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Horse profile

Heading South (IRE)

5yo mare (at last run, Oct 2024) · Last trainer Noel C Kelly · Last owner Mrs Shauna Kelly
by Soldier of Fortune (IRE) out of Lucina (GER) (Groom Dancer)
4 runs · 4 courses · from Jun 2023
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 25 Oct 2024 — 726 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Oct 2024 · 8th of 12
KTB Profile

Heading South is a mare by Soldier of Fortune out of Lucina and showed no success in four starts on turf between Jun 2023 and Oct 2024. She was placed on none of those runs over trips from 1m5f to 2m4f on good or soft ground at four different courses. Her last run, at Sligo in Oct 2024, saw her finish 8 of 12 in the John Thomas McNamara Series Maiden Hurdle after being held.

Based on 4 archived runs · run-style from 3 commented runs since Aug 2024 · updated 21 Oct 2026

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 122 the best of the last 1 graded (A or B) run · Down Royal, 2 Jun 2023

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Jumps 3 figures · best 122B · median 68
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 21 Oct 2025
Soft268C35—
Good1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 21 Oct 2025
2m1f – 2m4f3122B68—

Of 4 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 3 figures from 4 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 90A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Galway, 3 Aug 2024

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Jumps 4 figures · best 93A · median 88
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 21 Oct 2025
Soft390A86—
Good1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 21 Oct 2025
2m1f – 2m4f393A86—
1m5f – 2m1———

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 4 figures from 4 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style from 3 analysed runs since Aug 2024

  • Mid-division 2 (67%) · 0 wins
  • Held up 1 (33%) · 0 wins

Pedigree intelligence

Sire

Progeny in our archive have won 11.4% of 5,813 runs since Jan 2008 (678 horses).

Weakest on standard (aw) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm11100%+88.6—
Good to Firm801620%+8.6—
Good1,52318812.3%+0.90 from 1
Good to Soft1,21213311%−0.4—
Soft1,88521411.4%00 from 3
Heavy7768611.1%−0.3—
Standard (AW)336226.5%−4.9—
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f300%−11.4—
6f – 7f71811.3%−0.1—
1m – 1m1f24983.2%−8.2—
1m2f – 1m4f4936413%+1.6—
1m5f – 2m1,57019212.2%+0.80 from 1
2m1f – 2m4f1,96520210.3%−1.10 from 3
2m5f – 3m1,22615312.5%+1.1—
Over 3m2363314%+2.6—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Lucina (GER) (Groom Dancer)

3 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Soldiers World (IRE) (1 win).

The wins came over 2m1f.

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Soldiers World (IRE)512m1f—
Athreeothree (IRE)50——
Presenting Lucina (IRE)90——

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Soft 3 0 0% −3.00
Good 1 0 0% −1.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Sligo 1 0 0% −1.00
Roscommon 1 0 0% −1.00
Galway 1 0 0% −1.00
Down Royal 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f 3 0 0% −3.00
1m5f – 2m 1 0 0% −1.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Mr O McGill 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr M E McCrory 1 0 0% −1.00
Gavin Brouder 1 0 0% −1.00

HeadgearRunsWinsSR£1
Tongue tie 2 0 0% −2.00
None 2 0 0% −2.00

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2024 3 0 0% −3.00
2023 1 0 0% −1.00

TypeRunsWinsSR£1
Hurdle 2 0 0% −2.00
NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt SpdKTB Jockey SP
25 Oct 24+25d Sligo John Thomas McNamara Series (Q.R.) Maiden Hurdle 20.5f · Yielding · 12 ran Held mid-pack early - urged forward approaching 3 out - dropped well behind soon after - finished last of the field 8/12 25 10-9 2C86C Mr M E McCrory 150/1
30 Sep 24+58d Roscommon Thomas A. Murray Bar Roscommon Mares Maiden Hurdle 20.5f · Yielding · 16 ran Held a midpack spot wide of rivals - driven up into 10th three out then blundered the following fence - unable to find more finishing well held in 12th 12/16 5½ 10-8 68C81C Gavin Brouder 100/1
03 Aug 24+428d Galway Salthill Hotel Irish EBF Mares Flat Race 16f · Yielding · 19 ran Settled towards the back - pushed along wide 2f out - unable to threaten in 10th and stayed on same speed to finish 12th 12/19 1½ 11-4 —90A Mr O McGill 66/1
02 Jun 23 Down Royal BoyleSports (Pro/Am) Fillies Flat Race 17f · Good · 14 ran 7/14 ½ 10-12 122B93A Mr O McGill 25/1

Quick answers

How many races has Heading South (IRE) won?
Heading South (IRE) has yet to win, from 4 archived starts between 2023 and 2024.
Who trained Heading South (IRE)?
Heading South (IRE) was trained by Noel C Kelly on the most recent run on record, at Sligo on 25 October 2024.
Who is Heading South (IRE)'s sire?
Heading South (IRE) is by Soldier of Fortune (IRE) out of Lucina (GER), whose sire is Groom Dancer.
What is Heading South (IRE)'s sire's record?
Soldier of Fortune (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.4% of 5,813 runs since Jan 2008 (678 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on standard (aw) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.
Who are Heading South (IRE)'s siblings?
Out of Lucina (GER), Heading South (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Soldiers World (IRE) (1). The wins came over 2m1f. As at Oct 2026.

Record shown from June 2023. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Runs in other countries are not in it, and earlier runs are not available from our data provider. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.