final furlong - won going away | 1/8 | 9-12 | 116 | 124A | 106A | Daniel Tudhope | 13/8 | |
| 30 May 26+224d | Carlisle | Betway Lester Piggott Fillies' Stakes (Fillies' And Mares' Group 3) Settled in the pack early - moved through into contention two out and pushed to the front approaching the final furlong - kept finding more to score | 1/7 | 9-2 | 116 | 106A | 102A | Daniel Tudhope | 8/11F | |
| 18 Oct 25+58d | Ascot | Qipco British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Group 1) Settled up with the pace on the inner - fought for control early - eased back into the pack around 10f out - found space tight approaching the final 3f - still boxed in with 2f left - shifted left to find a gap - moved into second inside the last furlong - couldn't reach the winner but kept responding | 2/10 | 2½ | 9-7 | 112 | 76A | 102A | Daniel Tudhope | 6/1 |
| 21 Aug 25+47d | York | Pertemps Network Yorkshire Oaks (Fillies' And Mares' Group 1) Checked early - settled at the rear - moved through from the outer with 3f left - up to second 2f out but unable to close final furlong | 2/4 | 3½ | 9-9 | 114 | 124C | 100B | Daniel Tudhope | 5/2 |
| 05 Jul 25+35d | Haydock | bet365 Lancashire Oaks (Fillies' And Mares' Group 2) Sat behind pace-setter who broke away 8f out - moved up on inner 3f out - hit front after 2f out - driven and hard chased final furlong - drifted left but held on for the win | 1/4 | 9-7 | 114 | 85C | 101B | Daniel Tudhope | 2/7F | |
| 31 May 25+203d | Haydock | Betfred Nifty 50 Lester Piggott Fillies' Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Group 3) (Formerly Known As The Pinnacle Stakes) Settled towards the rear early - made strong progress from the outside approaching final two furlongs - hit the front inside the last furlong - drew away for a comfortable win | 1/8 | 9-2 | 100 | 107A | 105A | Daniel Tudhope | 13/8 | |
| 09 Nov 24+52d | Doncaster | Virgin Bet Irish EBF Gillies Fillies' Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Listed) Towards the back in the early stages - gradual progress from 4f out - driven up over 2f out - powered through in the final furlong - hit the front inside the last 110 yards - drifted left near the line - drew clear to win | 1/11 | 9-1 | 96 | 97A | 96A | James Doyle | 7/2 | |
| 18 Sep 24+24d | Yarmouth | EBF Stallions John Musker Fillies' Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Listed) Held a midpack position - squeezed for space inside the final furlong - stayed on without threatening the front group | 7/14 | 1 | 8-13 | — | 88C | 85A | Daniel Tudhope | 3/1 |
| 25 Aug 24 | Goodwood | Darley Ebf Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) Tracked the pace early - sat in the pack out wide - moved across and made ground into contention approaching 3f out - hit the front with 2f left - shot away inside the final furlong for a taking success | 1/9 | 9-2 | — | 96A | 97A | Daniel Tudhope | 11/4J |
Quick answers
- How many races has Estrange (IRE) won?
- Estrange (IRE) won 6 of 9 archived starts between 2024 and 2026, a strike rate of 66.7%. Placed 7 times in total (77.8% of starts).
- Who trains Estrange (IRE)?
- Estrange (IRE) is trained by David O'Meara, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 27 June 2026.
- Who is Estrange (IRE)'s sire?
- Estrange (IRE) is by Night Of Thunder (IRE) out of Alienate (GB), whose sire is Oasis Dream.
- What going does Estrange (IRE) prefer?
- Estrange (IRE) has the best record on good going: 2 wins from 3 starts (66.7%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Estrange (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 116, from the run on 27 June 2026. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Estrange (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Night Of Thunder (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 16.3% of 5,056 runs since Jan 2008 (559 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7% from 157.
- Who are Estrange (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Alienate (GB), Estrange (IRE) has 2 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Lmay (IRE) (1). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Lmay (IRE)). The wins came over 1m–1m4f. As at Oct 2026.