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Jockey profile

Mr Daniel Williams

31 rides in the last 5 seasons · 20 individual horses
As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride yesterday 100% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2024→)
from 1 Jan 2022
3–31
Wins / Runs
9.7%
Strike rate
n=31
6 (19%)
Placed
0.63
Fair A/E
n=31 · 0.54 incl. margin
−23.65
£1 level stake
n=31 at SP · −76.3%
£24,342
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
9.5%
KTB at a glance Claiming: 10%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.7% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
5%−4.7
n=20 · A/E 0.31 · £1 −18.56
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
28.6%+18.9
n=7 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −3.65
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−9.7
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
When favourite
28.6%
n=7 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −3.65
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
10%+0.3
n=30 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −22.65
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−9.7
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 17 3 17.6% −9.65
Chase 12 0 0% −12.00
NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 16 2 12.5% −10.09
Good to Soft 11 1 9.1% −9.56
Soft 2 0 0% −2.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Worcester 4 0 0% −4.00
Plumpton 3 1 33.3% −1.09
Taunton 3 0 0% −3.00
Wincanton 3 0 0% −3.00
Cheltenham 3 0 0% −3.00
Uttoxeter 2 0 0% −2.00
Newbury 1 0 0% −1.00
Market Rasen 1 0 0% −1.00
Ludlow 1 0 0% −1.00
Aintree 1 0 0% −1.00
Huntingdon 1 0 0% −1.00
Hereford 1 1 100% +3.00
Fontwell 1 0 0% −1.00
Chepstow 1 1 100% +0.44
Catterick 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 17 2 11.8% −11.09
Class 4 10 1 10% −8.56
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 9 3 33.3% 0.93 −1.65
2nd–3rd fav 5 0 0% 0.00 −5.00
4th–6th fav 8 0 0% 0.00 −8.00
7th+ in betting 9 0 0% 0.00 −9.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
79.3% completed · 29 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 12 75% 0 0 3 0 0
Hurdle 17 82.4% 0 0 3 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Fan De Blues (FR) 3 0 1 9 Apr 26
By The Grace (GB) 3 1 1 5 Apr 26
Final Straw (IRE) 3 1 1 4 Dec 25
Didero Vallis (FR) 3 0 0 2 May 25
Kandor (FR) 2 0 0 2 Nov 26
Matilda Maid (GB) 2 0 0 19 Aug 26
Ideal Des Bordes (FR) 2 0 0 15 Nov 25
Mariole (FR) 1 0 0 21 Oct 26
Madam Speaker (IRE) 1 0 0 16 Oct 26
That's Nice (IRE) 1 0 0 25 Sep 26
Viscountess Nelson (IRE) 1 0 0 18 Jul 26
East India Express (IRE) 1 0 0 19 Apr 26
All 20 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
002025000000200
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
Nicky Henderson 19 3 15.8% −11.65
Miss Nikki Henton 5 0 0% −5.00
Miss Olive Nicholls 3 0 0% −3.00
Mrs Sara V Bradstock 2 0 0% −2.00
Nick Scholfield 1 0 0% −1.00
M Gill 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2024→
3
Archived wins
£24,342
Prize money
2026
Best season · 2 wins
Planters Punch (GB) — Tiptop Thunder Throne / EBF Junior 'National Hunt' Hurdle (GBB Race) Chepstow · Apr 2026 · Class 4
£5,809
Final Straw (IRE) — BetGoodwin Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle Plumpton · Nov 2025 · Class 5
£5,281
By The Grace (GB) — Fairplay Daily Price Boosts Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle Hereford · Mar 2026 · Class 5
£3,697
Notable horses
By The Grace (GB) Final Straw (IRE) Planters Punch (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Poliglote (GB) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 15.6% of 4,224 runs since 2008 (417 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.8% from 234. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19% from 691. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.1% from 196.
Planteur (IRE) 25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 8.5% of 1,527 runs since 2017 (162 horses).
Affinisea (IRE) 33.3% · 1–3
Progeny have won 13.1% of 1,279 runs since 2022 (203 horses).
Blue Bresil (FR) 33.3% · 1–3
Progeny have won 12.2% of 3,527 runs since 2013 (461 horses).
Coastal Path (GB) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 12.8% of 2,212 runs since 2014 (247 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.8% from 500. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.1% from 495.
Joshua Tree (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 12% of 841 runs since 2018 (115 horses). Strongest on Good going: 22.2% from 162. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 17.6% from 125.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 31 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Mr Daniel Williams's 31 archived rides, from 7 November 2024 to 2 November 2026, newest first — 3 winners among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
02 Nov 26 Plumpton Kandor (FR)T: Nick Scholfield Final Fence Open 30th November Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 20.5f · Good · 7 ran 5th 28/1
21 Oct 26 Worcester Mariole (FR)T: Nicky Henderson CopyBet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle Race (Div II)Class 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 13/2
16 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Madam Speaker (IRE)T: Nicky Henderson QuinnBet Mares' National Hunt Flat Race (Conditional And Amateur Jockeys' Race) (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 4/9F
25 Sep 26 Worcester That's Nice (IRE)T: Nicky Henderson Pj Nicholls Kgm Korea Genuinely Made Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 23f · Good · 9 ran 8th 5/1
19 Aug 26 Worcester Matilda Maid (GB)T: Mrs Sara V Bradstock CopyBet Support Safer Gambling Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (ARC Summer Novices' Brush Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 14 ran 12th 200/1
18 Jul 26 Cartmel Viscountess Nelson (IRE)T: Nicky Henderson Hadwins Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 22f · Good · 6 ran 4th 4/1
11 Jun 26 Worcester Matilda Maid (GB)T: Mrs Sara V Bradstock CopyBet Royal Ascot BOG From Sunday Mares' NH Flat Race (Conditionals/Amateurs) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 14 ran 10th 8/1
19 May 26 Huntingdon Kandor (FR)T: M Gill Tattersalls Online Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 7 ran 4th 6/4J
19 Apr 26 Plumpton East India Express (IRE)T: Nicky Henderson BetGoodwin Sussex Stayers' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 2 · 25f · Good · 10 ran PU 6/1
11 Apr 26 Chepstow Planters Punch (GB)T: Nicky Henderson Tiptop Thunder Throne / EBF Junior 'National Hunt' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 1st 4/9F
09 Apr 26 Aintree Fan De Blues (FR)T: Miss Nikki Henton Randox Foxhunters' Open Hunters' ChaseClass 2 · 21f · Good To Soft · 24 ran 8th 100/1
05 Apr 26 Market Rasen By The Grace (GB)T: Nicky Henderson Mariner Packaging Sing When We're Fishing Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 10 ran 6th 11/4F
28 Mar 26 Uttoxeter Crazierthandaisy (GB)T: Nicky Henderson Doocey Group Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 2nd 3/1F
20 Mar 26 Newbury Mister Coffey (FR)T: Nicky Henderson Highclere Horse Feeds Oataalin Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 4th 2/1F
09 Mar 26 Stratford Hybery (FR)T: Miss Nikki Henton DragonBet Safer Gambling Tools No Roar Tonight Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Soft · 7 ran PU 80/1
07 Mar 26 Hereford By The Grace (GB)T: Nicky Henderson Fairplay Daily Price Boosts Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 11 ran 1st 3/1J
25 Feb 26 Wincanton Fan De Blues (FR)T: Miss Nikki Henton Pointing Pointers Dick And Sue Woodhouse Memorial Hunters' Chase (For The Dick Woodhouse Trophy)Class 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 4th 5/1
02 Feb 26 Southwell By The Grace (GB)T: Nicky Henderson Download The At The Races App Mares' Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 4th 17/2
23 Jan 26 Warwick Franco De Port (FR)T: Miss Nikki Henton Willoughby De Broke Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 3rd 18/1
15 Jan 26 Wincanton Mistress Emma (IRE)T: Nicky Henderson Get The Best Odds With Oddschecker Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 15f · Soft · 13 ran PU 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 16 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 16 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Mr Daniel Williams's strike rate?
Mr Daniel Williams has won 3 of 31 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.7% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Mr Daniel Williams in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 2 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Mr Daniel Williams's Fair A/E?
0.63, from 31 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 3 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).