James Doyle
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 420 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 19% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.01). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 22% (455 rides).
The record is strongest at Southwell (AW) (35.1%, n=37), Lingfield (AW) (31%, n=71) and Wolverhampton (AW) (30.9%, n=68) — all clear of the rider's 18.6% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 21.8% (n=455, Fair A/E 1.05), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 9.5% (n=359, Fair A/E 0.98). Charlie Appleby supplies 11% of the rides and beats the rider's average (28.2% vs 18.6%, A/E 1.11) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well on Standard (AW) going (28.1%, n=441). 257 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Qipco Champion Stakes at Ascot (Oct 2014, £770,547). The standout partner of the record: Barons Spy (IRE) — 8 wins from 35 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Sep–Nov.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 18.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 18.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
SteadyBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 11,774 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 11,774 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 19 January 2005 to 26 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is James Doyle's strike rate?
- James Doyle has won 390 of 2,099 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 18.6% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does James Doyle do best at?
- Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 22 wins from 71 rides (31%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does James Doyle ride most for?
- Charlie Appleby, with 234 rides since 2022 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 66 (28.2%).
- Is James Doyle in form?
- In the last 14 days: 18 rides, 3 winners, a strike rate of 16.7%. That is in line with the baseline of 18.6% since 2022.
- What is James Doyle's Fair A/E?
- 1.01, from 2,091 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.