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Trainer profile

Martin Todhunter

412 runners in the last 5 seasons · 34 individual horses
As at 23 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner yesterday
from 1 Jan 2022
48–412
Wins / Runs
11.7%
Strike rate
n=412
147 (36%)
Placed
0.94
n=411 · 0.80 incl. margin
−125.11
£1 level stake
n=412 at SP · −30.4%
£541k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
9.1%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 12% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.94).

Deterministic profile computed from 412 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 23 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires May–Jun 25% when favourite Sean Quinlan: 10.3% from 87 Claiming riders: 12.5% Sends off the favourite in 13% of races
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 7.2% (n=83, Fair A/E 0.74). Sean Quinlan rides 21% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.3%, A/E 0.69). The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (18.4%, n=38) and in Chase races (15.8%, n=133). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 35 runners, 11.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Class 4: Fair A/E 0.69 across 153 runners (7.8% strike, −72.29 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Hillhouse Quarry Handicap Chase at Ayr (Apr 2015, £22,780). The stable star of the record: Presenting Junior (IRE) — 10 wins from 45 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7.2%−4.5
n=83 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −39.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−11.7
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Debutants · first career start
8.3%−3.4
n=12 · A/E 2.17 · £1 −7.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−11.7
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
9.1%−2.6
n=22 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −9.00
When favourite
25%
n=52 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −10.52
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
12.5%+0.8
n=40 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −17.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 11.7% · n=35
With Mark Winn 3.1% vs 11.7% · n=32
On last-time-out winners 19.1% vs 11.7% · n=47
Off a 8-14-day break 18.4% vs 11.7% · n=38
In Chase races 15.8% vs 11.7% · n=133
In Class 4 7.8% vs 11.7% · n=153
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 160 17 10.6% −38.05
Chase 133 21 15.8% −22.81
Hurdle 119 10 8.4% −64.25

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 134 20 14.9% −17.66
Soft 103 11 10.7% −23.40
Good to Soft 89 7 7.9% −58.05
Standard (AW) 30 3 10% −17.75
Good to Firm 29 5 17.2% +11.50
Heavy 27 2 7.4% −19.75

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Carlisle 61 6 9.8% −13.75
Hexham 48 8 16.7% +7.63
Ayr 40 3 7.5% −27.00
Newcastle 28 2 7.1% −21.05
Sedgefield 25 7 28% +15.26
Catterick 24 1 4.2% −17.00
Newcastle (AW) 23 2 8.7% −15.25
Cartmel 19 2 10.5% −9.50
Kelso 17 2 11.8% −9.25
Haydock 17 3 17.6% +5.50
Wetherby 16 2 12.5% −6.00
Thirsk 14 1 7.1% −6.00
York 13 1 7.7% −6.50
Musselburgh 13 3 23.1% +0.10
Hamilton 12 3 25% +10.20

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 185 27 14.6% −29.52
Class 4 153 12 7.8% −72.29
Class 6 36 5 13.9% −3.80
Class 3 29 3 10.3% −14.50
Class 2 9 1 11.1% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 59 16 27.1% 0.99 −4.77
2nd–3rd fav 117 19 16.2% 0.95 −17.84
4th–6th fav 132 9 6.8% 0.80 −59.50
7th+ in betting 104 4 3.8% 1.04 −43.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Molinari (IRE)from William Muir 39 4 16 1 Oct 26
Arrange (IRE)from Joseph Parr 33 4 16 17 Oct 26
Arctic Fox (GB)from Richard Fahey 32 3 6 4 Jul 26
Jet Legs (IRE) 30 5 12 10 Oct 26
V Twelve (IRE)from Ed Walker 27 3 11 4 Jul 26
Kicksaftersix (IRE)from Warren Greatrex 23 5 10 2 May 26
Fleur De Mer (IRE)from Hugo Palmer 22 1 8 17 Oct 26
Bouncing Bobby (IRE)from Michael Dods 21 3 8 31 May 24
Fia Fuinidh (IRE) 19 1 7 24 Sep 25
Joie De Vivre (IRE)from Richard Fahey 19 2 6 26 Aug 24
Forged Well (IRE) 18 3 7 20 Mar 26
Kingofthegame (IRE) 15 2 5 29 Aug 26
All 34 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 34 horses listed, 17 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Noel Meade (2) and Richard Fahey (2); 17 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 5
Only 5 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
762013131518111061118
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderSean Quinlan
21% of all rides
10.3% SR · A/E 0.69
RiderRWSR£1
Sean Quinlan 87 9 10.3% −52.02
David Nolan 71 11 15.5% +12.25
Callum Bewley 54 5 9.3% −30.80
Mark Winn 32 1 3.1% −15.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
261
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£2.07m
Prize money
2014
Best season · 23 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Presenting Junior (IRE) — Hillhouse Quarry Handicap Chase (Listed) Ayr · Apr 2015 · Listed
£22,780
Tell Henry (IRE) — Hillhouse Quarry Handicap Chase Ayr · Apr 2009 · Class 2
£18,786
Arrange (IRE) — Sky Bet Acca Freeze Handicap Haydock · Aug 2024 · Class 3
£18,039

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Mastercraftsman (IRE) 10.6% · 13–123
Progeny have won 10.6% of 11,629 runs since 2008 (842 horses).
Jet Away (GB) 14.9% · 10–67
Progeny have won 11.2% of 2,506 runs since 2008 (269 horses).
Kingston Hill (GB) 13.3% · 4–30
Progeny have won 9.1% of 1,632 runs since 2008 (203 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.5% from 164.
Slade Power (IRE) 11.1% · 3–27
Progeny have won 9.5% of 2,938 runs since 2008 (208 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.4% from 125.
Scorpion (IRE) 21.7% · 5–23
Progeny have won 9.2% of 6,313 runs since 2008 (609 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 141.
Dark Angel (IRE) 4.5% · 1–22
Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,882 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 23 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,858 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,858 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 22 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
29 Aug 26 Cartmel Kingofthegame (IRE)J: Ryan Mania Hadwins Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 25.5f · Good · 12 ran 10th 4/1F
01 Aug 26 Hamilton Eroico (IRE)J: Mark Winn Pdm Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 4 · 13f · Good · 10 ran 6th 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Martin Todhunter's strike rate?
Martin Todhunter has won 48 of 412 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.7% (as at 23 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Martin Todhunter do best at?
Hexham by strike rate: 8 wins from 48 runners (16.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Martin Todhunter?
Sean Quinlan, with 87 runners since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (10.3%).
Is Martin Todhunter in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Martin Todhunter's Fair A/E?
0.94, from 411 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 23 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).