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Horse profile

Final Straw (IRE)

6yo gelding · Trainer Martin Todhunter · Owner Coniston Old Men Syndicate
by Affinisea (IRE) out of Pauls First (IRE) (Morozov)
7 runs · 7 courses · from Jun 2025
As at 23 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
2 wins · Plumpton & Kempton New yard Last run 22 Oct 2026 · 10th of 13 Last raced off OR 100
KTB Profile

Final Straw is 2 from 7 on turf, both wins at Class 5 in handicaps on good ground. He won at Plumpton over 3m in Nov 2025 and at Kempton over 2m5f – 3m later that month, both off an official rating of 95. His last run, at Carlisle in Oct 2026, was his first for Martin Todhunter and saw him finish 10 of 13 off an official rating of 100. He usually races prominently.

Based on 7 archived runs · run-style from 6 commented runs since Jun 2025 · updated 23 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance All wins at Class 5

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 120 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Wincanton, 4 Dec 2025

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Jumps 7 figures · best 120A · median 90
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 23 Oct 2025
Good6119B88.53 · 93 / 90
Good to Soft1——1 · —
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 23 Oct 2025
2m1f – 2m4f3119B871 · —
2m5f – 3m2120A1052 · 120 / 105
Over 3m1——1 · —
1m5f – 2m1———

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 7 figures from 7 runs · as at 23 Oct 2026 · 1 recent figure provisional (may move for 7 days) · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 122B the best of the last 3 rated runs · Plumpton, 17 Nov 2025 Official rating 100 at the last run, 22 Oct 2026

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Jumps 7 figures · best 122B · median 103
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 23 Oct 2025
Good6122B1073 · 122 / 117
Good to Soft1——1 · —
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 23 Oct 2025
2m1f – 2m4f3111A1031 · —
2m5f – 3m2117B1102 · 117 / 110
Over 3m1——1 · —
1m5f – 2m1———

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 7 figures from 7 runs · as at 23 Oct 2026 · 1 recent figure provisional (may move for 7 days) · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style from 6 analysed runs since Jun 2025

  • Prominent 3 (50%) · 1 win
  • Mid-division 2 (33%) · 0 wins
  • Held up 1 (17%) · 0 wins

Pedigree intelligence

Sire

Progeny in our archive have won 13% of 1,259 runs since Jan 2008 (198 horses).

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Good to Firm8225%+12—
Good4515712.6%−0.42 from 6
Good to Soft3224213%00 from 1
Soft3414613.5%+0.5—
Heavy1351712.6%−0.4—
Standard (AW)200%−13—
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
1m2f – 1m4f8225%+12—
1m5f – 2m4655211.2%−1.80 from 1
2m1f – 2m4f5427513.8%+0.80 from 3
2m5f – 3m2103014.3%+1.31 from 2
Over 3m34514.7%+1.71 from 1

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 22 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Pauls First (IRE) (Morozov)

2 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Sayitfirst (IRE) (3 wins).

The wins came over 1m7½f–2m1½f.

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Sayitfirst (IRE)4131m7½f–2m1½f—
Zoomtime (IRE)70——

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Good 6 2 33% −0.34
Good to Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 5 4 2 50% +1.66
Class 4 3 0 0% −3.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Carlisle 1 0 0% −1.00
Wincanton 1 0 0% −1.00
Plumpton 1 1 100% +0.91
Kempton 1 1 100% +2.75
Fontwell 1 0 0% −1.00
Uttoxeter 1 0 0% −1.00
Southwell 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f 3 0 0% −3.00
2m5f – 3m 2 1 50% +1.75
Over 3m 1 1 100% +0.91
1m5f – 2m 1 0 0% −1.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Mr Daniel Williams 3 1 33% −1.09
James Bowen 2 0 0% −2.00
Jamie Hamilton 1 0 0% −1.00
Freddie Gordon 1 1 100% +2.75

HeadgearRunsWinsSR£1
None 4 0 0% −4.00
Cheekpieces 3 2 67% +2.66

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2026 1 0 0% −1.00
2025 6 2 33% −0.34

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
22 Oct 26+322d Carlisle Race Home With Genesis Homes Handicap Hurdle Race (Div I) Class 5 · 20f · Good · 13 ran Raced in the pack - left behind from 3 out - tired badly after 2 out to finish 10th 10/13 2¾ 12-0 10087C96C Jamie Hamilton 22/1
04 Dec 25+17d Wincanton Weatherbys Stallion Book 'National Hunt' Novices' Handicap Hurdle Class 5 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran Settled just behind the pace early - hit the front approaching the second before edging clear then surrendering the advantage 3 out after an untidy jump - dropped back and needed urging before 2 out - unable to respond and well beaten at the finish 6/7 nk 11-7 102120A103A Mr Daniel Williams 2/1F
17 Nov 25+7d Plumpton BetGoodwin Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle Class 5 · 25f · Good · 6 ran Pulling hard early - up with pace then in front from 2nd - scratchy over 4 out - pushed along before 2 out - kept going strongly to win 1/6 11-5 9593C122B Mr Daniel Williams 10/11F
10 Nov 25+64d Kempton JCB Hydradig Conditional Jockeys' Novices' Handicap Hurdle Class 5 · 24.5f · Good · 9 ran Held handy early - pushed along to hit front 2 out then opened up - hit last but stayed on to win 1/9 11-11 9590B117B Freddie Gordon 11/4
07 Sep 25+44d Fontwell V2 Radio Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) Class 4 · 19f · Good · 8 ran Handy early - jumped awkwardly 6th and pushed along before slipping to 4th approaching 2 out - held effort through the run-in to finish 4th 4/8 2 10-11 —86B103A Mr Daniel Williams 15/2
25 Jul 25+46d Uttoxeter Boots Opticians Uttoxeter Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 2) Class 4 · 16f · Good · 10 ran Settled in the pack - error three out then drifted left two out - lost touch before the last and beaten well into 6th 6/10 8½ 11-2 —79A99A James Bowen 3/1
09 Jun 25 Southwell HEB Group 'The Power Behind Everyday' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 8 ran Held up towards the back early - under pressure three out - drifted left and stayed on for distant fourth without threatening the front 4/8 1¼ 11-4 —119B111A James Bowen 11/4J

Quick answers

How many races has Final Straw (IRE) won?
Final Straw (IRE) won 2 of 7 archived starts between 2025 and 2026, a strike rate of 28.6%. Placed 2 times in total (28.6% of starts).
Who trains Final Straw (IRE)?
Final Straw (IRE) is trained by Martin Todhunter, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 22 October 2026.
Who is Final Straw (IRE)'s sire?
Final Straw (IRE) is by Affinisea (IRE) out of Pauls First (IRE), whose sire is Morozov.
What going does Final Straw (IRE) prefer?
Final Straw (IRE) has the best record on good going: 2 wins from 6 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
What is Final Straw (IRE)'s official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 100, from the run on 22 October 2026. The highest on record is 102.
What is Final Straw (IRE)'s sire's record?
Affinisea (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 13% of 1,259 runs since Jan 2008 (198 horses), Flat and jumps together.
Who are Final Straw (IRE)'s siblings?
Out of Pauls First (IRE), Final Straw (IRE) has 2 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Sayitfirst (IRE) (3). The wins came over 1m7½f–2m1½f. As at Oct 2026.

Record shown from June 2025. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Runs in other countries are not in it, and earlier runs are not available from our data provider. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.